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Steve C

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Everything posted by Steve C

  1. I do read the charts and appreciate that February is likely to be cold, but I detest sleet. It does nothing for my power bills, or my weather enjoyment. Deep cold is unlikely as the month progresses.
  2. Possibly… The way the bottle spilt was bizarre too. The bottom of the glass bottle just seemed to fall away – it didn’t shatter. The lid was perfectly attached. Maybe the sauce dissolved the glass?
  3. Maybe he’d be okay in small doses – I found his posting altercation with Snowking highly amusing the other day, but personally I’d find his style of posting and ramping annoying quite quickly…
  4. Morning all. I see the latest thinking (on the BBC) has the snow trended further south than was the thinking yesterday – I’m guessing that the anticipated low pressure is not being expected to develop so much, therefore is headed further south . As a consequence, hopefully there will be less of the wrist slashing posting that made this forum a pleasure to avoid yesterday afternoon – I was out after work, so didn’t read anything later on, to see if things improved. Maybe things will still change, although we are approaching the ‘reliable’ time frame now. I’ve had an omen for the weather this morning though… I managed to spill a bottle of ‘Dave’s Ghost Pepper Sauce’ on my carpet an hour ago. Maybe the heat is gone?
  5. Well the weekend starts here. I hope you all get the weather you desire over the next few days and if you don't, well there are plenty of worse things!
  6. I was going to post the same (about travelling) but there might be big problems getting back, so I thought I'd better not.
  7. I just go to more reply options and then link a picture as an attachment, which I've saved onto my pc first
  8. It's on a knife edge, as it's always been. Like I've said previously, I'm not going to get hot under the collar (actually it wouldn't happen really anyway) until tomorrow night at the earliest. Whatever will be, will be, too. It's Friday and the weekend is not far away, so I'm looking forward to that first!
  9. The Met Office have just updated their warnings. The north of the region more favoured currently. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map
  10. I'm pretty happy. The Friday feeling. I've seen this sort of event too many times over the years to get too excited this far out. No need for euphoria or despondecy yet imho.
  11. I've just read Gibby's summary on the In Depth Model Thread. I then noted his thoughts on the GFS and thought it looked quite different to how I interpreted it an hour or so ago. I then relooked at the GFS output and confirmed that his analysis was substantially different to mine... Then I re-read his post and noticed I was reading the one from yesterday morning! I guess the weekend can't come too quickly for me!
  12. It feels so marginal, it might go all the way to nowcasting. Still, nowcasting isn't all that far away and I'll enjoy the weekend before it happens anyway. Glad I'm not driving where you are then!
  13. If you came from Brightlingsea, yes. (sorry anyone from Brightlingsea )
  14. Just had a quick look at midnight model runs (GFS and ECM) Here's my interpretation. Both imply to me low pressure moving in later in the weekend, bringing rain to our zone (with sleet possible in the north, or over high ground) ECM then has it likely to change to snow overnight on Sunday for many of us. It would then start to clear south on Monday. The model then brings in an easterly on Tuesday and Wednesday, as the low continues to track SE into the Continent, when there could be more snow - maybe the further east the better as there could be lots of North Sea generated snow showers. Then we come under the influence of a Scandinavian ridge, which will dry things out and keep it cold. GFS, implies much more of a rain event for us (rather than snow) It also doesn't look so good for the easterly, as it's less pronounced and shorter in duration. There's then an all too brief ridge of high pressure, before the Atlantic steams in later next week. Haven't looked at Met Office model, as there's already enough uncertainty. All to play for then to me and another reason to stay away from the MDT for a few hours...
  15. Morning all. A clear sky here and a temperature of about 0C. I'm looking forward to whatever later in the weekend, or Monday, may bring (or not as the case may be ) In any case it's now Friday, so I'll now have a brief look at the models, as I've seen no forecast since yesterday lunchtime...
  16. You've put me off, even sticking my nose in! Too late in the afternoon for more stress. Driving on the A12 in half an hour is a stressful enough thought.
  17. I know you weren't. I just think that Katrina and to a lesser extent Sandy just shows they don't cope as well as they think they do. For instance very large and long power outages with Sandy.
  18. Embarrassingly I once pointed people I know towards that thread - people who have a mild interest in weather forecasts, but who probably wouldn't want to sign up for this site. This was before I knew better. Hopefully they ignored my link!
  19. I don't think their infrastructure is all that great any more tbh. It strikes me as creaking; a bit like ours. Your point is a good one though re. our mild weather.
  20. Would be nice, but very unlikely. To be honest I wish I hadn't volunteered the early forecast, as I'll be bound to come a cropper sooner or later - they might say "what do you think will happen for our outdoor party / barbeque?" etc. Having said that, it would have been pretty easy last summer - mediocre to rubbish would have covered it all. I said both times that the forecasts were no more than hunches though. I'd probably get away with it if anything happened by Wednesday. After that it becomes 2 weeks rather than a week.
  21. I predicted the snowfall we had in January, two weeks before the event in my local, mostly from reading and analysing other thoughts here though... They then asked me for some lottery number predictions. Last Sunday, the landlord asked me for my prediction for the next snowfall event and I said (with a shrug of my shoulders) 'about a week?' It'd be very funny if it came off again!
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