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BlueHedgehog074

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BlueHedgehog074 last won the day on March 20

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About BlueHedgehog074

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    Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)
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    Weather/Nature, Walks, Cycling, Reading Comics, Video Games (particularly Nintendo), TV, Media, Shopping and Twist and Pulse.
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    Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow

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  1. Midlands Ice Age Hi Midlands Ice Age, hope you’re doing well. Been a hectic few months, so just went into hiding for a while. Solihull sunshine shield looks to have powered up for the moment, but hopefully will break again later into the afternoon, maybe still with the chance of a few storm shields exploding!
  2. I think the below would explain the sleet and snow reports for some of you in the South-West of the UK, even for lower levels. Using examples at both 10pm and 11pm on the 18Z GFS, it has places such as Devon just on the Western flank of the little circular disturbance/Low drifting North from the main Low to the South-West of Ireland. It also means some of you guys down South-West end up being under somewhat colder 850 hPa temperatures between -1*C to -3*C. That, along with the precipitation being particularly heavy towards Western/South-Western parts of the UK (as well as the fact that the temperatures at the 500 hPa level are very cold with those blues and purples - essentially a very deep upper trough) is likely aiding in dragging down freezing air to low levels in some places, thus the surprise sleet and snow some of you are getting. Especially over higher ground. Though I don’t consider myself to be an expert, that’s probably the reason for it. Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99814-model-output-discussion-22nd-jan-2024-onwards/?do=findComment&comment=5052092
  3. Definitely nice to wake up to this morning. Still a lot of blue sky and sunshine about now. Despite feeling chilly feels like a proper Spring morning, which is good to see. A chance of some showers, possibly with hail and thunder later (which is at least at lot more exciting than grey, general, prolonged spell of rain or drizzle). Still be nice to see some proper settled warmer weather break out at some point. Make countryside walks become more of a joy so wouldn’t need to walk in lots of mud and puddles all the time. Just a shame the models look uninspiring at the moment for settled, warmer weather, bar perhaps the odd drier day or two, particularly later into the Easter weekend. Surely, the models would get to a point where they just couldn’t get any worse in terms of unsettled and Low Pressure dominated conditions (am looking at you, Northern blocking) that some better runs for less unsettled conditions would start showing up. Just some teases of High Pressure building strongly over Europe and into the UK would be nice, lol, that would then hope becomes a reality.
  4. I think the below would explain the sleet and snow reports for some of you in the South-West of the UK, even for lower levels. Using examples at both 10pm and 11pm on the 18Z GFS, it has places such as Devon just on the Western flank of the little circular disturbance/Low drifting North from the main Low to the South-West of Ireland. It also means some of you guys down South-West end up being under somewhat colder 850 hPa temperatures between -1*C to -3*C. That, along with the precipitation being particularly heavy towards Western/South-Western parts of the UK (as well as the fact that the temperatures at the 500 hPa level are very cold with those blues and purples - essentially a very deep upper trough) is likely aiding in dragging down freezing air to low levels in some places, thus the surprise sleet and snow some of you are getting. Especially over higher ground. Though I don’t consider myself to be an expert, that’s probably the reason for it.
  5. For a time, today felt nice with some bright and at times, sunny, weather. Really felt quite April-esque. Admittedly it didn’t last as the heavens opened in the late afternoon and towards the evening (but even then, I expected it was going to rain by mid-afternoon), so weather’s been a little better today than expected. Just pretty rubbish tonight, though Haven’t got the best of memories, but May and June in this part last year seemed bright and sunny for the most part. In fact, as a late-Spring and early Summer month, June 2023 was overall decent.
  6. 8.5*C and 90mm, please. Likely cool and wet at the start (perhaps with something wintry), but am hoping High Pressure will eventually give the Atlantic Lows a good pounding and bring a long spell of drier, warmer weather. Also with just the odd monstrous thunderstorm thrown in.
  7. London seems to be one of the few places where the weather is working correctly at the moment I think we will have to accept that the weather engineers for some of us others are having problems restoring our faulty weather. Either that, or the weather engineers just aren’t doing a good enough job with the repairs.
  8. Metwatch Is one thing I would have to give last March credit for was the few snowy days near the beginning of the month. Bringing a good few cm’s of snow outside of the main Winter months. Not something that’s happened this March (apart from a bit of sleet in the afternoon of Saturday 2nd). Considering how cool March was last year throughout the month, some of the recent milder weather has personally made for a nice change. But I do agree it would be great if it was accompanied by more sunshine. Briefly, the sun had tried to break through the white thing above about 20 minutes ago, but it looks like it’s gone back into hiding with a few thicker patches of clouds trying to take over Methuselah Yeah, looks like Winter wants to break out of the cage that Spring’s been somewhat attempting to keep locked away inside for the first part of this week. At least for some of us. But Spring needs to use sturdier locks on the door so Winter stays locked up in the cage. (Though am not totally against seeing the odd further cold blast or two if they were potent enough to bring some snow with it before it was too late).
  9. *Stormforce~beka* To be fair, it’s been quite gloomy for longer than that (edit: aside from a few recent fairly bright afternoons), although there was a quite a nice, sunny, spell, around mid-January with some generally clear skies for a few days. But some proper dry, sunnier weather is definitely overdue.
  10. B87 That would be nice. Something to really make up for the (mostly) bleak weather that’s raided the last few or so weeks
  11. It has been one of the pluses of the last few days with the very mild feel of the days. While not lasting for the whole afternoon during the last few days, some of the sunny, brighter spells have been welcome.
  12. If March doesn’t want to, then I hope April comes armed with an absolutely ginormous axe and strike the rock-solid sun and dry weather shields that have been dominant for a number of us in here. Despite that, some of the afternoons in the last few days have at least brought some brighter spells at times kinda helping making things feel like Spring. Some of the thorn bushes (particularly the Hawthorn/Crataegus) are really greening up well in some places too. Even one or two of the bigger trees like the sycamore are starting to open up its leaves with some golden colours showing through.
  13. A spell of drier, more High Pressured dominated weather would be very welcome to be honest, as it seems the Atlantic Lows just want to keep invading the scene. Even though the models are picking up a chillier Polar Maritime/Arctic Maritime flow coming in between the North-West and North during, and throughout, the weekend, it should bring some brighter weather conditions with it, especially towards Eastern areas of the UK. (However, showers could become a bit more concentrated towards Eastern parts on Sunday with the possibility of the flow turning more North-North-Westerly to Northerly). So, showers would be the feature of this setup along with the sunny spells. And with the strong March sunshine it could fuel some quite beefy showers at times. Wintry for the hills and possibility to some lower levels, too, particularly during Saturday, as models in various forms, especially the GFS, show a strip of -5/-6*C 850 hPa temperatures filtering East through parts of the UK from the Northern Atlantic: So showers of rain, sleet, graupel and particularly over high ground/hills, snow, between Friday (perhaps with some morning rain lingering for a time over Central and/or South-Eastern/Eastern areas beforehand on Friday) and Sunday. Again can imagine there would be some decent sunny spells between at times, and away from the chilly wind, it could feel reasonably pleasant/Spring-like in the sunshine. (Although you may still need to wrap up, somewhat, particularly those exposed to the winds over over Western/North-Western areas and over high ground ) (Formerly DiagonalRedLine)
  14. A little fun tease regarding the 00Z GEM, but it manages to drag a little patch of -5*C 850 hPa temperatures over the London area during early Sunday morning via the Easterly/North-Easterly flow. The Eastern spot of Kent and the Eastern tip of Scotland also gets in on the -5*C 850 hPa temperature action.
  15. Must admit, I thought the skies, at least especially earlier today, looked very convective looking. Although when it become all grey and rainy here this afternoon I just thought it would just be a general spell of rain until, like a few others, a few odd rumbles of thunder suddenly came unexpectedly. Including the odd lightning flash too! Looking at the radar though, it looks like there’s some particularly angry looking showers to the South and East of here.
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