weirpig
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Posts posted by weirpig
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Just now, Gordon Webb said:
you referring to the stuff coming across from Ireland
Yes. It seem to be growing in size as it makes its way. Met office warnings exclude most of Wales i believe
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Just looking at the radar again and there is quite a big mass heading towards wales was that forecast?. because in the next hour or so Wales could experience quite a bit of rainfall.
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1 minute ago, STORMGUY said:
some signs of cloud development along wales/england border.
Yep ive noticed that. certainly warm here temps of 26.3 with a DP of 17.1 all seems good at the moment.
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developments off the south of ireland approaching wales seem very potent very humid and muggy here at the moment
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2 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
East I would say, West normally misses out, storms and snow, East is always best
What! West midlands does well for snow and thunder compared to other parts. El Brumo etc i have also seen snow every year for the past 10 years.
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6 minutes ago, tomp456 said:
Now is the time to pray the unexpected happens (thinking along the lines of 17th july 2017 when we got battered by a storm that was not forecast)
Wow brilliant can you also please give me a quick peep into how the winter will pan out Ta
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2 minutes ago, poseidon said:
It's been pretty random in the past and is often out after 11pm.
Great my wife thinks I mad waiting up to see a storm. Now I'm waiting up for a forecast of a storm . Jezz weirdo alert
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6 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
WHOAH !!!!!!!
ESTOFEX should give a level 2 at least.
Mmm we shall see. I wasn't expecting a severe to be issued . However shows the potential. Interesting day tomorrow
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2 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
Let's hope the storm track follows the ferry route from Santander
Hopefully there is one half a mile from here
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1 minute ago, Weather-history said:
Euro 4 12z is poor though and have to say GFS overdid it last time and Euro 4 was closer to what happened.
Is it out yet? It won't let me see it on weather online
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Hirlam also goes for an early south east to south midlands downpour then a more organised area of precipitation spreading from South Wales across the midlands toward the north east . Interesting
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Taking a quick look at some of the HI Res charts there is still some quite big differences between them (as to be expected) below are a quick sample of said charts. Hirlam goes initially for a south east event edging into the midlands were as at the same time the arpege takes the main band sightly more North and West giving the midlands and east anglia more in the way of rain. Later on in the day hirlam gives most rain to the midlands ,northern england, towards the north east whilst the arpege takes it more towards yorkshire. Then again we could get nothing clear as mud.
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Yep following on from Karls post here are a quick selection of charts for Thursday. Of course this is the GFS and only one run so caveats apply however. some interest for sure with high Dew points things could potentially go bang
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On 29/06/2017 at 11:55, snowwman said:
The 30mb level isn't negative in the chart yet- only the 10, 15 and 20, but June's value will be negative at 30mb.
Yep and as you stated Junes 30mb was indeed negative. all ticking along quite nicely.
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1 minute ago, snowwman said:
The 30mb level isn't negative in the chart yet- only the 10, 15 and 20, but June's value will be negative at 30mb.
Ahh yeas sorry the 20mb level which sits at just -207 after only at two months of going negative at 10Hpan surely that must be a good sign. infact i cant see another year which has the same intesity propagating down at that timeframe.
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looking at the table above if im reading it correctly it does show a strong easterly qbo at 30Hpan after only 2 months of a easterly being recorded at 10hPan is this a good sign?. or am i reading the chart totally ockerd.
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20 minutes ago, PerfectStorm said:
Has been a thoroughly wet day, has not stopped since 11am. Pretty poky showers/thunderstorms developed over the northern home counties and continued til around 4pm until a more general area of rain moved up from Channel. At one point I'd never seen rain as heavy as I did, was crazy.
How strange and just over the border we have hardly had any rain dribs and drabs and very gloomy
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18 minutes ago, seaside 60 said:
Looking at the latest SSTs, thats an enormous blob of cold water in the mid North Atlantic, looks far larger than recent years.
See no one has posted here since March, surely some one has a comment or two to make.
The atlantic certainly is becoming cooler infact the
North Atlantic Cooling Has Plunged Below 1950s (And 1800s) Levels – And Scientists Project More Cooling
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Still 27.1c here with a dp of 21 Very humid and warm. I'm sure some will see some storms surely?
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Just hit dp of 20 here in dudley currently 29.7c Expect to reach over 30c in the next hour . Then?? Who knows
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2 minutes ago, NL said:
A level 2 was issued for Northern England mainly for (very) large hail, severe wind gusts and tornadoes.
Interesting as it stands midlands north could be in for quite an event. Of course it could all change but the ingredients are there
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Latest gfs again shows potential. But will it go boom?
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9 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:
In regards to the posts about supercells, only a couple really stand out over the past few years
28th June 2012 being the recent benchmark for UK storm activity
and July 1st 2015 which saw large hail over North Yorkshire
I remember the storm in the summer of 1999 by far the best I've seen tornados galore
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I've seen worse potential
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Convective / Storm Discussion Thread - 31st May 2017 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
become very cloudy now in Wolverhampton espicially to the west and still warm at 27.4