BlueHedgehog074

I know I’m going to regret saying this, but do find @matt111‘s profile picture to be attractive. (Sorry, would rather be honest).

Will go for 19.8*C with 20mm rainfall please. A Spanish July. Generally bright and sunny, and very warm to very hot at times with some mighty thunderstorms.

Sorry to spoil da party, but just a reminder that this is the Model Output Thread and any toy-throwing-out-of-the-pram posts are more suitable for this thread: Paul has had to vaporise a few posts on here tonight. Don’t let yours be next.

There’s a familiar looking thing up in the sky this morning - the cloud! But fairly warm with the temperature nearing 18*C.

Thanks to whoever hacked the ECMWF, GFS etc to produce these such fine outputs. I know to be fair, the outlook in the previous model runs always looked generally High Pressure dominated, but must admit they’re looking particularly good today. The possibility of the High Pressure drifting to the East allowing some very warm air to get sucked up from the South at times.

It’s been a reasonable Summer so far. Not too much in the way of rain (bar those thundery downpours some places in the Midlands had), despite the Atlantic having been quite influential recently. Though, to be fair, the worst of the unsettled whether always looked more likely in the North-West. There is a chance of some showers and/or longer spells of rain later tomorrow and into Wednesday for places, as a disturbance creeps in from the West, especially for Northern areas. Today, however, had been mostly bright and sunny here, but cloud became more invasive later on in the day (still cloudy at the moment with stratus-like cloud) Certainly nice to see High Pressure coming in for revenge later on in the week stamping-out the Atlantic. Overall, High Pressure seems to have had greater power over the Atlantic in the last few weeks or so. And is possible the same could happen again. The difference is the Azores High doesn’t look like it will get as far North as it did last time with a U.K/Southern U.K based high seeming more likely.

Would love it if it didn’t even come back next April!

Ar I know how you feel, and is totally understandable to be honest. I get obsessed with both thunderstorms and snow and become secretly very disappointed when the snow or thunder doesn’t happen lol!

Yeah, think the Met Office predicted rain last night with a chance it could have been thundery. However, just dull and drizzly here. Low quality weather (although I guess the plants did need some rain). Temperature of 13.5*C, so fairly cool.

Even though not feeling super confident for this area (Edit: looking at Arnie Pie’s post above, may have spoken too soon) surprises can happen and besides, the Met Office does suggest the possibility of severe thunderstorms for places such as the South West and the West Midlands. I suppose even then, some places in the above regions probably won’t see that much at all due to the hit and miss nature of thunderstorms. To be fair, some places have at least seen some heavy downpours and thundery showers so far today. It would be nice if something severe does occur (not because of the floods that weather like this can cause, but for the fact that thunderstorms are admittedly fun to watch).

Picked it back up!

Was kinda surprised how far North some of these storms got/developed through the night. Nice to see quite a number of storm fans out of the No Storms Club (but obviously frustrating if you’ve been missing out on the action as I know how annoying that can be). Done well in the Solihull, Hampton-In-Arden and Coventry area with a rather big thunderstorm around 2am this morning with lots of thunder - some boomy and some crackly - with plenty of lightning. And then some further, albeit tiny, thunderstorms in the last few hours. Not sure if they will be anymore to come, but have to wait and see I guess. Though the sky still looks unstable.

Frequent thunder and lightning in Solihull now. Didn’t think we’d getting anything this far North early this morning! ️⛈

London must have done something to upset the weather!

The Channel, along with the increasing instability over Southern U.K., is really getting the gears of the thunderstorms turning in some places. (Especially the ones over the London area)! ️

Definitely brightening up a bit in Dullihull now. ? Hopefully the brighter weather will spread further West and North for those of you under the thick murky cloud still.

That’s good that skies are clearing from the South East. Even watching a very boring TV show would be more entertaining than looking at this convection-suppressing white thing in the sky.

Having a look at that chart and I think someone needs to have a word with that cloud over the Midlands and tell it to go away!

Sure, go ahead! But maybe leave at least 5 of them for me.

I know it’s gonna sound strange saying this, but it sounds like some of you guys could do with a hug.

Seems like the plants really needed it too! Still raining heavily at the moment with the Solihull Rain Shield in a weak state. Sunday probably being the best day now for a chance of thunderstorms, although there could be a few thundery showers about tomorrow too. ?️

Indeed! But I suspect the snow that falls from the sky won’t be the kind of white stuff we see in Winter... ?

The Met Office forecast for the West Midlands tomorrow reckon the (thundery) rain will give up the ghost in the afternoon with some brighter spells breaking through, so hopefully any rain won’t stick about for too long! Maybe a similar repeat to what happened to some of us today: rain in the morning, brighter in the afternoon.

Howdy! Please continue your discussions of the weather in the South of the M4 (aka the South West and Central Southern England ) thread! What a remarkable month it’s been so far with a lot of dry, bright weather around, although it looks as though you guys could see a few of these baby’s popping about! Ye olde thread:

Looks like it might be time for another new thread. Reached the magic 200 pages! This will be locked shortly! And a new one will be up and running. New thread: