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CreweCold

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CreweCold last won the day on September 28

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About CreweCold

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences
    Snow, storms and other extremes

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  1. To be fair, I can't see this winter being anything but mild again- however that isn't based on anything happening RE snow advance over Eurasia, more the fact that SSTs are conducive to promoting the same pressure distribution stateside that we've seen over the past few. Looks to me like the jet is going to be as fired up as ever.
  2. Indeed. Quite what this means going forward I'm not sure...but it's interesting to see. Would be good if we could transport this WAA sufficiently N to affect the burgeoning vortex.
  3. With a bit of luck, the core of the highest winds will miss to your east...perhaps running up the Irish Sea as per 18z On a side note, I can't believe how differently Ireland approaches these things. I could never imagine my company (a large retailer) allowing closure due to storm force winds. In fact, they'd still try and trade if the roof blew off!
  4. I was thinking the same about projected path...I thought data was meant to be sparse to our SW but Ophelia was forecast pretty effortlessly over about 5 days. I'm guessing it is due to the fact that initially she was detached from the jet stream. I think it is the jet (and forecast strength) which is responsible for errant model runs. Also factor in interaction with other areas of low pressure. On to Saturday...the 18z doesn't exactly give Ireland much joy Looks pretty dicey for them once again.
  5. 18z GFS looks nasty... Widespread inland severe gales possible from that on Saturday
  6. Hurricane Ophelia

    Looking at the models, all I can think of is that SSW'ly winds have funnelled up the flat of the Cheshire plain...because there is nothing that stands out to me as overly severe.
  7. Autumn thoughts

    The way this autumn is panning out, you'd be forgiven for thinking we might actually get a more seasonal winter this year. Though I won't hold my breath.
  8. Hurricane Ophelia

    How strange...I didn't think Crewe would be affected much. Not been that bad here in Belfast.
  9. Hurricane Ophelia

    The chart is basically the 'accumulated' windspeed for a given number of hours...not the actual windspeeds at that time.
  10. Hurricane Ophelia

    Well the part of Belfast I'm at definitely didn't warrant a red warning and I think the biggest impacts from Ophelia have been felt in coastal areas of the Republic. Winds have eased here already and it has been somewhat anticlimatic. Feb 2014 storm was a notch up on this one IMO...that was truly quite scary at the time and did feature a Metoffice red warning.
  11. Hurricane Ophelia

    I'm in Belfast and I have seen worse wind wise. Just a typical autumn/winter severe gale here IMO.
  12. Hurricane Ophelia

    And that is why I love the weather. The sheer power it can possess. You don't mess with mother nature!
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