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Mike the Fish

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    Bournemouth - Dorset

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  1. Guys who told you that? I'm an Insurance Broker and that is complete rubbish.
  2. Bless you Jay, that is not a whiteout my friend, I think you may see one tomorrow if the winds continue as forecast. I think you are in a good spot
  3. I have a feeling you may well be surprised. In my experience, these low pressure systems are very hard to predict in terms of where they track, intensity, but based on past experience I would not be surprised if this ends up tracking further east and south meaning more of the SW are affected and remaining on the right side of the snow/rain possibilities. No technical data to back up my theory only life experience. I think how the low pressure interacts with the intense cold air is unpredictable and this could well be a now cast situation with met warnings popping up a short notice.
  4. Don't give up just yet, still 3 days to go and the models are still struggling to get a handle on the low pressure in terms of track, intensity, how far north it gets. I don't think the models do particularly well in dealing with the intense cold air that will be in situ. I have seen it before where the low has be progged to track up to the midlands and not even made it out of France. Some of the models have already shown the low stalling. I think its track will be much more important. Keep the faith, lots more twists and turns to come me thinks!!
  5. Keep the faith for Sunday guys, in my experience over the years these low pressure systems are unpredictable even up to 6 -12 hours out and more often than not tend to track further south than modelled. Now, i'm not saying we are going to be knee deep in snow, but I wouldn't be surprised to see this tracking further south than progged and some us snow starved southerners seeing the white stuff. Anyone else follow my thoughts?
  6. Well good morning fellow southerners and south westerners. It looks like I've managed to drag my sorry rear end out of summer hibernation just in time to see the latest possibilities of snow for us snow starved southerners stand on a knife edge. Track south Mr Low Pressure god damn it lol. Hope everyone is well.
  7. Famous last words lol.............. A week in weather forecasting is a life time. 48hrs is about as far as I trust and even then snowcasting can come down to looking out the window. That said, that setup would be much more favourable for our neck of the woods so fingers crossed. Hop on the roller coaster but beware its gonna be a bumpy ride. Snizzle lol, I had a very light dusting of snizzle on the car this morning, tiny little ice crystals.
  8. Agreed, we are always too far South and either too far west or too far east or its all rain. One day our time will come again! To be honest be always tend to fair better when the cold air has established itself and the mild air from the Atlantic tries to push back in and if you are very lucky the fabled Channel Low. Seems quite a few fellow South/South Western folk are also suffering from no snow hangovers!!! Back to the drawing board (Charts) to see when our next let down will be lol Oh the joy of British Winter. Congrats to those that go some of the white stuff!
  9. Yes Dorsetbred, very sleety mix at the moment and I am literally spitting distance from the sea!!
  10. Ha Ha Jethro, your snow obsession is impressive!!!! I'm always the optimist but even my half full glass is now empty having drunk it all in despair. Hick
  11. That is a great post Martin, as a new poster I didn't want to start telling people not to place too much faith in these weather apps for fear of being told to do one before making friends!! Am I right in thinking these apps only use raw data?
  12. Temperature and dew points fairly steady here in Bournemouth. I feel the rain band will have passed before the cold air digs in. I think that other than the usual suspects ie. Dartmoor, Salisbury etc there are going to be a lot of disappointed people. Is it me or has the media gone crazy, they seem to be reporting snowmageddon coming
  13. Jay!!! Had me searching for Cardiff Webcams then lol
  14. Someone has taken the temperature sensor indoors lol
  15. It does seem the forecasters are really struggling to get a handle on this event especially for us folk down south. I guess its because its so marginal it literally could go either way and far too many factors involved in forecasting snow i.e you can have 6 inches of snow in one area and 5 miles down the road it can be pouring with rain. Who would be a meteorologist in balmy Britain, tough gig!!
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