Andy Bown
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Posts posted by Andy Bown
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Ah the old sky clearing towards sunset scenario is rearing itself again! Probably going to be quite clear most of the night then dull and wet tomorrow
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Spoke too soon earlier. It’s been raining, sometimes pouring, for 2 hours now from a kind of back building downpour.
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The first day this year with almost stationary heavy showers developing then dying in situ. A very convective sky here despite a lot of mid/high level cloud.
A dry day so far though IMBY with some hazy sunshine after heavy rain overnight.
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Today started looking promising for an interesting day with sunshine and sharp showers. However since 11.00 it’s just been cloudy and dry.
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Shame there’s more rain due this weekend because the ground is just beginning to dry out in the strong SEly wind!
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Big differences locally this morning.
Warminster is crystal clear and sunny. Westbury is misty. Trowbridge is freezing and foggy!
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MP-R it has here too, finally and thankfully! The last of the rain stopped at about 12.00 then frontal cloud finally departed the sun about 13.30!
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Literally fed up this morning. Big area of rain spiralling around Southern England and actually developing further on its NW flank in my area.
Why is it when the set up is unsettled things seem to self perpetuate into even worse?
It’s raining here, now, and likely worsening when every forecast and app and model yesterday evening had a 95% dry, sunny day with minimal light shower risk.
As it is now we’ll be lucky to scrape a little lightbulb sun if the frontal cloud begins to move away this afternoon!
Short term precipitation modelling and forecasting has definitely got worse in recent times. One example being Friday into Saturday that brought the snow. Another being back in the Autumn with a large area of heavy rain. There are others.
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jtay it’s as badly forecast/modelled as the precipitation that brought the snow Friday night into Saturday!
Short term precipitation forecasts and modelling has definitely got worse in recent times.
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06.00-08.30 ; Winter - fog & hard frost
09.00-13.00 ; Spring - pleasant sunny spells
13.00-19.00 ; Autumn - gales & heavy rain
So, summer tonight?
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Not sure what’s gone wrong today?
Probably 90% of the available sunshine and very pleasant from 11.00-16.00!
Lovely hard frost first thing too.
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So pleased that the clearer conditions actually occurred during the daytime today!
Plenty of sunshine and only a few brief showers between 09.30-16.00 !
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Oh my it’s actually rather sunny! What a novelty!
It has come after another novelty, a bit of the white stuff in very wet blobby style around 09.30 !
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I didn’t know whether to laugh or cry when the sky started clearing at dusk! Stars shining well now, of course!
The grand total of 4 dry days in February. The even grander total of 188mm
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The amount of cloud outside of the rain bands is pretty frustrating to be honest!
Yesterday was cloudy before and after the rain band, with lightbulb sun visible for a while in the morning.
Now today the rain band stopped 3+ hours ago yet it’s only now the lightbulb sun is visible. And it’s very unlikely to get brighter!
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dr weather I saw it lightbulb style in the thickening cloud for about an hour this morning before the rain set in around 10.30 .
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Lol and there’s the only shower of the day right at school run time!
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This is the 3rd frosty morning in 4 days and looking at the radar it will be the 3rd to degenerate into a damp if not wet late morning!
We simply cannot get a dry day. Even during yesterday (for all its sunshine) there were several showers!
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As Beka mentions the wind is pretty unexpected. Extremely gusty from the NE.
However on the positive side it has cleared the air and we have increasing amounts of sunshine.
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We were very pleased that the rain held off until midday so our boy’s football was played in decent conditions.
Last night got down to -1.2c and it was very frosty this morning.
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This is actually infuriating. It is raining lightly and persistently yet the sun is shining hazily too.
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Yet more rain when every forecast and app last night had a fine day with just the odd shower!
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Do you see a crocodile or a ship?
It’s been a very good cloud day.
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South West and Central Southern England Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards
in SW and CS England Weather Discussion
Posted
Alderc 2.0 there were a few model runs on Saturday/Sunday that kept this rain over France and delayed any rain on Thursday until the night - that looks set to arrive by early afternoon now too!
Drier tomorrow, maybe!!!