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Buzzit

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  1. Buzzit
    GFS 12z is a nightmare !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! for mild sunny weather lovers Actually I am reminded of the arbitrariness of many things in life, with London set to hit around 30c every day for the next week+ with high overnight temps.. should the met office just call it an official heat wave anyway because surely those susceptible to high temperatures will be (if not already) suffering I spare a thought for them
  2. Buzzit
    Heathrow 30.5c at 4pm - Nice one ! Looking forward to getting home and enjoying it (Pic is not of me)
  3. Buzzit
    Well i think you are leaving yourself wide open to a slew of jokes (lucky this is a weather forum)
  4. Buzzit
    Need a cooler desktop background
  5. Buzzit
  6. Buzzit
    Far too early yet for the way I look at it
  7. Buzzit
    For what it is worth I posted in the summer thread on May 7th that we would have above average temperatures and below average rainfall for summer with no Northern blocking and my worry was (and still is) that we would not have see a change to a traditional autumnal pattern at the correct time (hence drought conditions) The rational behind my prediction was analogues for Europe based on where we were at the start of May as well as the conditions experienced during the preceding Southern Hemisphere summer - but with a particular focus on statistical anomalies vs traditional patterns. Not extremely scientific but it is the best I can do
  8. Buzzit
    It is hot in Twickenham - good night for a quiet drink (or two) in the garden - as it will be for rest of the week. This spell has legs
  9. Buzzit
    In Twickenham it is definitely 31c I think it will struggle to get below 19c here tonight (and for next few days) Enjoy
  10. Buzzit
    Don't worry I am out for most of the day. Coast cannot monopolise the 'fun' all of the time !
  11. Buzzit
    Your BBQ is taking a while to warm up if its only at 26.4c needs to be hotter to make sure you kill all the bugs to ensure health safety when you serve the food to the family
  12. Buzzit
  13. Buzzit
    Not doing too bad so far
  14. Buzzit
    Well Mods say no so that seems to be the end of that - You will just have to google it or start a thread (but don't believe every thing you read of course)
  15. Buzzit
    I was interested - I know a lot about the Hopi and Native American perspectives on climate change - will pm instead - sorry
  16. Buzzit
    Not sure why you keep bringing money into the discussion I have little time for phrases such as "thoroughly vindicated" and I have little time for Corporate fat-cats, Career Politicians, and Monopolistic Corporations in general. What i would like to see is a move away from arguing about what the temperature / how much sea ice and what the quality of it was xxxx years ago vs today. And more of an effort made to encourage the government to spend money on science & technology to help us get through the situation we find ourselves in (both climatical and as a society) with more than 1M people left at the end of it. No posts appear to swing anyone to either side which is why I think we have three threads so people can live in their niche
  17. Buzzit
    Well use more trees then and then I am sure everyone will feel more thoroughly vindicated.
  18. Buzzit
    Whatever - lets move on from the hockey stick - and thoroughly vindicated is the sort of exageration politicians use to tell you how great and right and just they are. Nothing worse in my opinion when it comes to the debate when you point to a link rather than the source so people can actually read what the judgement was (which contains great use of carefully chosen statistics of course which both sides do, which further illustrates what a pain in the backside it is to argue with each other)
  19. Buzzit
    Having looked at the stats the 6z has performed very well amongst the GFS op runs when considering the last 30 days in total, but its recent form (last 7 days) is much less impressive in comparison. Without having the time to prove anything, my theory is that as it does have less initialisation data, it has a chance to get things right if other runs with more initialisation data make more of a certain feature than may be warranted (ie: it performed well with respect to the initialisation of high pressure over the UK) and, in any case, as we do not 100% understand all of the drivers of our weather, it always has the chance of being more correct at times. It is why I look at the 6z and 18z for confirmation of trend rather than specifics, especially as we cannot compare them to UKMO and ECMF at these times.
  20. Buzzit
    By the way if you do use the London charts above a small tip is that if you use http://176.31.229.228/modeles/gens/graphe_ens3.php?x=306&ext=1&y=141&run=6&ville=Londres&runpara=0 Go to where "run=6" appears in the web address and you can change the "6" to 0,6,12,18 to see the four most recent runs ensembles
  21. Buzzit
    Scrap my post the ensembles below speak for themselves
  22. Buzzit
    Good spotting ! At least it is later than yesterdays 6z (I will keep saying bonkers while the 6z continues to throw up bonkers chart output). Someone tell me it is a trend go on lol
  23. Buzzit
    Sounds to me like you should take some time and create your own climate forum... Then you can run it as you like while also posting on Netweather. By the way - do you believe in the Hopi lower and higher path and the Blue Star prophecy ? or is it unrelated to your passion on climate ?
  24. Buzzit
    Good discussion on Kate Upton http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/vicki-hogarth/the-return-of-the-supermodel_b_3551875.html (could not resist - really i could not !)
  25. Buzzit
    I am always reminded of how as you go through schooling - scientific ideas are presented to you as facts - the same facts which you later find out were either only a very small part of a much larger process, or simplified so much as to be almost redundant - I always think of photosynthesis as a good example. This experience for me has always shaped my thinking on science, that we only ever know what we think we know, but we will probably never know what it is that we truly need to know. The media also has a lot to answer for on many topics of public interest (not just scientific) the move from the late 90s to tabloid journalism and little critical thinking or 'investigative' journalism in almost all mainstream media productions has led to a complete lack of reliability / trust being able to be placed on the news media, while they continue to allow almost anyone to say whatever they want and they never question them on the accuracy of their statements. At some point in the future I am going to hear a politician say "Let's be clear" just one too many times
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