Stormyking

Absolute stunning day today bright sunshine, crisp, cold and calm, we had 2 light snow showers this Morning, very light though, came from these weord big brown type cumulus/stratoucumulus, which had developed over the solent! Was an icy Morning too, there have been a few crashes aswell :/

Theres been a few towards Bournemouth, poole and weymouth too, the maps havent picked up all the stirkes

You got thunder out your way? We can here grumblers out that way!

Cheers man! I remember that night very well, infact we actually run our own local forecast page on facebook which we have recently became Isle of Wights number 1 and most reliable forecasting team, theres only 2 of us but everything is our own work, that friday night we were the only people to manage to pick up the thundery potential, they were very dry storms, hardly any rain at all, extremely rare type and very local, had a couple right little beasts that evening, The last 24/48 hours has been non stop and pretty awesome, we had some also Lightning earlier shooting out alsorts of CGS and Crwlers which we could see in the channel. This definatly makes up for the lack of snow

Another very cool morning with Hail Showers, this area moving towards us now is popping and im keeping an eye on it Oh by the way here's another from last night just as it was moving off, one of the multi strikes we had...

They were very bright tonight, not surprise you could see some of the flashes!

This is just a screengrab so far, my friend has gave me permission to share, there will be more to come photos!

Has all moved off to our east and is dying pretty quick, not bad for January at all! Where abouts did you manage to see it from?

Wow last 2 lots of lightning was amazig, an anvil crawler followed by a multistrikes going right across Sandown Bay, and now another crawler!

Thunderstorm on the Isle of Wight right now! With hail, thunder quite loud, so far about 9/10 strikes, buzzing!!!

Some of these individual showers behind this line is interesting me more, I wouldnt be surprise if some of these overnight let out the odd flash and rumble. Just had a very heavy burst here.

How cool and bizarre, line of precipitation over us now falling as Light-Moderate Hail, love it!

The next 24-48 hours is definitly something to keep an eye on, Upper 850's of -1, surface temperature around 8-10 'c Dewpoints around 3-4'c , personally I think the risk of Lightning is very high for anywhere along the South West, South and South East Coast, Cape and Lifted also at -2 and around 400-500 kg across the channel and the coasts Tomorrow especially. Tomorrow Evening is interesting me a lot Though I dont think there will be a lot of showers, but they will be very organised if any develop and it wont take much either, plus the air will be quite dry too so there could be some impressive skies too. Last night we actually had some lightning just off the Coast off Ventnor and there was some very lively showers too.

I like the ECM that looks like it would set up to be a very good Scandi high, though it looks like it would be short lived with a 3-4 day cold spell then sink back in Europe, though it is still 240 hours out there will be alot of ups and downs however I still think the end of January and into February is when things will get interesting. This to me has a very good shape about it, and would open the floodgates for that Easterly which id take any day. Id take a Scandi High with a raging Easterly instead of a dry cold Northerly, personally in my eyes they are more reliable for the sub zero temperatures and Snow, however this would depend on your location as well of coarse. I would take a Scandi high or Greeny, but the Greenland high is fighting a lost cause.

Really Heavy shower earlier, skies looked pretty sweet behind, got a picture of more showers in the distance too.

Thought this may be of used to you guys, we run our own local forecasts but look at things on whole for the UK, we have done a small video about the upcoming cold spell, hope this helps, and those who are still learning

No one can say for sure right now how long this cold spell will go on for, the met office are hinting that it may go on longer but it may not either, ill just be happy to finally to see good frosty nights and very cold crisp sunny days and if there is any snow it will be a bonus

Looks unsettled and windy Tomorrow, low looks slight deeper than the 12z, looks like it will turn pretty chilly behind it too, perhaps wintry over high ground in the North

Depending where your located with the type of set up, as its coming from a Northerly type source to start with, it will be dry in most places, unless your on Eastern, Northern or some western coasts, as most snow would be mostly showers and at this time of the year the sea helps fuel the showers due to it being warmer too, but as they go too far inland they tend to die out. If the type of set up GFS/ first part of the ECM was in February it would be a different matter, as the sun will be just about strong enough to produce Land convective snow showers. However some charts do have a bit more snow in them than others due to some odd troughs, kinks and little lows mixed in which would be better for widespread sleet/snow. Though at this stage though its is very early to say whether it will snow or not where ever you are, things can very quickly change still

Bit of a Mess with some of these but again majority of the Ensembles is also on board with the colder weather, I didnt realise it had snow symbols at the bottom too, nice to see it shows risk too

Busy in here Tonight! And no wonder why after that incredible ECM, it definitely has some remenses of December 2010 in there. The fact that Everything links up with that Arctic high is asking for trouble! Long may this trend continue! Of coarse we will expect downgrades and upgrades, will definitely be a roller coaster ride! Fingers crossed!

GFS going for a reload at the end! Theres only one way that low is going and thats South..

Getting a bit far out but how about a potential Channel low though, the uppers are just on the cusp for the South Which eventually gets there by 186

So far I am liking this run too, there is a better shape to it than the 6z, it also looks like it could be better for the colder weather to hang on longer than it did on the 6Z Still looking pretty decent at 162! UKMO though looks better for snow even Earlier though!