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DiagonalRedLine

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DiagonalRedLine last won the day on September 19 2018

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About DiagonalRedLine

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    Old Name: Rainbow Snow

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    Male
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    Birmingham (Solihull), West Midlands
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    Weather/Nature, Walks, Cycling, Reading Comics, Video Games (particularly Nintendo), TV, Media, Shopping and Twist and Pulse.
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    Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow

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  1. Just to wish everyone on Netweather and the model output thread a great Easter. Whether you’re going through a difficult time, or something more, I hope Easter ends up being kind to you! @Singularity And you make a valid point in your last paragraph. What ever the models show now, whether it’s an unsettled spell, or a dry and sunny one, or a mixture of both even, it doesn’t really have a bearing to what could happen in the Summer. Like with last year when there was a fair amount of warm dry weather in both April and May (I suppose with the regional variations), it lead to a very warm and dry Summer for most overall! I think there was also one year with quite a chunk of showery weather in April and May that lead to a warmer, settled, Summer. Might have been 2006 (or possibly 2003).
  2. Probably warm to very warm at times with a sleepy Atlantic. 13*C, and 40mm rainfall please.
  3. Nearing 17*C here now in Solihull with some sunny spells. Just 3 more degrees to reach that magic 20*C mark. And I think that’s a good idea for the likes of the BBC News to go back and see why the weather behaved differently to what was expected. Just like when snow is forecasted, but a single snowflake doesn’t end up falling on the day.
  4. An example at 216 hours, but both the 00Z GFS and 00Z GEM show High Pressure building back over the U.K towards next weekend. Both clearly not liking the ECMWF this morning and are joining forces against it. (ECMWF at 216 hours) The trough conquers the UK! Something the warm and High Pressure enthusiasts won’t be pleased about! But could provide a lot of convective, showery, weather. The build of Pressure, though, could be a bit stronger on the GEM, but still pretty much shaking hands with the GFS. Expect more changes towards the end of next week. And even, in some ways, the earlier part of that week. How ever much the trough goes on a rampage over the U.K (doesn’t look like the models remembered their Westward adjustment of the pattern this morning ), could resultantly affect what happens after. Can the Low Pressure lift away quickly enough (with some of it getting cut of to our South) and allow High Pressure to come back to the rescue? Or will the sneaky Low(s) get stuck over us like glue? Personally hope for the former. While as I said, things will keep changing, it’s tempting to gather up some bomb-ombs from Mario Kart 8 Deluxe’s item boxes and toss them at that Low on the ECMWF towards the end of it’s run! It’s quite likely Low Pressure from the West in the Atlantic will pay some kind of visit over the U.K next week. This especially so over Western areas with some rain and thundery showers about. Plus, there is some warm, bright and generally dry weather to look forward to over this Easter weekend, where models show High Pressure being mostly in control (albeit with the threat of soggy weather towards Western areas later on into this weekend). 🌤🌦
  5. Same! Prefer having the pattern further West (even tho admittedly some of us could do with some rain).
  6. Does look like the odd case at the moment where some of runs move things further West during their morning updates, and then shift everything back further East during their afternoon and evening updates!
  7. I would think so. The more warmer, humid days with flows between the South and East could certainly support temperatures in the mid-twenties! Especially where skies are clear and sunny. As you mention though, there could always be a chance of the pattern moving back further East on the models allowing Lows from the West to invade more of the U.K with a risk of the warmer air getting mixed out. Particularly towards Western UK spots. Probably feel for now the pattern may not shift back further East, or at least maybe just a little nudge Eastwards. But you never know. Eastern UK blocking Highs never appear to be particularly easy to model, and the same for the way they handle Low Pressure to the West/South-West of the block.
  8. There’s just no stopping that Eastern UK/Scandinavian High Pressure system at the moment. (And the same is the case from the 06Z GFS at 144 hours, where it looks mostly warm and settled). Nothing can seem to stand in the High’s way - including the Atlantic Lows!
  9. The 12Z GFS shows High Pressure pouncing back over the U.K towards the end of next week with the main area of the Atlantic troughing directed back further North. Generally warm and bright with some sunny spells, especially towards Western UK, maybe still with the odd thundery shower towards the South.
  10. Certainly! Don’t mind the Blue Meanies carrying out their invasion over us in Winter and early Spring, but it’s nice seeing the Yellow and Orange Friendlies fighting the Meanies away from the UK! And ar no! It looks like the Green Grinchies are trying to take over on that FV3 run!
  11. According to some of those charts, the next few weeks could feel more like Bake-pril! (sorry I couldn’t resist lol)
  12. Just my opinion of what that chart shows, he hee! (Frosty's right, though. Was seeing the funny side of it, really :))
  13. I dunno, Frosty. That chart looks so bad, I seriously expect a red warning to be issued. I suspect this event will be on the evening news come Saturday!
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