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Everything posted by near northampton
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
near northampton replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Pauski -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
near northampton replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed also add in 3 record Breaking months for warmth, June and September 23 and Feb 23 also smashing the January record this year which was every not a dramatic as July 22, clearly CC, but models continue to show anomalous rainfalls totals, -
Incorrect, the Northern Home Counties and Gloucestershire where I live both had significant snowfall in December 2022, was over a foot of snow in the high Cotswolds and 6 inches here in Cheltenham which lay on the ground for a week. It wasn't forecast and occurred in a slack flow. You are taking the precip charts at face value here.
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Indeed, and before the the euro high was established, Spain broke its all time December high on the 12th December with 29.9c in Malaga. Much is talked about scandi cold pooling earlier in the December, no one it appears was looking the other way. Month after month of record high breaking temperatures across Europe. Of course that in itself is not a driver of our weather now? Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99584-model-output-discussion-into-winter/?do=findComment&comment=4978474
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
near northampton replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed, and before the the euro high was established, Spain broke its all time December high on the 12th December with 29.9c in Malaga. Much is talked about scandi cold pooling earlier in the December, no one it appears was looking the other way. Month after month of record high breaking temperatures across Europe. Of course that in itself is not a driver of our weather now? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
near northampton replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Disagree with the first part of your post but totally agree with the 2nd part some reality -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
near northampton replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Both scenarios are highly unlikely, how many times have the above occurred in the last 20 years? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
near northampton replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What are the overriding factors? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
near northampton replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I look at this chart and see lowland southern Germany and wonder what their Weather forums are discussing! We need some perspective here I think -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
near northampton replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For potential cold weather Strange times, outside of NWP Matt Hugo not very interested backed up by Tamara, Exeter don't seem interested, has anyone ever considered all the models are wrong? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
near northampton replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's the hope that will kill you, when was the last time the models showed a Scandinavian hiigh at 10 days and it happens? rare as hen's teeth. I do think that NWP has not adjusted to our warming climate in Winter -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
near northampton replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You have stated that AAM will remain positive and when questioned why you have assured us that 2 other occasional albeit educated members will give us an explanation for your statement? -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
near northampton replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I live 2 miles from the airport, if the wind direction is correct we should see a foehn effect off leckhampton hill and another high temperature, maybe 32c -
You are absolutely correct, however the phrase has crossed the Atlantic and been adapted in the UK to mean a spell of warm weather in September or October
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
near northampton replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep good question, love to have some insight from this very thankful prolific poster as to why September "might" have an unsettled theme? Why -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
near northampton replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Of course they change on a daily basis! Are you expecting them not to? I reckon the outcome will be different tomorrow! -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
near northampton replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
10 minutes of moderate to heavy rain, 2 cracks of thunder, frustrating but that's weather -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
near northampton replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
near northampton replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
near northampton replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Angry skies to my east here in Cheltenham, rumbles of thunder being heard, missed out yesterday as 2 storms went to the east and west of me, fingers crossed -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
near northampton replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yep thunder was fairly close to me here in Cheltenham -
Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
near northampton replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Fascinating output the last few weeks, must be the latest to reach 25c for many a year the input for Tamara, Cambrian and others has been phenomenal, the R word looks to be receding, the sheer longevity of this high pressure is remarkable -
Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
near northampton replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep agreed And golf Courses -
The signal from the models for rain in Iberia is very welcome, the drought is very serious, the Spanish government yesterday issued a 2.2 billion euro package to help affected parties including farmers who's livelihoods are are under great strain.
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Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition
near northampton replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
These are the consequences of abnormal weather at the wrong time, feel for the sheep farmers and what could happen in the worst case.