[Summer 2022 Chat]

I think it's still 33 in Nottingham at 9pm. Insanely hot and the hottest I've ever felt in my apartment at this time of night .

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

It’s pretty bleak and strong winds in Nottingham but nothing too extreme - infact cafes in the city centre had put their outside furniture on the street and it didn’t seem to be blowing away 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Strong winds developing in Nottingham now linked to squalls racing throug

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

If a warning  system needs detailed explanation then it’s not going to get messages out clearly / quickly .  
 

Here in Nottingham it’s been a wet night and winds starting to increase. Not expecting anything too exceptional here in terms of winds - maybe 60-65 for this area

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Also the warnings mean such an inconsistent picture with trains . No trains in Wales but lots of trains scheduled in SE and long distance trains heading south along the east coast at the moment . 
I know people have been warned not to travel but the easiest way to ensure that is to pause the network 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

If the public understood the risk matrix, or if it were used more widely / prominently by the met office , then a late escalation makes sense . But the public don’t in general 

Also reading the text of the red warning it mentions widely gusts to 60-70 , perhaps 80 in a few places mainly by the coast . This doesn’t seem to be vastly different to what was being said / forecast yesterday for these areas yet now it warrants a red warning . It’s crystal clear the warning system is daft as the red should have been issued pre bedtime for those areas .

This warning isn’t related to a sting jet phenomenon- I can understand why the met are monitoring that before issuing 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

The Met Office seem to have this crazy idea that the British public are familiar with their risk matrix. In reality the public consider :

red- serious 

amber - mildly irritating

yellow- barely worth worrying over 

 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

What happens to schools on red warning days? Do councils shut schools or is it carry on regardless ?

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

I’m assuming there might be further red warnings to come in next hour or so

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Yes there’s been outstanding model consistency with this . Of course small differences of 50 miles will make a large difference to who experiences what but this is going to be a notable event for all south of Sheffield and for a portion of the country could be a 1 in 30 year event 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Absolute wind speeds most likely won’t reach 1987 levels but this storm feels similar to 1990

The fact it will be occurring during the day on a Friday - always a busy day- cannot be underplayed

I’m fully expecting a pretty large red warning for east anglia, parts of the southern midlands , Severn estuary areas and maybe London

Hopefully the public will tune into how bad this storm could be

 

 

 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

I think it’s pretty much nailed on that this storm is going to be a once every couple of decades affair and during the day as well 

I think it’s likely there’ll be a near England wide red warning as gusts of 75-90 seem to be so widespread . In areas where schools aren’t on half term I imagine councils will shut them?

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

There’s little doubt now that this storm is going to be hugely disruptive , damaging and will pose a significant threat to infrastructure , transport and potentially a significant threat to life . I’ve never seen those white wind gust colours at 48 hrs out in those locations- in addition it’s occurring on a Friday during the day . There could scarcely be a worse day for it to happen either marking the start or end of half term 

I suspect the red wind warning that is incoming will be large and be for many parts of the current amber warning .

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

A red is pretty much guaranteed now . Needs to be issued in a timely fashion tomorrow so plans can be amended .

I would imagine it would be potentially quite a large red warning especially focused on South West / South East / Wales/ East Anglia / London

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

It does seem amiss that there is clearly the potential for this to bring the strongest winds for a couple of decades in the southern half of country and yet its not being flagged up to that level.  Infact my dad, who follows weather fairly closely and lives in Gloucestershire , believes that Friday will Just be a bit windy 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

This storm is going to be hugely disruptive and dangerous if it comes off as forecast by most models this morning . It will be on a Friday during the day- gusts upwards of 75mph inland are very very rare ! I’d suspect there will be a red warning by Thursday evening if the charts shown by the GFS are close to accurate . It’s half term in some areas but not in others 

[Model output discussion 10/02/21]

It’s clear there is some potential for the turn of the month . There’s a lot of cold air lurking to the north east which should keep things interesting over the next few weeks as it’s likely , in my opinion, to try and have a final swipe at us - I say this simply due to the patterns of the last couple of months 

[Beast from the East 2021.Post-mortem.]

4/10 for Nottingham

I had reasonable expectations for at least 7-10cm of snow 

Monday morning started well with a good cover and a newly issued amber warning . From that point it didn’t really kick on.

Snow fell on Monday-Wednesday but depths across the city were never more than 2-3cm and there was a surprising amount of melting . 
Streamers seemed to set up just to the south of the city which might have been more impressive .

The cold was persistent with good frosts but I believe most days edged above freezing 

 

[Model thread discussion - cold spell looming]

The output that suggested a return of deep cold from the east seems to have vanished. I wouldn’t totally rule out the breakdown having some snow depending on the angle of approach 

[Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward]

Light snow falling in Nottingham last hour or so giving a fresh coating . It’s been an underwhelming event thus far but perhaps tonight might give a surprise or two 

[Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward]

Such a strange day in Nottingham. It started well. A cover of snow including on main roads. An amber warning too . But then the cover partially melted despite temps around zero and dew points well below 

The net result is a patchy covering on some surfaces which is a tad underwhelming 

[Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward]

The Met Office app moves from a light snow symbol to a heavy snow symbol at around 70-80% probability . I really wouldn’t follow them too literally 

Also 24hrs of light snow symbols with a % of 50% does not mean 24hrs of continuous snow 

[Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward]

Posters do need to look at the % likelihood on these app when talking about continuous snow 

[Midlands Regional Discussion Feb 2021 Onward]

Sunday was never looking like a very exciting day for the Midlands 

From around 3am tomorrow is when things should get more interesting . 
Very few models have suggested settling snow here before early Monday 

Monday looks like a great day . Tuesday and Wednesday could be as well as they get into the range of high res models . I would suggest some parts might end up seeing 10-15cm Of snow before the end of tomorrow whilst others have a cm

[Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward]

Well the BBC forecast graphics showed it looking potentially very snowy tomorrow though it was quite clear these are streams of showers so some areas will be lucky whilst others much luckier