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weirpig

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    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, JamesC said:

    Latest UKV 09z is now substantially downgraded in windspeed gusts from yesterday afternoon / evening. This is still a powerful storm but it has without a doubt downgraded for the majority of areas when compared to yesterday. 

    I think that the MO have got the red warning spot on here and personally do not expect to see any additional red warnings, unless the sting jet comes to fruition. 

    Before you discuss the term 'downgraded' please compare the UKV charts for 09z to 15z/18z/21z from last night. As a whole I'd estimate a fall in windspeed from 10-15mph for a lot of areas.

    The sting jet is concerning though.

     

    Edit: How do you post past charts from netweather website, if you click on the image it only shows the current model run? Like the one attached. (09z)

    nmmukgust.png

    Yep  certainly the winds are down compared to yesterday  60-75mph  perhaps through  england and wales.  with the areas in the red zone  80 plus  

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Jo Farrow said:

    I'd imagine a Red warning for say London and/or SE England involves conversations with many organisations and depts. Essentially, under that level of warning, people should be at home, transportation closing down, schools shut. Half term coming up for many, don't want people heading off on hols early by car. Massive decision to issue a RED for such a location, so that may be why there is a lull currently (if it comes)

    To be fair that sounds like a good point.  There are some huge cities that are likely to see 75 mph plus winds if the organisation is  to put those into the Red warning i would thought takes some discussions and time.

    • Like 1

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

    Fascinating that the main area of attention is shifting to the eastern half of the country. The approach to the SW has definitely weakened slightly, to the extent that it may not need a red warning there. But it's clearly restrengthening as it passes to the east of Birmingham. Looks like 90mph possible across parts of eastern England on this Arpege 06Z. Definitely a candidate for a red warning. Will the Arome 06Z follow?

    To be honest im not sure were you would put a red warning.  Most England and Wales seem at high risk.  Blanket Red?.  i really dont know.

    Storm Eunice - 18th February

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, GokouD said:

    I know it's going to be disruptive, but I can't help wishing I still lived in Swansea anyway... Looks like I'm in the boring zone, too far south for a snow chance, too far north for anything exceptional wind-wise.

    really?  according to the ukmo  Shropshire  etc could be in the purople zone (  winds over 75mph) for nearly 7 hours.   anywhere in England is at risk of severe disruption

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