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Nick F

Senior forecaster
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Everything posted by Nick F

  1. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-08-13 08:11:54 Valid: 13/08/2020 0600 - 14/08/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - THURS 13TH AUG 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  2. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-08-11 22:08:15 Valid: 12/08/2020 0000 - 13/08/2020 0000 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - WEDS 12TH AUG 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  3. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-08-11 09:57:16 Valid: 11/08/2020 1000 - 12/08/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - TUES 11TH AUG 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  4. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-08-10 22:17:26 Valid: 11/08/2020 0600 - 12/08/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - TUES 11TH AUG 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  5. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-08-10 06:46:41 Valid: 10/08/2020 0600 - 11/08/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - MON 10TH AUG 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  6. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-08-09 07:51:35 Valid: 09/08/2020 0600 - 10/09/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - SUN 9TH AUG 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  7. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-08-08 08:07:30 Valid: 08/08/2020 0600 - 09/08/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - SAT 8TH AUG 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  8. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-07-30 22:35:14 Valid: 31/07/2020 0600 - 01/08/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - FRI 31ST JULY 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  9. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-07-26 22:17:25 Valid: 27/07/2020 0600 - 28/07/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - MON 27TH JULY 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  10. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-07-24 22:21:06 Valid: 25/07/2020 0600 - 26/07/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - SAT 25TH JULY 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  11. The jet stream will power up and take aim at Britain this weekend & into early next week, while the Atlantic Hurricane Season begins to waken too. https://max.nwstatic.co.uk/newsimages2016/weekly/20200718/jetstream-weekend.png View the full blog here
  12. The jet stream will power up and take aim at Britain this weekend & into early next week, while the Atlantic Hurricane Season begins to waken too. View the full blog here
  13. Up to now, Comet Neowise has only been visible for those getting up at the crack of dawn but will now be visible after sunset for the next few days, dependent on cloud cover. https://max.nwstatic.co.uk/newsimages2016/weekly/20200711/neowise.jpeg View the full blog here
  14. Up to now, Comet Neowise has only been visible for those getting up at the crack of dawn but will now be visible after sunset for the next few days, dependent on cloud cover. View the full blog here
  15. Huge differences between GFS and other models at such short range as early as Wednesday EC GFS No other model has that deep low NW of Ireland on Wednesday
  16. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-07-01 22:30:26 Valid: 02/07/2020 0600 - 03/07/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - THURS 2ND JULY 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  17. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-06-30 19:51:42 Valid: 01/07/2020 0600 - 02/07/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - WEDS 01 JULY 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  18. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-06-27 07:53:18 Valid: 27/06/2020 0600 - 28/06/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - SAT 27TH JUNE 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  19. THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - FRIDAY 26 JUNE 2020 Issued 2020-06-26 07:19:00 Valid: 26/06/2020 0600 - 27/06/2020 0600 Forecast Details Upper trough axis to the W and SW of Britain Friday morning will become increasingly negatively-tilted (NW-SE aligned) and sharpen as it shifts E into western Britain by late evening. Ahead of the trough, a warm/moist plume characterised by high wet bulb potential temperatures (theta-w) of 16-18C will continue to advect north across much of Britain, the plume eventually pushed away eastwards by the approaching upper trough by early Saturday.
  20. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-06-26 07:19:00 Valid: 26/06/2020 0600 - 27/06/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - FRIDAY 26 JUNE 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  21. Models will chop and change, they don't handle destabilising plumes very well, 06z EC which I have access to doesn't look too bad for the SE for around 6-9am tomorrow morning.
  22. THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - THURS 25 JUNE 2020 Issued 2020-06-24 22:39:37 Valid: 25/06/2020 0600 - 26/06/2020 0600 Forecast Details Upper trough extending south over the far north Atlantic to the W of Britain will start to sharpen through Thursday as it slowly edges east towards Britain. This will strengthen the southerly flow and pull north a plume of warm/moist air, characterised by wet-bulb potential temperatures (theta-w) of 16-18C across much of Britain. The plume will begin to destabilise across N, Ireland and far western Scotland initially on Thursday morning, as
  23. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-06-24 22:39:37 Valid: 25/06/2020 0600 - 26/06/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - THURS 25 JUNE 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  24. UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2020-06-21 09:58:49 Valid: 21/06/2020 0600 - 22/06/2020 0600 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK - SUN 21 JUNE 2020 Click here for the full forecast
  25. The rainfall radar across southeastern England yesterday showed an interesting motion of the rainfall - with an east to west movement generally across southern England, Midlands and East Anglia, but southern counties of England showing brighter rainfall echoes moving northeast or east. https://max.nwstatic.co.uk/newsimages2016/sun/rain-multidirectional.png View the full blog here
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