Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

BristolBaggie

Members
  • Posts

    130
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Profile Information

  • Interests
    The Baggies I HATE WOLVES

BristolBaggie's Achievements

Newbie

Newbie (1/14)

  • First Post
  • Collaborator
  • Posting Machine
  • Reacting Well

Recent Badges

69

Reputation

  1. Damp and mild here in Bristol. When is this cold spell supposed to start? As Jim Royale would say "Cold spell my a@rse"
  2. Ian F just posted this on the SW thread. Looking good for the Midlands. Wish I was back in the Midlands for Monday! Key uncertainties begin from T+84. It's impossible to gauge outcome on regional level. MOGREPS has snow risk Taunton eastwards for SW/W Country by Monday; WBFL modelling by then considered highly unreliable as for now are UKMO Best Data Tmin/Max as shown via BBC graphics. A concerted W'ly push across all the south Sun night-Mon night only rated 30% prob at present. Rebuild of cold block W'wards into Tues complicates matters enormously. Some folk on forums are doubtless slavishly following/making rash pronouncements based on modelled 850hPa temps as the singular 'snow line' delineation but it's not: the higher Theta-W's will *override* cold boundary layer, offering a very difficult forecast mix ranging from rain-sleet-snow and, moreover, profiles suggestive of freezing rain in places, too. PPN phase algorithms (eg snow charts from EC, GFS, ARPEGE etc) won't synthesise these nuances at all well - yet - due to their granularity and the ongoing output uncertainty at that range. However, currently a fair signal for fronts generally weakening as they run east, and only a minority of ENS presently offer *significant* snow amounts (these in central-E UK where cold air may linger much of the week, whilst W/SW back earlier to average/above average temps). So, fun and games looking likely for my forecast colleagues Sun eve on into Mon, but thankfully I'm not having to deal with this headache until back on shift later Monday!!
  3. The MODs need to completely re-think the Model Discussion thread I can see why Fergie has stopped posting in there. There are too many novices in there misinterpreting each model run. It's best to ignore them and follow the experienced posters
  4. Very confusing situation this morning. Can anybody shed some light on the fronts which were going to give snow to western parts Mon/Tuesday. Some posts saying things have changed and no snow expected?
  5. Poor Ian earlier tried to tell us the weather but was let down with his graphics.. Thought he coped with it really well. Live TV can be a risky business!,
  6. Has Mr Murr gone into hiding.? He took on the met office and lost this round.
  7. What a depressing BBC 1 forecast at 13:15.;Fairly dry week with odd bits of sleet and snow tues,wed but nothing of any interest or troublesome. What happened to the sliders which were going to produce good falls of snow to some parts?
  8. I think Fergie's post about snow Midlands north next week has dampened southerners spirits aswell
  9. Here's Fergie take on the weekend. Looks like the front turning to snow in Belgium, Netherlands and France. Rain for the UK.
×
×
  • Create New...