cowdog

About 400,000. Hope to god Britain and everyone else has already got everything on stand by to assist as they are going to need everything as all services are likely to be damaged possibly destroyed.

This threat has been picked up by the World Meteorological Organization, so it could be significant. https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-europe-weather-greenland/europes-record-heatwave-threatens-greenland-ice-sheet-idUKKCN1UL14U

Its already throwing Lighting near Preston.

Its specifically for - The warning area seems to cover the Pennines. Wonder if its first ever Tornado warning for the Pennines?

Starts at 15:00 which given the UKV shows us under a Thunderstorm then is understandable.

Just a strike in Cornwall if the detector got it right.

The Aurora's last night got within spitting distance of the UK. Peak of their southerly push is meant to be Saturday night and they might even get in to England. For the projected track / current observation of the Aurora - https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast NOAA is predicting a significant amount of the US states will see it on Saturday its going to be that far South, if their predictions are correct. https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g2-moderate-watch-effect-23-march-2019-utc-day

Seems to be Flood Warnings all down the Calder valley. Put it in perspective though e.g. Hebden Bridge is forecast to go above 2.2m, Boxing Day 2015 it went to 3.63m. Its a flood but a minor one thankfully, so the centers should be spared.

Flooding in Colne and Earby supposedly. Nothing like the Boxing day floods, but then again that was akin to the sea being literally dumped on to our part of the Pennines and unlikely to be repeated any time soon.

Weather Warnings from Skipton to Keswick for the next 4 days - due the Heavy Rain that is due on Tuesday, Thursday and Friday. 60mm probable Tuesday, similar amount Thursday and then a top up on Friday. If the forecasts come true there is likelihood of widespread flooding as everywhere is already completely sodden, so the water will just run straight off.

The Met Office have issued a new warning for rain (Cumbria down to almost Bradford) and also extended the wind warning further North and made it now start at 21:00 on Tuesday. Rain warning is expected as the ground is completely sodden so any rain fall is going to go straight into the streams and rivers, note the rain warning is from Midnight tonight through to midday tomorrow.

Think they name them when their is a possibility of it being name worthy. This one is almost certainly going to be name worthy though, as well as the wind which is likely to warrant an Amber for somewhere, there is the rain which is going to be heavy. Combine the large rain falls with very wet ground and its likely going to cause flooding somewhere.

Really stormy last night, moved a lot of the kids outside toys around no large branches brought down though. Concerned for later in the week, Wednesday keeps being shown as very high rainfall totals - the kind of totals that can cause flooding around here. I am keeping a close eye on that. After that we get a few days grace and then the cold moves in along with likely snow.

Heavy snow now, but that rain earlier combined with temp around 1.5C means its only settling on grass.

Now turned back to snow here, finally.