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Posts posted by Stormyking
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Got a good feeling that friday could see some thundery downpours behind the main band of rain, especially the further South you are
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There is indeed alot of unsettled weather to come this week with alot of rain! Got a feeling fridays rain could be followed by thundery downpours behind, thats what the GFS is hinting at by the looks of it, and it could be quite warm behind the main band of rain.
Does genrealy look quite unsettled as the run goes further on...
This could be potentially quite warm and thundery though
Further into FI shows High pressure coming back which would looks warm/very warm! Especially in the South/South East of the UK
End of FI seems to finish with Northerly which looks rather cool and kinda horrid with some rather cool uppers as well
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The charts definatly seem to be turning this week wetter and wetter as each run goes by, got one load on Wednesday Morning which the GFS seems keen with a heavy pulse of rain showing.
There also seems to be a good of showers as well in alot of places this week, and then you have friday which has been showing to be another wet day for many, but I have a feeling there could be some thundery showers in the mix aswell, and i reckon it could feel quite warm and humid too.
12Z soon, so will be interesting to see what changes happen then
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This next week is interesting me in terms of showers and possible storms in places, gotta good feeling it could well be an interesting one
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Liking the look of the thundery potential for next week, as another plumey set up looks like it may be on the cards, with more heat aswell.
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12z is showing the rain and low tomorrow nigth slightly further west by the looks of it,and slightly further South also, however the rain out West seems alot heavier than on the 06Z
12z
6z
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Hmm latest 12 seems alot more unsettled going towards middle range onwards than what the 6z was showing, with more rain and weather fronts moving in, and also doesnt seem as warm either apart from the South East.
12z
6z
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I have certainly noticed the days getting shorter each day now, am definatly looking forward to that 5am will be dark, and not light and silly o clock.
Thats the only really thing im not a fan of in summer, sunny mornings at 4:30am, because once i see it, I struggle to get back to sleep.
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ECM, looking fairly unsettled on their latest run by the look of it, rather than the GFS, I dont think it looks quite as warm or thundery either, well going past 192hrs that is.
ECM at 216hrs
Not overly warm uppers either
GFS however seems to me more thundery and seems to have more warmth mixed in aswell
Much warmer uppers aswell
Still far out to say, there does seem to be some disagreement with situation of that low in the Atlantic
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Latest 12z shows this weekends low not as bad as the 06z, and the rain seems a little less widespread too Friday night into Saturday.
The low also seems a little further South again.
12z
6z
Out to 144-150 could actually feel rather warm in the SE, if this comes off, temperatures showing 24-26'c.
Looks as though high pressure wants to try and push in from the South West as the run goes, but looking at it I reckon will be just to our Est or wont quite make it as the run goes on further, but could make things feel rather warm and humid again with thundery shower risk increasing again.
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Yet another beautiful sunny day here in Guernsey, and fairly warm aswell , there is also very little breeze around too which is rare for here :L
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Here's a video I've made of this morning's thunderstorm:
Here are some still images from the video:
Awsome stuff mate, Love pink morning lightning, sounds like that was directly overhead
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It has indeed been decent summer for both sunshine and thunderstorms, and the only rain ive experienced this summer is from those thunderstorms which happenes rare judging by the past summers I have experienced.
I think this summer has been slightly better than last summer because of the consistent warmth and dryness, however i did find last summer decent aswell but also found it to be quite breezy.
Anyways I definatley dont think that this summer has finished with the warmth at all, judging by recent updates, there seems to be some decent signs of warmth again.
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Definatly and unsettled look to the 12z GFS, but at the same time I dont think it will feel all that cool, to me it looks kinda thundery ish aswell.
ECM is also looking kinda similar to GFS aswell on their latest run coming out
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Latest 12z shows the low this weekend, a bit further South and West than the 6z, there also seems to more rain showing further South as well.
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Seems to be a few heavy showers around the Southampton and Bournemouth area, if they develop a little bit more I wouldnt be suprised if they let out a strike or 2
On a frustrating note though, the showers that passed us this morning are now storms as they have hit france :L
If Guernsey was any smaller ill buy boat ores (them stick things) and try to row there -.-
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Dont know where to post, im guessing the channel islands would be South Western
Anyways been a lovely summer here so far, and after a showery start this morning its yet another lovely sunny day
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Still got a good week or so of some fairly warm weather from the GFS and ECM, more so for the South and East of the UK, with maybe the risk of a few heavy downpours. Temperatures still around 21-24'c in places, but cooling down a bit in the North and turning unsettled.
Out into FI, charts seem to be in agreement of things being genuinely unsettled for the rest of the UK.
Ecm
GFS
The end of the GFS shows a warm up again, but thats still a good way off though, but im still confident on another warm up as August goes on.
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Am for one looking forward to the Prospects of Autumn, Darker mornings, easier to sleep for sure. But am also looking forwards to Autumnal weather, rain, gales, sunshine, mist/fog, frosts and Autumn coastal Thunderstorms .
I doubt ill be staying in Guernsey for ever, but from what ive heard in the past, channel islands can be quite an active place in the Autumn ( I hope ).
Being an all round weather enthusiast, I will also mist the summer for sure, still a whole month to go yet, but roll on the cooler Autumn temperatures
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Wow aswome stuff guys, sounds like its been a cracker of a morning for the SE!
Have had a couple oft showers this morning, but nothing too special, hopefully can get one or 2 decent showers before midday
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Hmm, Could be an interesting one for my area in the morning, heavy showers developing as they push southwards over or by guernsey, before moving off into France by the Afternoon, pleaaaseeee happen!
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Was a very warm and sticky morning here in Guernsey, but since about 3pm its clouded over and a cool breeze has developed, hopefully might get an easier night sleep tonight.
Judging by the charts, looks like a slight cool down and unsettled, but i still reckon summer has another warm/hot spel towards the end.
Have to say im looking forward to this change and get some different weather but will certainly miss the heat
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Interesting look on the storm potential towards next week, things look to go rather slack, and looking quite warmish too with the risk of thundery showers, hope this can maintain
Early days but I think there could be storm potential in places for sure
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Signs of next week could turn thundery for some, well more towards the end of next week, so am gonna keep an eye on that
Storm & Convective Discussion 12z 21/7/14 ------>
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Few showere around at the moment, had a fairly heavy one come through earlier, skies looks quite strange