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IanR

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Everything posted by IanR

  1. are you expecting more ? dont be silly you have had your yearly quota too you'll be back , with vengeance
  2. Most years since 2010 have been bad, Last year we had only one thunderstorm day , a decent one at that . So far this year we have had 2 thunder days, but they were only distant rumbles , I have seen 2 flashes from those storms so thats my quota for 2019 then , anything else will be a rare bonus ,
  3. Last June was hot and dry and the reason... no Glastonbury, This year its Glastonbury , mud bath it is then
  4. Does anyone have answers for the decline ? , big decline here too over the last decade Or just theories ? its very notable now the lack of big storms , last humdinger here was july 2015 , however we have had the odd thundery shower in the following years but not many , But 2018 was the worst year ever , just one thunder day over the 12 month period , ludicrous and shocking. And no night time lightning, forgot what that looks like in reality, In the seventies and eighties its was not uncommon to see evening heat lightning in the distance on warm summer evenings now and again , sometimes it came overhead, that just does not happen here anymore, not even the distant night lightning
  5. I think it impossible to predict outcomes for the year ahead to any accuracy , its all guess work, just a bit of fun However, one area that we can easily predict to a high degree of accuracy is the lack of thunderstorms , we had one in 2018 and 2019 will again prove that they will be very thin on the ground , I will be optimistic though and predict in this location we will get one again overhead , just the one though. and maybe another day of a few distant rumbles, but thats being even more optimistic
  6. 'mostly good' may june and july were great here, august has been typical of the last few , poor , but not a complete disaster , factor in the lack thundery stuff marks this summer down another notch
  7. I once read a theory that active sunspot periods increase thunderstorm activity , could this be the reason ? We are in a low sunspot phase
  8. worst year for thunder ever, one thunder day here so far in 2018, a new all time low count, its been building up to this a while, with the thunder counts getting ever lower every year, next year 0 thunder days , would not bet against it
  9. all the electrical stuff is out to sea, seems to want to stay there too,
  10. looks like it will head towards the ribble estuary, lytham area etc
  11. uniform overcast stratus crud here , no sign of any solar input, slighty humid feel though, just not feeling it here today
  12. Last year I recorded two thunder days here, this year there has been just one so far, Contrast that to pre 2000 where 7 thunder days would be about the norm, thats discounting those nights where we would get a good distant lightning show but no thunder, which perhaps would happen twice yearly a full calendar year with no thunder is on the cards in the not too distant future me thinks , I thought it was going to be this year but a decent thunder day two Saturdays ago saved a totally thunderless 2018 up to that point , there is still time in 2018, but I think it could be a very long wait now
  13. 27c peaked in wigan today , a nice sunny evening for a bike ride , with patchy clouds ,we must be south of a front
  14. Is there a chance of a repeat of yesterday. A very good thunder day here yesterday just like the old days, with thunder rolls you just lost count of in one particular cell, and other electrical cells coming along later , like buses these thunderstorms, could not believe my luck when I heard round 3 rumbling in the distance with my name on it , surely not again . this is the NW
  15. I was under that cell, it was producing very frequent intracloud lightning every few seconds , and 'crackly' sounding thunder, with just the odd cg deep boom type thunder
  16. looks like 2018 will not be the first thunder free year in my location after all , quite active here today , 3 thundery showers queuing to take their turn . one was very active electrically, but mainly cloud to cloud
  17. had 3 separate storms cells here today , one over head with frequent thunder every few seconds, not much lightning visible though I did see a few intracloud flashes, if only it was night
  18. ah yes , generally drizzly showers and bands of moderate rain with stratus filled grey skies , the NW has no problem delivering that
  19. I decided to abandon my storm chase along the m62 eastwards, after checking the radar and lightning maps the storms where already pushing into the north sea, before I even left I am now banking on a first, the first calender year ever without a single rumble heard or lighting flash seen in my location for the whole of 2018, its gonna happen , which actually is very remarkable in itself, but could become the new norm Seeing as July is statistically the thunderiest month , unless August delivers , then the chance fades anyway as we go on through September into autumn
  20. haha , you quoted my post before i could spell check and edit, a bit rushed ! , I want to get to the storms, its my only chance of seeing any this year, right , tea now ,,,then off , I will stay within the speed limit, i will let you know how I get on
  21. Its a friday , no work tommorow , and I am alone tonight, I am really tempted to jump in the car and head east along the m62 over the pennines , just cooking tea now , so it may get 8 o clock before i can set out anyone think I will be wasting my time , will those storms have moved to far north or out into the north sea by the time I get there, sod it , i am going anyway, i may get a distant lighting show as it will be dusk by then , better rush my tea down then , never done a storm chase , wish me luck !
  22. BBC radio Manchester and BBC local news mention risk of heavy showers and thunder today BBC national forcast says storms in East mainly , useless lot ! which is it then ? I would bet on the latter @ Crewecold, something does seem to have changed but what , its not like the north west never got storms , we did , although still not as much as the south east, but we got a fair share, tbh I think storm activity is less everwhere but prone areas still get them is there haaarp experiments or cloud seeding secretly going on ?
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