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Everything posted by Kentspur
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Kentspur replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It hammered down at times here tbf but just wouldn't settle -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Kentspur replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Uppers too warm south of the M4 again.-what I dont get is how we had much colder uppers yesterday yet failed to have any settling snowfall can't ever remember -11c upper air temps and a damp squib -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Kentspur replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good north of the M4 then -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Kentspur replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's clear GFS hasn't a scooby post 16th could argue there's 3-4ensembles that are massive outliers including the op run! -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Kentspur replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Jan 2004 remember it well 5c and light rain suddenly turned to snow as temp dropped to 0c leaving a few cms Early Jan 2003 was a bigger fall here though we got a Thames streamer -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Kentspur replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That darker blue pixels right over NW Kent -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Kentspur replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So basically not settling within a couple miles of the coast i.e where that white blob is over my area -
Its weird as in the late 90s and early 00s your area often had several snowfalls that missed anywhere Strood Westwards quite often I remember this occurring as my dad lives in Dartford where I went to achool my aunty near you across the Medway. But about the last 15-18 years ive noticed it hardly ever happens now!
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Kentspur replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Got mine 2 days ago to keep in my car Good old Home Bargains there were 2 shovels left lol its a retractable one not that im expecting any settling here but might take a drive to the Downs lol -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Kentspur replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Remember that well like many other falls for London and north of the M4 did ok but here was rain and sleet this event should provide more for those south of the Thames thankfully although Im not hopeful on settling snow right by the Thames where I am despite this the Met warning areas over the Downs mainly -
If theres ever a chance for low lands of NW Kent to see snow its with this wind direction and minus double figure upper air temperatures! Last year took me by surprise what will Monday bring? I wont get my hopes up but by experience these ENEly flows do usually overachieve my expectations. Usually its a damp squib here while 2 miles south or east of here is under the white stuff