[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

With -11c 850s & DP's below freezing can we expect snow on coasts?

[Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond]

11 minutes ago, Bricriu said:

I doubt it. Cold Zonal is probably the best we can hope for. I can't see any Scandi high lasting long  before being brushed aside. 

Do Scandi highs get brushed aside easily then?

[Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond]

2 hours ago, bluearmy said:

Correct

 

Apart from the teleconnective indications, the two week ens were pretty good.  The below from 15 days out. I have plenty of others and the archives of ens output are on meteociel 

 

Thanks BA, I was trying to find that exact chart but struggling to find it on Meteociel. What I'm trying to figure out is; did the ensembles suddenly flip to showing this outcome or was it more gradual? As in, if I looked at the mean on the 22nd of November (the day before the chart above) would you be able to tell that was the direction of travel?

[Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond]

Just now, CreweCold said:

The December spell was advertised weeks and weeks in advance.

Thanks CC, was this shown in the models (ECM/GFS) Or the anomaly charts/longer range?

[Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond]

I'm interested to know if there were signs of the Dec cold spell from looking at this chart? Or would this be the kind of chart that any cold for the following 4 weeks would be written off? Also, did the last cold spell arrive from a period of zonality or was it well modelled prior? TIA

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

18 minutes ago, jodaw84 said:

Not this little bit here in the south east of the south east! 

Have to agree with you there, barely a dusting here in Ramsgate, been working up Rochester all week and all the way down to Broadstairs / Margate border seems to have had good accumulations, yet here in Ramsgate we've had minimal, we have been extremely unlucky to miss out on the worst. Still great to see everyone else enjoying it, just a shame it's not on your doorstep to enjoy. 

[London And Southeast Cold Spell Discussion]

yeah come down - you wont get in though! lol

nw forecast says snow 24/7 till weds for my postcode !

sad thing is i have no one to go out and play in it with - cant get to anyone and no one can get to me

That's a shame especially if we do end up having snow through til Wednesday, luckily iv got my 3yo nephew who loves the snow as much as me, at least we have this forum to exaggerate about our blizzards and ten foot snow drifts lol!

[London And Southeast Cold Spell Discussion]

i think theres a lot of exaggeration going on . looking at Neilsouth's posts, even though he's been reporting "whiteouts" and "blizzards" for the last 3 days, these seem to have amounted to about an inch and a half.

curse of the kentimetres strikes again.

Next thing Yamkin will be on telling us there's a blizzard in Croydon. lol

We have had blizzard conditions since last night although the showers have been on and off, I'd say we have had at least 6" in Thanet, and drifts of 1' plus or 60 kentimetres lol, about time we had a decent dumping of snow, the amount of times we have missed out and the rest of the South East have had decent snowfalls, I think its about time we had our fair share come down & look for yourself if you don't believe us! :s

[London And Southeast Cold Spell Discussion]

Woke up to snow up to a foot deep in places here in Ramsgate absolutely amazing chuffed 2 bits.Still snowing heavy here now.

[London And Southeast Cold Spell Discussion]

Its coming down thick and fast in Ramsgate, drifting in the wind, beautiful, hopefully it will continue through the night and the people of Thanet wake up to a foot...dream on lol! : ) Hope them showers get pushed far inland so anyone who's missed out might wake up to at least a dusting.

[London And Southeast - Cold Spell Discussion]

everything now white here in Ramsgate after a heavy shower, plently of dark clouds on their way by the looks of it. Bring it on!

Blizzard Again.....this has got to be the heaviest snow if seen in long time!

[London And Southeast - Cold Spell Discussion]

Morning peeps, currently snowing heavy in Ramsgate, starting to settle in places, struggling to stick to roads though, hard to make out what is going to happen next week its been an up and down ride reading the models this week. I love the way some people take every single run as if it is going to happen then when it doesn't how downbeat they become! Shower stopped then started again, should be more later, if neilsouths map is anything to go by, fingers crossed!

[London And Southeast - Cold Spell Discussion]

Morning all, long time lurker finally joined, light rain / sleet here in Ramsgate, looking forward to snow later in week as the colder uppers take hold. Dewpoint 1c 33.8F, Air Temp 3.8c 38.8F