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Craig84

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Bristol
  • Weather Preferences
    High pressure, snow + alll extremes of weather

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  1. The GFS 06z is continuing the trend of toning down the depth of the trough next week. The core of the low not making landfall in Scotland before moving away. By 168hrs the Azores high is nosing in again, I think the breakdown has been toned down in the last 24hrs.
  2. What I find fascinating is that normally, following any modelled plume, the jet quickly ramps up and blasts it all away. The 216 and 240 charts while being a bit of a mess, shows this just isn’t happening. Certainly not normal service this year!
  3. Totally agree re the ECM’s strange goings on. With the frames being 24hrs apart, I’ve always enjoyed trying to work out what the next one will be, to some success. But the last few days, I have no idea what it’s going to do next! The frames just don’t seem to stitch together logically if you know what I mean.
  4. UKMO showing a good recovery at 120, 144hrs. Good to see the summer of 2018 also bucking the recent trend of summer troughs getting encased in higher pressure and stuck over the Uk for a week or more. Low lifting out nicely
  5. As Singularity said yesterday, the models are playing around with the positioning of high pressure and therefore where the really hot uppers go will change with it. But when we have charts like this in the mid range, with such a large area of hot uppers so close by, I don’t think anything can be ruled out...
  6. I have to echo this northwestsnow. Tamara, singularity and others have been very impressive in their grasp on the situation this summer. It’s been really enjoyable to follow. What’s also been great is the number of contributors this summer, it’s rivalled winter for the amount of posts and buzz for me. It’s been great to see so many coldies in here this year chasing the heat too! Great stuff
  7. Temperatures not far off 30c this afternoon, which is pretty rare off a westerly for this location and testament to the remarkable summer we’re having.
  8. Goodness me. With the Gfs underplaying of temps, that’s a record breaking chart.
  9. That day 10 chart from the 12 gfs is seriously hot!
  10. Much more like it from the ECM, that’s a scorcher at 168!
  11. And now we have a similar heat pump setup forming on the 06z GFS........
  12. Just comparing the ECM 144 of last night at the bottom to tonight’s ECM 120 below. The jet looks on more of a sw/ne axis tonight with a more robust area of high pressure associated with it. Hopefully this result in a better second half of the run
  13. 210hrs we’re right back in heatwave territory. Goodness me!
  14. By 192hrs High pressure from the SW has reinforced the ridging. Considering we’d already be 2 weeks into a fine spell by this point, it’s fast becoming an exceptional spell of weather.
  15. 06z GFS at 138hrs, lows pulling back into the Atlantic with the jet much better aligned SW-NE. Looks poised to build a good ridge thru Uk and Scandanavia here.
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