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Milhouse

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Everything posted by Milhouse

  1. I wonder if this summer will see anything like the stunning high pressure charts of last July. Such a strong high lasting for so long is such a rarity though.
  2. And much better from the GFS 12z in the low res part as well. Demonstrates the uncertainties as we enter summer proper. The heat builds in FI
  3. Next weekend shaping up quite nice on the GFS 12z. Increasingly dry and warm with scattered showers for the south west.
  4. On the face of it this is a promising looking chart with high pressure in the right areas to encourage warmth to build over the UK. Even though low pressure eventually pushes its way through there is the potential for alterations to occur before then. The jet stream is looking rather sluggish so there is the chance that low pressure may hang out in the Atlantic for longer encouraging high pressure to build.
  5. Not too bad from the UKMO. Infact most models are showing some sort of drier potential late next week and into the weekend
  6. Its been a very good Spring! Close to record warmth for the season as a whole with some lengthy dry spells around like the one we have just come out of. And, looking ahead, its not like its endless low pressure heading for the UK like 2012. The only bad thing its the Azores high looks to be shunted too far southwest but high pressure to the north looks like being close enough to deliver some okayish weather at times.
  7. Still yet to get a drop of rain here. So the fine and warm spell that began last Wednesday is still ongoing, and what a lovely spell of weather it has been, with a bonus 3 extra nice days than what was originally predicted.
  8. It all gets a bit messy towards the end of the ECM but pressure is rising so there should be some increasingly dry and pleasant weather to be had but still the risk of showers around. At t+240 the summer version of the beast from the east is lurking just across the north sea.
  9. Will be close for the warmest Spring on record which would be remarkable considering 2011, just 3 years ago, holds the current record. If things carry on this way then 2014 will be heading towards the warmest year on record but a long way to go.
  10. I want it warm enough to wear summery clothes. We walk round in coats for too much of the year so its nice to relax and dress down for 3 months of the year
  11. The ECM definitely provides food for thought this evening with a much drier last few frames to what its been showing for the past few days. Low pressure moves off to the south west allowing us to just about tap into some of the heat on the continent.
  12. Perhaps a greater chance for something drier and still warm
  13. UKMO and GFS both indicating that it will stay warm on into next week so it could feel quite tropical with some heavy rain at times but also some dry periods to be had. Pressure not that low on the UKMO at 144h so maybe more in the way of warm sunshine the further north and east you go.
  14. Certainly nothing cold to come looking at the current models so the remarkable run of above average temperatures that began right back in December is set to continue. So the next 10 days can be best described as dry and warm, becoming unsettled but staying warm.
  15. The CET would rocket upwards early next week if the GFS 0z is correct. Some very mild nights in store.
  16. Now that the UKMO has moved in a more unsettled direction i am starting to believe thats the direction things are heading. So chances are, we will see an unsettled week next week with showers of longer spells of rain. But temperatures dont look too bad. A welcome taste of summer to come between now and then though.
  17. Low pressure once again being held at bay on the ECM. Nice day for much of England and Wales on Monday if its correct.
  18. 12z GEFS mean now has Sunday looking not too bad the further SE you go with things remaining fine and warm.
  19. Not sure it is though. Certainly not as much an outlier as the 0z. There has been a westwards shift in the position of low pressure as highlighted by the chart below. The fact that warm air is not too far away shows winds from a southerly direction are likely. We still require a further westwards movement to prolong the dry conditions though.
  20. The run ends with the trough still to the west but this would likely be the most unsettled day with a front positioned north to south somewhere over the UK. Pointless looking at specific details that far out but the indications are still there that the dry and fine conditions may well persist out to Sunday at the earliest.
  21. Turning into a decent run. Staying on the warm side with more unsettled conditions pushing into the SW but fine elsewhere.
  22. The cool uppers are being kept well away from the UK, Warm southerlies instead.
  23. Heading down to Wembley for the FA Cup final on Saturday i know which one i would want to verify. The UKMO would bring a very pleasant start to the weekend with low 20s achievable in the SE. We'll have to see if the ECM also agrees with this.
  24. Many places should see their first 20c of the year by the end of next week. Both the GFS and UKMO (assuming it went 2 days further) looking good for 3/4 days of warm and bright/sunny conditions.
  25. Its just a question of how long high pressure sticks around or if and when it starts to leak away. The high starts to be squeezed from low pressure to the north. Still a warm/very warm day on the cards.
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