m1chaels

Lets hope it is not as bad as feared, not sure the country can cope with a flooding crisis at the same time as a covid crisis and lockdown.

528?

The models are showing quite widely 10-20mm of precipitation so depending whether the majority falls as snow then totals could be quite high. The shift to amber has not added depth but has seen the likelihood increase.

When I were a lad in the 80s and we got these snow to rain breakdown events often because it was frontal snow it would arrive with lots of wind (a wind and rain event but snow first) and after the warm up and rain the general cover would clear but there would still be massive drifts behind the hedgerows. Are we looking at strong enough winds tomorrow morning that if there is a spell of snow it could lead to big drifts? My location is forecast 15mph, not sure if this is enough for drifting?

So yesterday's front that brought only rain was quite happy to stall, tomorrow's that might bring snow on the leading edge will sweep through....

Note it gets the warning more for its potential impact than its potential likelihood....

So it has finally got cold enough...and of course the precipitation has stopped Personal Weather Station Dashboard | Weather Underground WWW.WUNDERGROUND.COM Weather Underground provides local & long-range weather forecasts, weather reports, maps & tropical weather conditions for locations worldwide.

I don't think Harmonie got there until right before the event, slightly earlier runs were putting the precipitation further N across central London and then before that N London.

So the BBC (I know) has suddenly downgrade the warm up of next week so 5s and 6s from 9s, can't say this sounds like a win but there is an 'event' to look out for overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning.

Harmonie is teasing a covering for S Essex/N London this evening between 18:00 and midnight - no idea where this is supposed to come from?

So Harmonie (which picked up on lying snow on the South Downs) is now predicting two events for our region, streamers into the N of E Anglia over the next 24 hours and then snow moving down from the North and fizzling starting in the early hours of Friday morning.... https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=nlnl&MODELL=harmonie40&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=202101061200&VAR=weas&HH=48&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

Don't worry, the Super Saints hold the record for most points dropped from a winning position - remember when we were 2-0 up and Ole was a goner and that was the start of the great Man U comeback (and Pochinetto has ended up in PSG as a result). Some of the charts show a streamer making it as far as Herts but mostly very light precipitation/rain and sleet.

Harmonie 12z gives lying snow on the South Downs..... weather model knmi - harmonie-arome model - england - snow accu. [base + 48] [base= 03-01-2021 12 utc]| weatheronline WWW.WEATHERONLINE.CO.UK Weather for UK, Ireland and the world. Sailing, Marine Weather, Weather maps, radar, satellite, climate, historic weather data, information about meteorology, reports, weather warning.

Snap, 8 miles SE of Winchester, is was king cold walking the mile home from the bus stop and we had ice on the inside of the bedroom windows but no deep snow just grains in the wind and flakes blowing across the ground.

Snow here and temp crashed from 5 to 1 in a few minutes but no thunder