cobbett

Ugh - rain and more rain. 24th Oct looks horrendous !

Here you go http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/77585-snow-and-ice-in-the-northern-hemisphere-201314/

Blimey poor old Gaz was posting a CFS chart for January and got slated yet its ok for Crewecold to do so !! I can see why anyone posting a chart promoting a mild alternative has a hard time on these forums during winter

Thankfully the metoffice update at least for the south is for near or above avg temps for the south for end of oct. reading the mod thread makes it appear winter is fast approaching but just like the elusive hunt for the white stuff its more in hope than anything else !

Lol I think the point was being out and about - not sure many will have a smile on their faces, I'll take refuge in the pub

Unless it shows cold of course

Will not be sunny but still gotta be better than cold and wet... i'll shut the door on the way out

Just a lttle drizzle on and off today and brightening up now in southampton - have to laugh at the forecasts, not even close

Ah ok so still down on the long term average - that was the bit I didn't grasp ! Thanks for the link

Latest Meto outlook still going for rain in south and gales in western areas for next week - confusing

I know very little regarding this area - but doesn't less Sea Ice equate to colder winters. Comparing the ice extent from this time last year shows a big increase but according to what I've read this isn't great if you want a cold winter

Quite and models still looking fairly benign (or boring depending on your point of view) for a awhile longer..hurrah

Do unsettled weather fans actually go outside to enjoy that weather or watch it from the comfort of their armchair ?

Here you go http://matthugo.wordpress.com/2013/05/14/summer-2013-thoughts-and-analysis/

I'll look forward to his winter forecast, though his summer one wasn't great

Edited for 3 months hence

A nice sunny 20Ñ would be perfect for early September

Excellent - Cheers William

All looks good then for next week but I have one concern in that I'm off to Swansea for a long golf weekend from Fri 30th and without fail we have always had rain/gales for at least part of this weekend. I've now told the party that this year will be different as all the models and anomaly charts are all as one for a high pressure dominated week to come so take the shorts and suncream ! I'm hoping to not have an epic fail on this so is there one model which is showing some unsettled conditions for next weekend so at least I can add a caveat of sorts just in case ! It all seems just too good to be true at the moment

EC32 now going for a settled and warm period for end of august after going for unsettled couple of weeks ago - hmm well thats jinxed this upcoming warm spell then ! Isn't this the model thats costs zillions and not available to mere mortals ? seems to flipflop all the time

I occasionally have a look at Matts twitters and even today it is still on the unrelenting unsettled theme for the next week (and rest of august) and telling all that there is no settled weather to come. I find this extraordinary as so far this august the weather has beeen excellent with only one day of heavy rain last monday (albeit i am in SE). Looking at the models today I would say there is a reasonable chance of some fine and possibly warm weather to come next week, but no hint of that with Matt's interpretation !!

Matt Hugo very confident of no return to summer weather for the first half of august.. "Low pressure is forecast to remain an influential feature of the weather throughout the first half of August and there is quite high confidence in this prediction" We shall see, but don't think his summer forecast is panning out too well at the moment !

I can never see the relevance of some of these long term forecasts as they are so vague , it appears to be that the success of a forecast is based on whether the actual temp is either below average/average or above average or likewise with precipitation. If someone mentions above average precipitation then to me that implies a wet and fairly miserable summer, but then if we have 7 days out of the month where we a have a deluge of rain and the other 3 weeks dry and warm then I would consider that a perfect summer. Likwise 1 week cold and miserable and 3 weeks heatwave ..perfect !

Yep I know this is the Sun but according to the article - http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/4881369/Is-the-UK-set-for-Arctic-weather.html "Met Office chief scientist Julia Slingo said climate change was “loading the dice†towards freezing, drier weather — and called publicly for the first time for an urgent investigation." Interesting then that Julia in an interview with "Geography In the News' dated June 211 was asked the followiing 9. What changes are we likely to experience in Britain’s weather in coming years as a result of climate change? "Current predictions for later this century show that UK winters are likely to become milder and wetter. Summer weather is likely to be warmer but with less rainfall, although when the rain in summer does fall, it could be in the form of intense downpours." No wonder so many people have an ambivalent attitude to Global Warming if so called respected experts keep changing there views based on an unusually cold month. I presume the Met Office will be back to forecasting mild winters when next March happens to be unusually Mild ??!!

Itv weather going on about snow showers in the south this morning yet looking at the radar there is zilch showing anything near the region !