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moffatross

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moffatross last won the day on March 16 2015

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  1. Well, your unblemished record may go unbroken, even on a full-blown Easterly that the model output thread lot have been up and down about for what seems like weeks. The 18Z GFS models mostly dry, a bit of rain, and at T384, some sleet !
  2. Yes, I've summited on touring skis in storm blizzard conditions by day and at night by headtorch. Anything over 40 mph is horrendous with the 'feels like' windchill factor being much.much more chilling than it suggests, feeling a whole lot colder than the -30's I've experienced in the Alps and North America. If you're going on foot rather than ski, it will also be much tougher than on skis. I wouldn't contemplate it.
  3. Anyone else get the thundersnow this morning ? I'm just back from working in Wanlockhead. It was hooning down this morning for a couple of hours and a fun drive up at 8 am. Mrs moffatross said thundersnow in Moffat too with multiple cracks of thunder/lightning in the heaviest snow.
  4. I'm back and forth from Moffat to Wanlockhead this week on a decorating job in a house that's at 437 m ASL. I'm expecting a fun drive up there at 8 am tomorrow. On another note, the models are throwing up all sorts of fun and games scenarios just now. This, for Friday evening, could just happen I suppose.
  5. I think today's mild sector was undercut by the cold air a few hours earlier than expected. I've been working in the SECC in Glasgow today, and when I left @ 6.30 it was pishing down rain at 4.5C. By the time I arrived at the South Lanarks/D&G Border at 7.30 pm it was pishing down sleet at 1.5C. It's currently pishing down in Moffat @ 2.5C but I reckon the highest parts of the Southern Uplands will have already been absolutely pasted. The Hopetoun Arms cam is showing the snow is setting in ... http://www.winterhighland.info/cams/lowtherhill/ The one up the hill will be obscured by new snow again by tomorrow morning. I must do something about that ... maybe extending the cowling around it might help but that'd also make it more prone to wind damage. We changed the Lowther Hill camera and its housing a few months ago to one similar to those used at Glencoe but it's been more susceptible to snow build-up than the one we had up there the previous winter (albeit it's also been tested a lot more by the snow this winter too ).
  6. Haha !! It's like a game of sassenach vs teuchter trumps isn't it !
  7. Tchh ! So parochial But don't worry, I'll post photos of the snow in Moffat five ninths the way up my 'yard stick' ;-)
  8. Just loving the 12Z ECM's fantastic prognosis for snow depths in 10 days time https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/42-w-555-n/snow-depth-in/20180219-1200z.html That's inches, not centimetres, folks. Pure pie in the sky I know, but nice eye candy
  9. Storm damage is expensive, so praise be and all that. Thankfully, the UK Met Office aren't (yet) suggesting there'll be any notable storm for anywhere in Scotland any time over the next 6-7 days. As per usual, they've ignored the rather wilder GFS with their projection being closer to ECM, and they're suggesting peak winds in the next week or so will be overnight Saturday into Sunday
  10. Brilliant spot !! I'm still laughing Residents of Saddleworth Moor had to clear snow from their windscreens. Chaos indeed
  11. Yep, predictions were spot on for me too. Just poked the ruler into the snow on roof of van and depth measures 5-6 cm.
  12. Nice ! You're in line for the showers that most of the rest of us won't get today. On the upside, I can see blue sky to the west now
  13. The Met Office 30 day thoughts will change if their material evidence changes and so far they've been rather steadfast with the wording for their 2-4 week projection ... "Through the rest of February it will remain cold but the weather may be more settled with widespread frost overnight. This looks set to last for a while with a greater chance of easterly winds, potentially bringing some very cold weather. However, into the beginning of March, it may turn more changeable at times, although any milder and wetter spells may be fairly short-lived with temperatures generally staying colder than normal." I has barely differed for a good few days. I don't usually do too well out of an easterly but I still enjoy its prospect and surprise snowfall element anyway. On another note, someone in this thread said that -10C @ 850 hPa or below is needed for PM showers to deliver snow even at 200m ASL in the NW English Midlands (Manchester/Oldham etc), which surprised me as we've not seen uppers that cold yet this winter. All our low level cold has been in darkness when snow has been lying, and it's surprising how air temperature can drop from freezing to -10C or below in the space of just an hour or so when the uppers are only -6 or -7.
  14. Intensity recently pepped up from dandruff/light to moderate/Dickensian. There's absolutely nae wind, so anything sheltered is snow-free but areas with an unobstructed line down from the vertical have received a few cm. I just dropped a post in here to add some balance to the force ...
  15. Snow is falling and lying again this morning and it's already been a notable winter for snow and cold with temperatures routinely dropping below -5C, occasionally -10C and below. The snow on the ground day count is certainly the best out of the last 5 years and greatest snow depths here have been around 10-12 inches which is not too shabby for just 145m ASL. To the near future, the 10 day ECM operationals are modelling hit after hit of PM frontal ppn, and the GFS ensembles for 850 height are projecting the next 16 days at 3-5 C below the long term climate average. It's an extraordinary outlook on an already unusually wintry season and the Met office analysis for nest 30 days is both fascinating and mouthwatering.
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