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Joe Bloggs

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  1. Dark Horse sorry I meant there has not been a shield preventing the precipitation . Lack of precipitation / too light hasn’t been the issue. Fairly moderate to heavy all morning. The fact the air has more moisture (supportive of rain rather than snow) has maybe helped to an extent but not the full story I’d suspect.
  2. Yes I think you are on to something there. There really hasn’t been much of a shield today , loads of big puddles everywhere. I think a direct E’ly or NE’ly may be better. Noting this for future.
  3. Geordiesnow makes sense! However I have seen the shadow effect in operation in a 100% rain scenario in spring/summer so can’t be the full story.
  4. Pouring it down (with rain) in Manchester. What has happened to the shield? Just trying to learn more about it.
  5. Not much sign of a rain shadow effect right now it has to be said. Maybe it will kick in later as the easterly gets stronger. Today will be a good test.
  6. Will be interesting to see if the shield is in play if it’s all rain. Will laugh if it lashes it down in Manchester all day
  7. FWIW, we’re now in the range of the high-res WRF 2km model. At 12z tomorrow it shows quite limited snow lying across the North West, best place to be away from high ground is the Wirral . Not expecting anything here. Interesting re. The METAR for Manchester @Weather-history , I bet there are historical events where the shield has failed for synoptic reasons, I doubt it will this time as the easterly is strong and heights are modest. Have a good day everyone! Will be an interesting event regardless.
  8. Kasim Awan Manchester is the second biggest urban area in the UK and the population is growing rapidly. Maybe it should get a mention in forecasts when frontal snow is forecast widely across Northern England as the graphics can sometimes be misleading. I’ve heard it mentioned once by Dianne Oxberry (RIP) in 2013.
  9. Kasim Awan it’s all very interesting stuff really. There aren’t really any other urban areas in the UK with similar geography (extensive high ground immediately to the E). I haven’t watched the MetO deep dive but I wonder if it’s covered on there. I reckon a fair few Mancs will wonder where the snow is on Thursday.
  10. I hate this phenomenon so much. Absolutely vile. Why is it so prominent when the Peaks are such modest altitude? Also do we just notice this one because it affects a major urban area and frontal snow events usually have winds from an easterly quarter ? Makes me sick!
  11. I was stranded on a train just outside Dove Holes in March 2013. The engines were at full pelt but we just stopped moving.
  12. Day 10 is the meto map the UKV, or something different? anyway this is the 09z picture for Thursday. A very narrow shield area, especially around Stockport and east Manchester.
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