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ZONE 51

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Everything posted by ZONE 51

  1. Would have taken to long to edit in the 100000 bicycles, 500000 old dustbins, and 90000000000000 beer cans.. [if you just logged on I'm referring to an image of a dried out Thames] (not possible this month)
  2. This ^^^ what I said back in early Nov, and very much what has been with the Jet continuing strong, I went for late cold but severe, can't find my posts on what I stated about the Scandi high and northeasterly from mid January onwards but looks good to happen (if you like cold that is! even mild fans want a change I bet!) Looking back at some others posts in here and the forecast thread many if not most people predicted it to be getting cold late January. This could happen soon, and the point is most forecasts/posts regarding the winter prospects went for cold late winter and we are here now at this point and the watch is on!
  3. Would like to share with readers a piece of my image design work, as we are in the floods with the Thames wanted to show what it could look like if London was in drought with a dry river. (created a few years ago)
  4. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=clay&HH=24&ZOOM=1&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&PANEL=0&LOOP=0&INFO=0&WMO= Cloud layers, very useful especially for looking for the increasing high cloud ahead of weather systems on sunny days..
  5. Watching an area of wintry ppn affecting from Liverpool down to Birmingham moving east now. EURO4 indicates the snow risk for areas on the northern part of this ppn band (Leeds and a bit north of here) (also some snow for Scotland) NAE shows some small zones within this ppn band as snow: Can show you an image of earlier radar (about 1hr ago) have indicated on the map the area of wintry precipitation(hill snow moslty) Also to note is the snow shown on the charts for Scotland for Tuesday(today) Met office have issued warnings for Ice and also the snow for Scotland today: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1389657600 (was issued early Mon)
  6. Didn't see the river getting into the gardens along the Thames back then! still was very high and fast though.
  7. Incredible images from the air of Surrey floods [Thames] 2014 http://www.getsurrey.co.uk/news/local-news/sky-high-snaps-show-scale-thames-6503197 Used to live in Weybridge, and I have seen the Thames very high, not been there recently to compare to what it is now. also so often went to the Walton Thames. Some photos below from floods of Jan2008: And here comparing the drought of 2006 and the floods during winter2008:
  8. Yes and I advise if possible to take a big long stick use this to 'feel' the ground in shallow waters for holes.. on unfortunate fall into hole quickly turn big stick to a horizontal -------------- position...
  9. Models are indicating rain hanging around over the SE tonight, this especially over parts of Kent and possibly east Sussex, if this happens could see up at and around 10-12mm in places, it could miss and brush the Kent coast but latest radar suggests batch of heavy rain heading up from France now, are update later if I'm on here if any changes with this, but for now have done a map for the possibility of the feature/front slowing down over land. (Map goes up to 7am Tue) A low-medium risk map here of this happening, the medium risk for rain covering Kent and east Sussex. Ground very sensitive for rain, and after todays downpours (couldn't do map for this) then more so the risk for mid week potential floods-as more prolonged heavy rainfall.
  10. Monday (today) GFS: Taking a look at the Surface Pressure Tendency hpa for 1800hrs: This shows rising pressure at the rear of today's rainfall, this is a high pressure ridge resulting in a drier window for Tue. Before this though we have lower pressure and showery weather, the models indicating most places from north to south seeing some rainfall today, some of this heavy, some showery, and with prolonged bursts in places, a few models are indicating heavy downpours for the south, I expect the Central south and SE seeing some more prolonged rain late on Monday and a possible 12-15mm, EURO4 and NAE showing a pulse of rain for the SE during the evening, EURO4: NAE: So a day of heavy showers/rain and with some thundery especially the south and possibly adding to flood problems, and this is all before mid weeks rainfall. A look ahead suggest some very wet weather to come. The GFS accumulated ppn up to later Friday:
  11. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/weathercharts?LANG=en&MAPS=vn&CONT=ukuk&LAND=__&ZEIT=201401150600
  12. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/weathercharts?CONT=ukuk&MAPS=gww&LANG=en&LOOP=0&ZEIT=____
  13. Fair enough but try not to dis (put down) peoples forecasts before we get past the period it covers. Yes I also predicted a cold and snowy January, a mid month Northeasterly was expected, the Scandi high set-up. It's been a turbulent stormy and unusual few weeks and not many expected it to be so severe, it's put some forecasts out (long range) but there is still hope that the pattern can change and possibly a late very cold winter and spring, but also the chances of continuing mild and wet or not to cold and dry, just have to see what happens, perhaps more interesting not really knowing!
  14. See the FAX at +48hr had looked at this earlier, noticed the big distance between the warm front and cold front behind is a site and looks like it doing the splits!
  15. This CFS chart here indicating cold air plunged into N/E Europe with the 510 dam, this is far out it's late February but at least gives an idea that the cold could be never to far away even late winter, these charts best checked for consistency of general pattern, this model has been good over the years for indicating Arctic blasts for example even 2 months out, it did well last winter.
  16. Everyone is entitled to their opinion, but you say "Can't see February being any different to what we're experiencing now." then why say someones else's forecast/prediction for Feb is fantasy... this is fantasy too then isn't it?
  17. Personally I think now is the most exciting/interesting part of winter, for cold and snow prospects. Next week hill snow for the north possible, and possibly disruptive snowfall, if features track across the south with rain then the cold further north could well intrude south, I'd expect the risk is there of lower level snow in north inclu central areas..
  18. http://pcsupport.about.com/od/productkeysactivation/tp/topkeyfinder.htm These might help make sure check the downloads with a scan, these are recommended from"About[dot]com" respected site.
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