[Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives]

 

Crikey  city centres will be like a furnace 

[Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives]

A tad warm Monday 

[Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives]

Quite a range of uppers for Monday on the ensembles  to be expected at this range.  Some still show exceptional warmth with uppers around 24. Either way  a warm and exceptional period of weather for some 

[Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives]

13 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

MOGREPS looking pretty extreme and prolonged, including the control (dark blue line).

Yep very warm on that set of runs. High thirties I would have thought 

[Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives]

[Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives]

Glorious summer weather on offer from the ECM   then towards the end of the run. Seriously hot temps on the brink of southern England.  I've seen worse summer charts 

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards]

Well rain as arrived  no real developments as of yet  still expecting to be a tad east for any main activity  

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Just now, DIS1970 said:

Still nothing too severe here - no bins blown over yet.

Winds expected between 1-2pm  i would have thought around 60mph   

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Just now, chris78 said:

Its a discussion board, I think we will carry on.  Cheers

Not when we have been told to stop   cheers

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

1 minute ago, chris78 said:

Everyone has a right to an opinion, but equally if that opinion is clearly nonsense others are entitled to treat it with the contempt i deserves.   74 mph at Hun airport, 70 mph widely in populated areas.  75 + is hurricane force.   What the hell were you expecting from today?   We dont live in hurricane alley, 70+ winds in populated areas is a huge event for this country.        So yes express an opinion, but if it so clearly flies in the face of fact, expect ridicule.

another who as missed the point   anyway  discussion closed

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Just now, kold weather said:

You said majority in the south are getting 50-60, my main bone of contention is your underselling it. Still here is a total list of all stations above 60mph, note quite a few have not yet reported the figures for the previous hour!

1. Mumbles (43 m)88 mph
2. Cornwall Airport Newquay (103 m)81 mph
3. Isle of Portland (52 m)81 mph
4. St. Catherine's Point (24 m)81 mph
5. Pembrey Burrows (6 m)80 mph
6. Scilly St Mary (30 m)80 mph
7. Plymouth MtBatten (50 m)77 mph
8. Bournemouth (10 m)76 mph
9. Camborne (88 m)76 mph
10. Capel Curig (215 m)76 mph
11. Cardinham (199 m)75 mph
12. RM Chivenor (6 m)75 mph
13. Alderney Channel Is (71 m)73 mph
14. Biggin Hill (183 m)73 mph
15. Milford Haven (32 m)71 mph
16. Farnborough (64 m)71 mph
17. Middle Wallop (91 m)70 mph
18. Aberporth (134 m)70 mph
19. Thorney Island (3 m)70 mph
20. MoD Boscombe Down (126 m)69 mph
21. Jersey Airport (84 m)69 mph
22. RAF Odiham (118 m)69 mph
23. London Oxford Airport (82 m)68 mph
24. RAF Little Rissington (210 m)68 mph
25. Aberdaron (94 m)67 mph
26. RNAS Culdrose (84 m)66 mph
27. Liscombe (347 m)66 mph
28. Dunkeswell Airport (253 m)66 mph
29. London City Airport (5 m)66 mph
30. Yeovil (20 m)65 mph
31. Guernsey Airport (101 m)65 mph
32. Benson (57 m)65 mph
33. London Southend Airport (15 m)63 mph
34. Raf Mona (62 m)63 mph
35. Northolt (39 m)63 mph
36. Exeter Airport (30 m)63 mph
37. Larkhill (133 m)62 mph
38. St Athan (49 m)62 mph
39. Cardiff Airport (67 m)62 mph
40. Shoreham Airport (2 m)62 mph
41. High Wycombe (205 m)62 mph
42. Heathrow Airport (25 m)61 mph
43. Southampton Airport (9 m)61 mph
44. Weybourne (20 m)60 mph
45. Sennybridge (307 m)60 mph
46. Andrewsfield Aerodrome (87 m)60 mph
47. Luton Airport (160 m)60 mph
48. London Stansted Airport (106 m)60 mph

There are only about 10 stations currently reporting less than 60mph in the south, most of those are in Kent and EA, so safe to say they will probably join that list soon.

Lol  I understnd  that  its a nasty storm  im not denying that  but come on Kold    anyway  enough from me  hope all you get high winds stay safe

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Just now, Mapantz said:

Your opinion and the facts couldn't be any further apart..

Oh here is is  lets take this to PM  Belittler

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

1 minute ago, Mark Smithy said:

This is just the top 20, showing a massive geographical range so you are not telling the truth

 

 

Eh  thats 20 weather stations  out of how many in the south at the moment    most areas are still not  near 70 mph 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Just now, kold weather said:

Except from that last part is flat out false, many reports between 60-70mph even as of 11am. Definate increase in winds has occurred since then so I expect to see more reports into the low 70s, which for inland S.Englakd IS rare.

Whats false?  Away from the coasts at the moment  in the london area  its propb gusting 50-60 mph     and i understand it may be rare   but its not as severe as some are making out 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Just now, Snowy L said:

Midlands is ahead of the peak winds,and the places that are peaking now are getting it very bad.

 

Not really  ok i understnd 60mph winds are rough  but for the majority  at the moment  thats the highest they are getting   some of the posts are like armagedon is happening     its rough yes  and it may get worse   but some of the posts     

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

1 minute ago, Nick L said:

I'm guessing the widespread gusts of 70mph in the south and an English record wind gust aren't enough?

You were never going to get bad conditions in Manchester.

Nick  widespread gusts in 70s the south  ie devon etc  are not un normal  and a english record  at the needles is yes impressive  but its not indicative of England.  Some of the reaction at the moment on this thread is alittle OTT    it may get worse  but at worst the majority are only seeing around 50-60mph gusts  at the moment  Its descending into hyperbole  IMO  

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

Just now, AltonMatthew said:

Definitely the north south divide in the reaction to this storm. Arwen was way worse for us here and we got on with it with no red warning and 2 days without power and water! Damaged fence down south and its the storm of the century.

 

still calm and bright here.

Lo  yep i saw some of those posts.  It may get worse  but at the moment  quite a reaction from some with 50mph winds    Anything approaching 70mph  then thats when it becomes severe

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

1 minute ago, Marcus_surfer said:

It's getting alot worse now. 75mph gust just recently 

75 mph  is bordering on the severe cat   

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

Calm  maybe see  high gusts around 1pm   Other than that.  Typical winters storm?.   may see some fences down etc

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

2 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

An "upgrade" for N Cornwall/N Devon in the next couple of hours, now forecasting well into the 90s

Sting jets still there on both AROME and ARPEGE 06Zs but the worst of it concentrated near S Lincs, The Wash and N Norfolk on AROME. ARPEGE takes it straight through Norwich and Great Yarmouth. Both suggesting 90 mph possible. But other spots in the SE could top 80mph too, particularly Kent and the coasts. 

Yep comaprison  Arp

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

I suppose all models are pointless now  but anyway arome wind speeds

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Just now, Midlander said:

Yeah, not really that stormy to be honest at the moment

Im sure we may hit 60 here  but i dont think it will be on Doris level 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Im sure this storm will pack a punch  maybe 80 plus somewhere   but i think for the majority  70mph will probably be the max   nasty yes   but im unsure it will warrant  a red/amber in most areas. As always time will tell      

[Midlands Regional Weather Discussion]

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

1 minute ago, Malarky said:

Can you share the charts please?

No problem  arome