Joe Bloggs

frosty ground yes probably picking up on lighter precipitation within the shield and more marginality.

Greater Manchester and North Cheshire / modest heights and SE’ly wind = DRY. Even if it’s cold enough just watch the precipitation disappear once we get within the high-res. If it’s cold enough, west of the region is best plus high ground elsewhere. IMBY - not that interested in this one. Would delighted to be wrong.

I’m gonna give this spell 7/10. A rare snowfall for central Manchester and it was so special seeing the city turn into a winter wonderland. Would have scored it higher if the snow had lasted a bit longer, that pesky mild sector! Nice to wake up to another dusting this morning and to see the frozen Manchester Bolton & Bury canal covered in snow, pic below. Can’t wait for the area to be developed and for that area to turn into a little park. I also think I might get this photo framed: the skyscrapers disappearing into a snowy mist.

Light dusting of snow in town. The frozen canals all lightly covered again.

Looking at the latest radar I can’t see Manchester getting any snow this evening.

Agreed, looks like slim pickings, MetO are picking up on another batch later in the evening though.

Latest MetO map looks pretty good. Assume it’s the UKV? But one that updates more frequently? Some big showers.

Definitely a chance! Can see big clouds developing to the west. Just keep an eye on the radar.

I reckon 45 mins or so before those showers reach the NW coast? Assuming they stay intact of course

The current heavy shower east of IOM has our region’s name on it , maybe Wirral?

Hope it goes well.

Looks promising for Cheshire gap area , especially SW Cheshire. Fingers crossed

A lovely end to the cold spell if we get a covering of snow tonight. Showers looking fairly organised now so you never know.

Heavier showers now making it into the North Channel

Upgrade on the MetO map

Bit o’ blue for the dads!

Two great minds, was about to post that. Looking beefy.

Signal for precipitation has weakened on the 06z GFS, it’s still there but very light. West of the region most favoured.

Very welcome mate. I recommend the Meteociel app to get a good easy snapshot.

BBC Weather with Carol zooming in on the NW and suggesting snow showers later, on the latest forecast. Can only assume that means ECM shows a bit of snow. Dry as a bone this cold spell eh

-5C in town right now. Bitter! The Whitworth Observatory - Current Data Table (Centre for Atmospheric Science - The University of Manchester) WHITWORTH.CAS.MANCHESTER.AC.UK

00z GFS and WRF looking quite promising for later @Chris.R is it the 2km model you look at and rate? That one shows quite a heavy batch of snow showers moving through the NW. Arome, Arpege and Harmonie all have the showers too but perhaps more isolated/lighter. UKV shows nothing except for the Wirral coast. Again a good test of the high-res models. The MetO aren’t interested as their model isn’t going for it. Not expecting much if anything here but if WRF is correct you never know! I was reading about the WRF model and it is allegedly very good at predicting convective events/precip.

Quick summary of tomorrow night from the high-res models. 18z GFS - light snow showers moving through the region 5-10pm . No accumulations. 18z WRF - a band of heavy snow showers move through the region tomorrow evening, clearing my midnight. A cm or two in places. 18z Arome - downgrade from 12z , a few snow showers in the west of the region tomorrow evening, Also a few snow showers clipping the Merseyside coast tonight too. 18z Arpege - snow mainly confined to western parts of the region however becoming more widespread Friday morning, possibly very light covering in places 18z HARMONIE - heavy snow showers tomorrow evening weakening as they move SE across the region, heaviest across Cumbria 18z ICON - similar to Harmonie WRF is by far the keenest for snow. A case of west is best I think

The 12z runs have backed off a bit to be honest, although haven’t checked them all. West of the region looks to have more potential for a few showers.

Just checked a number of the high-res models. Harmonie , Arpege and Arome all showing a bit of activity here tomorrow evening.