Trouble is we have seen quite a few extremly bitter Easterlies at the t+144 time-range which have never materilised or have just missed us this winter.The credibility off all weather models beyond t+144 is so poor is best to ignore them. I think despite this being a cold winter,i still think we have missed out on an exceptionally cold- winter,by just missing out on the extremly cold air out to the N AND E ,apart from mid Dec,and again the early part of Jan. Close,but still a frustating Winter in my book,and i dont think the models have performed very well either