worldairgroup

personally i think that between now (later today) and Friday are our best chances of any snowflakes falling. but I am a bit confused with METO temp forecasts showing temps as so high 7-9 degrees. as we speak winds are picking up. crossing everything. light rain at moment.

well thats something Andy

not impressed with Dereks forecast just now on the BBC. Rain, and more rain.

From Model Output Discussions Consistently starting to be modelled across most models now is the threat of Weds rain to turn to sleet/snow towards the backedge of the front through Weds night and into Thursday, even across Central Southern England and into SE. Most likely to settle over elevation further north as Steve Murr alluded too with his cat & fiddle prediction. Here is a look at the Weather Online charts view of the Precip through Weds and into Thurs. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=rart&HH=54&ZOOM=1&ARCHIV=0&PRINT=0&PANEL=0&INFO=0&MOUSE=1

well it seems GFS has backtracked on itself now and is showing snow potential for east of Wales mid-week. Time to watch is from Wednesday night 0000 until 0600am Thursday. I would take it with a hint of caution as it may just end up as wet snow or very cold rain, but we cerrtainly are back in the running for a snow event.

meanwhile across the pond their third successive polar vertex is causing temperatures to drop overnight to approx -34c. We can only wish! But that is a bit TOO COLD. http://news.sky.com/story/1641563/millions-of-americans-shiver-in-polar-vortex

meanwhile across the pond their third successive polar vertex is causing temperatures to drop overnight to approx -34c. We can only wish! But that is a bit TOO COLD. http://news.sky.com/story/1641563/millions-of-americans-shiver-in-polar-vortex

Well it was only posted within the last 90 minutes or so. Only passing on info.

Quite a bit of talk about Wales and West country potential for snow on Sunday on the Model Output discussions. From Nick F (forecaster) Quote Yep, Wales and West Country waking up to a valentine snowfall according 18z GFS, but may change ... -5C T850s digging further south Sunday on last few runs which is good to see.

Benny - oh yes LOL

yes I agree Andy its got to happen now. Reading the Model Output discussions as well its seeming more and more likely. For the Beeb to come out with such a stern statement (albeit according to Fergie its actually for the BBC 9.55pm Weather for week ahead) there must be very high confidence for this to actually happen.

what a beautiful cold, crispy frosty morning. now this is proper winter weather

From Model Discussions (Steve Murr) this morning in last few moments: Quote 'still the prospect of snow around this weekend - This needs to watched - i mentioned yesterday the deep low & energy dropping SE across to the continent - The GFS has somewhat backtracked towards this - however there would need to be some more corrections to get a snow event across the UK' Unquote

Yep same here Andy and as you know I am at a lower level. Brief spell, stopped now.

guys hi this storm is tracking southeast correct - so its yet to really hit you? If so your in for a little bit of chaos. Its terrible here in Pontypridd today - the winds are frightening. In 33 minutes the fire service alone has attended many many incidents.

not a good idea - just wait until the storm has passed through. Our carport roof got totally detached from the carport overnight and blew into middle of road (lucky it was 4am and no cars there) had to have fire service to come to retrieve as it. if things go wrong during the storm unless there is immedaite danger to life or property - leave it as it is LOL (not ranting at your Clair - your neighbour!!)

Well if the worst is yet to come then I really hope there is a god. Been up watching the Superbowl and the wind gusts have been massive with very squally, heavy showers. So much to say the car port has become detached from its roof and ended up in middle of road. Trees and debris blowing onto A470 (location Upper Boat, Pontypridd). A470 been a buzz of activity with blue lights whizzing past every 20 minutes or so. Lets see what the morning brings (YIKES) ;{ Western Power - Power outages UK wide as of 5:31am 3545 properties without power - see attached for breakdown

nothing here ali. where in pontypridd are you? just sleety mush here.

sleety rain here in upper boat

wicked LOL

Just saw this on Wales Online. Article here http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/heavy-snow-forecast-wales-temperatures-10731596#rlabs=2%20rt$sitewide%20p$1 The Met Office has forecast HEAVY snow for these areas: Maesteg Treorchy Merthyr Tydfil Abertillery Ystradgynlais Brecon Llanwrtyd New Inn, Carmarthenshire Blaenau Ffestiniog The Met Office has forecast snow for these areas: Swansea Bridgend Barry Pontypridd Mountain Ash Neath and Port Talbot Ebbw Vale Crickhowell Llandovery Builth Wells Llandrindod Wells Rhayader Newtown Llanwddyn Bala Llanberis

yes I agree Andy looking good for Thursday night into Friday. Saying that been outside to get some logs and its quite frosty, precip in the air but none of the white stuff.

I just ordered a bigger one jay LOL

Yep the model thread is going bonkers just like the model outputs! LOL

Hi everyone its that time again LOL. Hi andy, black, jay, pembroke, marcus and everyone else. Lets cross everything.