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Snowmadsam

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Everything posted by Snowmadsam

  1. Snowmadsam
    Just a reminder folks to contain yourselfs...remember ONE run. Gotta have that trend. Just trying to keep the feet on the ground
  2. Snowmadsam
    Explanations always help....;) Models are still back and forth with ideas or a cold(er) pattern. Much to be resolved.
  3. Snowmadsam
    I think it's been more than down the pub. It's taken some highly illegal substances!! It's gone on a mad one! That come down is gonna be nasty on the 0z..... But still very interesting to watch, as many have thought. Feb seems to be the time to shine
  4. Snowmadsam
    North of the M4: South of the M4: The intrigue continues on todays runs with more interesting options on the table....
  5. Snowmadsam
    With a congress passed deal, NOAA should be up again later today
  6. Snowmadsam
    But are they as smelly, or silent but deadly? 18z coming out, how many shots has it had?! Storm not looking as bad as it looked 5 days ago thank goodness
  7. Snowmadsam
    I wouldn't do either to be honest. Models are in a variety of ways. Everything needs to be taken with a pinch of salt and humor at the moment if you ask me, the ECM shows the amount of uncertainty by two polar opposite runs this morning and this evening
  8. Snowmadsam
    Away from the Western parts of Wales, which is where I am! Showers here today have been intense but upper air temps too high! So it's been sleety! Not holding out for anything else now! If it were to stall however.....
  9. Snowmadsam
    Don't worry! I was only awake because the dog was barking, and thought I may as well check!
  10. Snowmadsam
    Bearing in mind we don't know how the next 48 hours will turn out, I'm not taking anything for granted atm. It is all just for fun, lets remember that
  11. Snowmadsam
    Showing the tension AJ! Could be what ecm ens have been saying for while...are we going to be lead up a garden path again?
  12. Snowmadsam
    *inhales deeply*
  13. Snowmadsam
    I'm not even calling tomorrow yet! Here in the West of Wales! Let's wait and see! Imagine if it got into the op....
  14. Snowmadsam
    Who's gonna say it....MORE RUNS NEEDED
  15. Snowmadsam
    Storm substantially weaker on the 12z, more of a 'kink' - 48h - 54h - 60h Interesting developments....
  16. Snowmadsam
    Here we go, a ridge in FI! Oh no, here we go again!! Oh dear me!
  17. Snowmadsam
    Got me out of my student overdraft I still think things could happen before thursday, if not. I'm not worried. Always later on, or feb. If you want snow badly buy a snow machine. Plenty of time of adjustments as models edge closer yes to this colder spell. But small things may help!
  18. Snowmadsam
    I’m not calling this now or next week, I’ll call it at the time. The runner is the issue, we have to see where it goes. That’s it in a nutshell I think. Lets see what ECM says, you never know this can still turn around
  19. Snowmadsam
    Ah the Shakespearean tragedy of model watching! I was wondering when it was going to fall apart. If it’s too good to be true - it probably is! Try and keep the faith folks! But remember the models are a guide as to what MAY happen. The only thing that will happen will be decided by the weather
  20. Snowmadsam
    Just finished my 1-9 shift and well what a stonker and then, what a stinker. The variability of the GFS alone shows it hasn’t really got a handle on the specifics of the pattern further ahead than Monday imo. Bed is calling me! I may do an interesting post tomorrow, with some colourful charts! How exciting!
  21. Snowmadsam
    Only the north side of it I’m afraid Much to be watching, pleased I have work today so won’t be as active! But the model runs show the variability of the storm system and what happens next!
  22. Snowmadsam
    As a South West Walier, this storm really does need to shift further south. It does concern me with these gusts. This really is red warning territory we are getting into wind wise. If the system does not deepen so much I would expect yellow/amber warnings in the snow line areas
  23. Snowmadsam
    Like another 50 miles? If that could happen, that would be great! More IMBYness but why not? I knew I should have given the 18z that extra shot of tequila!
  24. Snowmadsam
    Or bad, as my parents found out the hard way.... I will still say, surprises can happen
  25. Snowmadsam
    Agreed. As cliche as this sounds, I'm going to hold fire and see what the ECM does say. I may also take a break from model watching
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