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Milhouse

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Everything posted by Milhouse

  1. Milhouse
    Southern England would benefit from the increasing warmth over the Channel if the ECM 240h chart verified. Big temperature variations here with possibly the first 20c in southern England but a nagging northeasterly pegging temps back further north. Nice to see the models flirting with the idea of something warmer and/or more settled.
  2. Milhouse
    The UK looks like returning to the warmer side of the low pressure so least it wont be cold rain. Nice warmth building across the channel too.
  3. Milhouse
    The Azores high looks like taking a long holiday away from the UK so it looks like the best route to something warm will be from the Euro high drawing up warm southerlies as low pressure pulls back west into the Atlantic. Ecm 12z shows how this would develop. Before that its looking generally unsettled though very mild at first with temps dropping back to average/slightly below.
  4. Milhouse
    Now that skies have cleared its turned into a glorious afternoon with temps pushing 14c. Hopefully the FI charts from the GFS that are showing a S/SE flow will materialise.
  5. Milhouse
    Not bad temperatures at all considering upper air temps are -3c for most of the UK.
  6. Milhouse
    It now looks like an increasingly mild, albeit increasingly unsettled outlook for the next 5/6 days. We will have a light southerly for a time raising temperatures into the very mild category but during next week winds will turn to a cooler showery northwesterly direction. On into FI the GEFS mean is indicating chances of an easterly with pressure lowest over southern England. Potentially a warm direction at this time of year, though still unsettled.
  7. Milhouse
    Its clearly sticking to its guns and refusing to entertain any idea of a more high pressure influenced scenario. Quite ramarkable that that there is so much divergence at such a short timescale.
  8. Milhouse
    About time too! This Spring so far has been a bit stagnant tbh with not much to talk about. Expect all the new Spring growth to start responding quicky.
  9. Milhouse
    The GFS 12z is looking good from Tomorrow on into the middle of next week with rising temperatures (which the bbc forecast has just mentioned) and more in the way of dry and sunny conditions. Scattered, possible heavy showers are a possibility on any day but it will all contribute towards a very Springlike mix of weather. And temperatures look like rising into the mid teens widely for the first time this year. Plus the UKMO is pretty much in agreement. ....patiently awaits the ECM take on things.
  10. Milhouse
    Nice to see that even in spells of sub 0c upper temps such as this coming Sunday/Monday we are still forecast to achieve double figure maxes over a wide area.
  11. Milhouse
    With some rather warm uppers i would expect higher temperatures than what the GFS is currently showing for Saturday. Turning milder, possibly pleasantly warm later this week before cooler air moves in from the west for Sunday.
  12. Milhouse
    Some unseasonably warm temperaures getting tantasingly close to the UK on the GFS 12z. Just goes to show what the better ECM would be capable of delivering.
  13. Milhouse
    Lots of options on the table for how April will begin. the ECM throws in a lovely sumemrlike Southeasterly while the GEM bullzodes the Atlantic back in without giving high pressure time to build. I believe we will end up with a middle of the road scenario like GFS version of events. Settled for a time with temps in the low to mid teens.
  14. Milhouse
    British Summer Time begins soon
  15. Milhouse
    ECM also likes the stalling low to the west of the UK idea.
  16. Milhouse
    Looks like a bit of a battle emerging next week between warm air from the south and cold air from the Arctic. The GFS 0z showed the warm southerlies winning out, while the 6z had more of a cool northeasterly. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1501.html
  17. Milhouse
    Well it definately looks like March will end up as an incredibly benign and average month with little in the way of extremes. Even the temperatures havent shown much deviation, starting off cold/chilly and rising 3/4c to end the month, pretty much in line with the expected rise in temps through March.
  18. Milhouse
    The change has finally come! Gone are the harsh cold winds of the past 2 weeks and its been much more pleasant and springlike today. Its amazing what an increase of only 3/4c can do.
  19. Milhouse
    But on the flip side, the models were showing a progressively colder week in the run up to Easter and instead its more unsettled milder southwesterlies.
  20. Milhouse
    Sorry the GFS in FI http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn3601.html
  21. Milhouse
    Im happy with all this dry weather too, but i just wish the temperatures would be a touch higher. However it is only March and Its like looking for cold in mid September. One cant get too picky for warmth so early in the season. Plenty of time for something nice and warm and the sight of some lovely early warmth on the 12Z in FI is a reminder that warmer times are just round the corner.
  22. Milhouse
    Temporary northerly at T+216, 240 on the ECM 12Z http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.html
  23. Milhouse
    Looks to me like its fallen more in like with the rest of the model suite?
  24. Milhouse
    Which models? Looks fairly settled and mild here The ECM 0z however looked much colder but the outcome for next week is far from confirmed.
  25. Milhouse
    If theres no cold and snowy spell on the horizon then people arent going to discuss it. Same goes for a warm spell, which in the next 10-15 days looks equally as unlikely. What we have is a very dry and settled spell with temps not straying too much from average.
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