soupsurfer7
-
Posts
412 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by soupsurfer7
-
-
Bigger flakes starting here now after a break of around an hour or so
-
1
-
-
Weird... getting occasional large flakes that are few and far between
-
1
-
-
First flakes starting here !
-
1
-
-
Still bone dry here near Newport, hope something reaches us before evaporating
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, SnowStorm(Jamie) said:
Im not sure if the BBC weather uses the ECM data or not? I dont think they use the Met Office model (UKV) on tv anymore?
Yes BBC use Meteogroup which use ECM. Although they kept the met office weather warnings which can give some interesting situations sometimes where ECM and UKMO diverge . Sometimes you will see a heavy rain/snow warning on the map without any precipitation if the models are different
-
19 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:
Not sure where they're getting heavy snow from.
Surely it should be just a cloudy symbol unless the chance of precipitation is above at least 40%?
-
1
-
-
Light flakes falling here again this morning. Shame it’s all gone Pete tong for the weekend and Thursday/Friday but at least we’ve seen some snow this winter in many places and a lot of us had lying snow from that event in January
-
Flurries starting here again
-
The pressure looks too high unfortunately so it looks to be fizzling out before it gets here
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, Coilspring said:
Well I still think Thursday and Friday could be exciting.
On a similar subject. As today has been snowing very finely, almost dust like, I remember an old friend once told me that 'small snow means big snow'. I.e small flakes equals more lying snow'. At first I never believed him. But after years of following the weather I've come to realise that's he's a complete knob.
There is some truth in that (sort of). There’s an 18th century Welsh proverb ‘Eira mân, eira mawr‘ which loosely translates as ‘little snow, big snow’....
When you have big snowflakes it means conditions are much more marginal and it’s much more likely to turn to rain or melt as there’s probably milder air trying to mix in...Smaller flakes usually means that the cold air is much more entrenched and the snow would last for longer like with the beast from the east in 2018 when we had fine powdery snow but it accumulated significantly
-
3
-
-
Flurries have developed into more steady light snow here
-
1
-
-
Flurries here now just outside Newport
-
Worried now the cold air will be too strong and the front won’t even make it past Ireland
-
God knows what they’re gonna say on the country file week ahead forecast about Thursday and Friday . They’ll probably speed up the graphics and quickly gloss over it
-
2
-
-
1 hour ago, dbaloo said:
Been in it since last week
oh... you ain't seen nothing yet
-
1
-
-
Very interesting that GFS is showing the front stalling on Thursday... it's usually seen as one of the more progressive models. We could be in this for the long haul!
-
44 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:
At least it's dry I guess, bit of a crap cold spell in my opinion. I'd rather have a marginal set up with a chance of snow rather than dry and cold.
Hopefully with the cold air in place for longer it will help to produce more snow when the Atlantic does eventually start it’s battle to break through. The Atlantic always wins in the end but cold air is stubborn to shift so hopefully a big dumping before the rain and milder air comes in
-
2
-
-
Wintry showers starting tomorrow night for eastern areas like Powys and Monmouthshire
-
Yes trouble is it feels like we’re dependent on something coming up from the south or west which brings the high risk of milder air unless the low is able to ‘slide’
-
4 hours ago, keithlucky said:
1991 12incs in Wales
Was this from an easterly and was it widespread across Wales? It seems that usually easterlies just give us dry weather and maybe occasional flurries. Is it possible for the precipitation coming from the east to be so heavy that it actually gives us a good dumping?
-
7 hours ago, Cymro said:
Looking forward to dry days!
I know what you mean, the ground is soaked around here. You can’t go for a walk without ending up covered in mud.
-
1
-
-
In years gone by I always found that snow was more likely to occur on a Thursday haha that’s changed now
-
2
-
-
19 minutes ago, Storm Emma said:
I wouldn't worry about what the beeb say as they've become rubbish since they dropped the met office, not sure why people still watch them for. I'm waiting for the met office 10 day trend video it should be uploaded anytime soon now
They use Meteogroup which is predominantly ECM. Best to use both in my opinion so you can see where there is any cross model agreement.
-
1
-
-
Just caught the BBC forecast on my lunch break and they’ve surprisingly bullish about snow showers coming in from the east early next week
Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion
in Wales / Cymru weather discussion
Posted
Coming down nicely now