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Everything posted by Buzzit

  1. In support of Steves' comments : Any actual professional odds compiler will tell you that pattern matching is a sure fire way to lose all of your money. Anybody can take x amount of variables and create a table with y rows of data and then determine the number of x variables that seem to point to z result by filtering for the most obvious. Then many get upset when the same set of variables produce an unexpected outcome. Even the National Hurricane Centre forecasts are based on pattern matching.. And when you give a +/- 20% probablility you will usually end out ok.. Back to nowcasting : if you understand steering currents then hurricane paths are rudimentary. Earths weather is not a closed system.. it is constantly bombarded by internal and external variables.. If you spend enough time you will appreciate JH discussion of the 500mb anomaly charts
  2. Agreed, I grow my own vegetables on my deck and have put in a few large lavender plants alongside a few other bee friendly species.. in the small spaces available.. Here in Acton there is a local bee keeper who makes fabulous honey (though production is small) and I love seeing bees in my very small garden
  3. At this rate I’m tempted to start a side business in air conditioning..
  4. So the storm is gone now.. and frankly almost nothing London and East (rain or lightening) therefore temp max still in play
  5. I just saw a flash sitting on deck in London.. not expecting actual for another hour.. very unusual
  6. I have grounded myself as I don’t like lightening strikes on my furry behind.. Have made an executive decision to continue to raid the fridge and await the show
  7. It has been interesting following the Met Office local forecast for my location today (London Ealing).. 8am this morning had Tuesday as the only day to achieve 30c+. By 2pm Tuesday & Wednesday were forecast for 30c+ And now at 1am Tuesday Wednesday Thursday are +30c.. To me this is indicative of a model shift or change in background signal
  8. Based on my future radar map.. there does seem to be more of a northerly movement by the 1150pm screen
  9. I agree is looking more Maidstone than London at present
  10. I think some of our esteemed members have missed the CWC background signal .. Essentially the volume of rain increases in proportion to the volume of cricket matches.. With cricket every day there can be no doubt of rain records broken
  11. Absolutely Nick.. I think some of us need to chill a bit and go back to radar watching school.. precipitation (snow) is clearly forming into distinct heavy bands and now starting to build back to the west and north etc etc
  12. Am also Interested in the new band of precipitation wrapping around the formed low down by Alderney (Channel Islands). Going to be lots of radar and nowcasting this evening..
  13. He is still being very tight on the accumulations.. always anti counting past 10cm
  14. I feel your pain.. but it also happens quite often in west london ! (being neither east or west or north or south enough most of the time)
  15. From The latest TAF for Heathrow : Temporary from 31 at 21 UTC to 01 at 09 UTC Visibility: 1200 m Broken clouds at a height of 300 ft snow probability 40% at this stage
  16. I used to do a lot of work in Maclean Virginia (just outside Washington DC) When it snowed there it was epic ! I have just been out for a walk around Chiswick (west london) and the air felt icy cold so perfect for snow
  17. Just seen another slight upgrade on the met office forecast for my area.. now I have to find where I left my list of snow puns, so I have them ready for the morning. Its snow joke, I cant make it to the office today...
  18. Considering the met 5 day showed all rain / sleet for the local area around QPR on Tuesday (which was correct) and currently has heavy snow for at least a couple of hours overnight.. I shall bank it and any extra will be a bonus ..
  19. My conservatory is telling me it is raining at the moment .. but Im hopeful of dandruff in west London later, or certainly on the back-edge of my hair brush.. Seriously I will be happy if I see some flakes on the back edge and frankly this has ended up rolling through about 3 hours too early.. C'est la vie
  20. Current Dew points looking a little bit lower ahead of the front than I think the models were predicting.. I think there could be more of a chance of some overnight heavy wet snow than currently expected
  21. Had a red sky this morning (so I will play Shepherds Warning) I feel a very good chance of a snowy end to the overnight action.. in any case I expect a real mare of a morning commute.. I look forward to the next set of model updates and following the radar later today
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