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Craig84

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    Bristol
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    High pressure, snow + alll extremes of weather

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  1. Craig84

    Craig84

  2. Morning all. Whilst I’m not too worried about the detail at this range, I’m pleased to see the ECM’s idea of low pressure winding up in Greenland area and the jet moving north in response
  3. GFS 234, a huge block is being created here east to west. Is this the sort of setup that will drag in the really cold air from Russia
  4. As others have said. Temps have taken off like a rocket here in Bristol this morning. Currently 29.6 I think we’ll go degree higher than yesterday’s temp of 31.
  5. GFS 06z makes much less of the Atlantic push. The trough disrupts and drops further south drawing more heat up. by next Thursday, this is the result.... 36c in the London area, raw temps ?
  6. Ok, now we’re getting somewhere. I’ll bank this 144 ukmo. Trough pulling back west, jet aligning SW-NE and pressure rising from the south ?
  7. ECM sniffing around a plume at 240hrs too. Pressure falling around Greenland and the trough pulling back west into the Atlantic. Letd hope this trend is built upon in the coming days.
  8. Looking for signs of our next bout of settled weather, I’m encouraged by the 0z ECM. Comparing the 168hrs chart below you can see northern blocking suppressing the jet and associated trough into our area. The next chart is the 240hrs. You can see by then the northern blocking has evaporated and been replaced by low pressure in the southern Greenland area. The trough has pulled back, getting the jet on a favourable SW-NE axis and allowing the Azores high to ridge in. Backed up by the 240 mean ?
  9. It’s still coming down thick and fast here. Due to the slight rise in temp and compacting, I think we’re not accumulating much more tho and will level out at around 20cm. what a fantastic event this has been!
  10. Well i’m gobsmacked at this. 10 years of looking at the models and I never imagined that such a set up could bring me the heaviest snow I’ve seen in my 34 years. Closing in on 20cms here. I just had to take my 4month old son out in it, although I was more exited than he was!
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