[Model output discussion - mid-winter]

40 minutes ago, Bazray said:

Living south of the M4 and seeing all this snow chat and knowing your going to miss out again

Far to early to make that call my friend...Get the cold in and believe me it will be cold. Some pretty outstanding data coming out now within the reliable. Everything still to play for and Upgrade.  Good winter cold spell on the horizon. Stay tuned.

[Model output discussion - into 2018]

1 minute ago, Purga said:

I think you well & truly jinxed it!

You simply could not make it up...Unless you're the ecm...mind boggling. 

[Model output discussion - into 2018]

59 minutes ago, karyo said:

Really? Where? Unless you mean a bit of frost and a cold wind.

Apologies for misleading @karyo  I should have said a more wintry feel, For how long who knows. Enjoy your Friday.

https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8660-winters-chill-takes-hold-this-weekend-with-brisk-winds-off-the-north-sea

[Model output discussion - into 2018]

I will just say Morning and leave the good out. Anyway it is Friday and we still have some wintry stuff this weekend. Whilst we all await for today's runs here is a link for all models in postage stamp NH, Probably most already have but for those that do not it is very helpful.

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/comp_panel.php?mode=7&ech=42&size=1

 

 

[Model output discussion - into 2018]

The 18z gonna turn out a blinder "NOW" for sure...We will be able envisage polar bears walking past our lounge window. It is never easy getting the Cold in, I am sure all will become clearer from more runs over the next few days...

[Model Output Discussion 29th December - Into mid-Winter.]

Well I can honestly say I am more than happy with ecm continued trend and it's persistents. What ever happens a good wintry spell is due to start. I am confident plenty more eye opener output in a short space of time to come. Compared to the last two to three previous winters it's looking pretty darn good. Ecm could even be more jaw dropping tomorrow morning.

[Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016]

6 minutes ago, JeffC said:

Can I ask what may be a daft question? Is it a particular range of mountains where a weather system coincides and causes a MT event or is it all the mountains everywhere? Sorry if off topic!

Here you go JeffC.

Hopefully this will explain the answer you need.

 

 

[Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016]

I think it has to be said that finally a well deserved pattern change is here. So far for this winter period the models have just shown what's been quite extraordinary in the way of Temps but the Bi has had its more than fare share of Atlantic onslaughts. Any model output showing Winter for us is always a nail biter. I think that maybe even model forecasting has had to have short sharp shock to its systems in the way that winter is actually going to take place. We could be in for a shocker. 

[Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards]

Hi All,

Well Well..The excitement really begins. For those that like to go compare so to speak. Excellent link to diff model postage stamp time frames, Also 3d jet stream/Wind map global. Winter is about to embrace us all.

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/comp_panel.php?mode=1&ech=54&size=1

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/700hPa/orthographic=1.73,49.05,562

 

[Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat]

Blimey Long time since I have been in here.  Merry xmas all, Have a great time. Enjoy.

[Model Output Discussion - The Run In To Christmas]

To be honest, The output we have now is far far better than what we ever had a year ago, I think one model always has to keep the frustration going, Yes it's the ECM but it may just put a smile on everyones face later today. Be positive people.

[Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter]

Wednesday Onwards 528 dam is pretty much covering UK and Ire, All bar the far South until Friday.

 

[Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter]

Evening all, Plenty to talk about in the current output now. Just thought i would post this link reagrding Agreements from different Models. These are all on one page, Some probably have this already but for those that do not..Here you go.

 

http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/comp_panel.php?mode=1&ech=54&size=1

 

Take Care all.

[Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Autumn/Winter 2014/15.]

While since I posted in here, Question is why is it so hard for us here in the UK, To achieve a Cold flowing Winter compared to either sides of the Pond, East and West. Apologises if this is a thicket request, I am just very curious as to why. Obviously the PV is a big player, But it is very frustrating when at times we seem to be so near yet so far in all output and data. 

 

 

Many Thanks.

[Early winter hopes and chat]

As for my Winters Hopes, Well batter be better than the last load of Rubbish, "One" Just (1) Bleedin Frost, Then Mild, and  So the Wind kicked in Along with the lovely Rain as Atlantic low bus after Atlantic low bus came through. My lovely fence followed gravity from the Winds opinion. Still bring me a 2009/10 or 2010/11 Winter and I will forgive.  

[Early winter hopes and chat]

I have searched and still am, cant seem to find anything. Probably because I dont know where to look

 

 

USA Data.  http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/

 

UK Data   http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/climate/1975_1999.htm#1975_1979     This link will go back as far as You want or upto present day.

 

ENJOY.

[South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Weather Discussion]

Hello All.

 

Hope everyone well, Noticed that Captain had posted a history post based on 60s and 70s, if anyone likes a good step back in time here is a top link you can go back hundreds of years.

 

http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/climate/1975_1999.htm#1975_1979

[South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Weather Discussion]

Evening all, 

 

Quite a windy day at work, Heavy rain this morning, Then brightened up and quite mild until late afternoon,Got quite chilly with next band of showers from 3.30 onwards. Pretty much the same for the weekend pattern wise.

[South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Weather Discussion]

Evening all, Very interesting output on the site lately reference winter 2014/15. Pre 2009/10 set ups showing, We all know what happened on the 17th December 2009....That would be impressive to have that again.

 

Keep Smiling.

[South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Weather Discussion]

Hello gang, Hope you're all ok. Been surprisingly very mild here today, Few breezy episodes and bits of cloud cover. Calm before the storm...?. Anyway going to stay on for a little bit...BUT will be back on full time for the cold and wintry fest.

[South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Weather Discussion]

Evening all, Just checking in and will be checking in a lot more soon,,,That roller coaster of           Will it ,Won't it will soon be teasing us in. Anyway hope all well..Speak Soon.

 

 

[South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Weather Discussion]

Morning.....Storm after storm after storm....Since 4.00 am. Repeat performance of yesterday morning, Well time scale anyway. Stopped about 20 mins ago.

 

 Thunderstorm  

15°C

Feels Like: 15°

Wind Chill: 15°   Ceiling: 100 Heat Index: 15°   Visibility: 0.09mi Dew Point: 15°   Wind: 6mph Humidity: 100%   Direction: 30°NNE Pressure: 29.94"   Gusts: NA

[South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Weather Discussion]

Hi Gang, Just thought I would pop in and say hello. Not been on much at all through this Spring and Summer, Really due to work and overhauling the house, Also a blip on the way with my Dad to which I will explain later, just don't want to tempt fate at the moment. Anyway weather wise not done bad at all this summer and still going good....September looking to be very dry compared to its average. Do I dare SAY the (W) WORD for the final part of the 4 seasons.....How many of you thought it was something else  ...Shame on you....lol. Will we achieve it...?..The last one the Americans nicked bleedin loads of it,Infact all of it.....I only had one jack shiver  .......(frost). The rest was just wind ,rain,wind,rain...and then Wind (Gale Force) and shed loads of Rain   which felt like for ages.

 

Anyway speak soon all......I will keep reading your post's  as I have been.

 

 

_{See you in 4 weeks for the start of a banging Winter   Shhhhhhhhhhhhhh}

 

Take Care

 

Jason T.

[South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Regional Weather Chat]

hi all

 

tomorrow

 

 

the morning starts dry

 

a weak west which looks to veer north later

 

when we get to around 2-3 pm storms look likely to break out

 

 

 

around 6pm still storms around and effecting areas more to our north of our region

 

 

 

these storms then look to go back south

 

at 11pm

 

 

 

the 00 fax chart

 

 

the trough is still there right over the very far south east but should clear by around 2am

 

so looks interesting tomorrow

 

fingers crossed and radars at the ready

 

 

friday looks hopeful too

 

:)

 

Ahhh Mr JP.......How are you. Will be getting to that time of season and year soon. Hope its a plus. Take care.

 

Jason.

[South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Regional Weather Chat]

Whoops!     A bit early to be mentioning the S word! The other S word is out still, nice sunny evening here!

 

Ahhh  White Gold......Plenty of that to come a bit later Month 11 onwards.