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Cheshire Freeze

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Everything posted by Cheshire Freeze

  1. Cheshire Freeze
    Not sure how the upcoming spell is going to unfold. Can the ground take up to another 100mm of rain in the next couple of weeks? GFS 6z has us up there as one of the wettest parts of the hemisphere. How long until flooding becomes an issue?
  2. Cheshire Freeze
    Depends where you are I guess. May and September are by far the driest months in these parts (NW England) in my experience.
  3. Cheshire Freeze
    The 18z GFS is shockingly wet. Quite cold into April too with a snow threat
  4. Cheshire Freeze
    Just to emphasise how cold that modelled airmass is, even the April sun cannot heat the 2m temperature above freezing for the Midlands north
  5. Cheshire Freeze
    Cheese Rice -12 850s and low thickness with a strongish sun…I’d take that all day long for the wild weather at the surface it’d likely bring!
  6. Cheshire Freeze
    Rapid collapses into Nina usually equals wet, doesn’t it?
  7. Cheshire Freeze
    cheshire snow we’re either going to get a late cold spell or deluged by rainfall IMO into late March/early April. It’s a matter of picking your poison.
  8. Cheshire Freeze
    kold weather can’t see how showers have been more intense? There has been a general decrease in thunder activity over the last 10-20 years which I remember being spoken about by the BBC or Metoffice.
  9. Cheshire Freeze
  10. Cheshire Freeze
    cheshire snow it was always going to happen. Amazing how often you get mild winters with cold spells and snow following in March or April. Given the mild weather up until this point, I’d think any hard frosts would be quite damaging going forward. Things have had pretty much uninterrupted growth up until this time.
  11. Cheshire Freeze
    SollyOlly heat knocks me sick After winter I like a bit of warmth but usually fed up after a week.
  12. Cheshire Freeze
    Didn’t take long for the mud to return
  13. Cheshire Freeze
    I remember Atlantic 252 April is probably my absolute favourite month weatherwise.
  14. Cheshire Freeze
    cheeky_monkey The sort of July chart I like to see
  15. Cheshire Freeze
    damianslaw This is the thing. In peak summer you don’t need 30C+ temperatures for it to feel hot. The sun just needs to be out. 21-24C in June and July under sunny skies feels very much like summer.
  16. Cheshire Freeze
    damianslaw I don’t. Unless the air is dry too rather than that humid, hot crap we’ve had to endure in recent years. Would much prefer a situation with HP slightly to our west and a gentle NW’ly flow if it has to be dry.
  17. Cheshire Freeze
    Not much comment on the ECM this evening. Not surprising. 10 day rainfall totals widely approaching 2 inches for many.
  18. Cheshire Freeze
    In Absence of True Seasons overnight minima fall no lower than 20C
  19. Cheshire Freeze
    EC has lost its HP dominated signal for summer and suggests a mean Scandi trough
  20. Cheshire Freeze
    My hunch is we’ll see some sort of Greenland blocking take hold at some point this month. We’ve seen repeated attempts at retrogressing HP west from Scandi…with a malleable strat profile it’ll only be a matter of time until it succeeds. My punt has been on a colder than average spring for a long while.
  21. Cheshire Freeze
    GFS 12z- the wet continues
  22. Cheshire Freeze
    stainesbloke A wet summer would though pretty much ensure a drier and colder? next winter. It would be unprecedented otherwise.
  23. Cheshire Freeze
    Chris.R doesn’t surprise me. We had torrential sleety rain as it passed through here.
  24. Cheshire Freeze
    Gowon Exactly why I’ve always erred on the side of pessimism. Every time I let myself get mildly excited about something and think positively, the rug is pulled! I once had a mate turn around to me and say, straight faced, ‘I think you might actually be cursed’!
  25. Cheshire Freeze
    GFS shows cold still coming in from the E well into FI
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