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Showing most liked content since 15/02/20 in all areas

  1. 20 likes
    It looks better again later in the run, fingers crossed we see some wintry weather next week.
  2. 16 likes
    Came in from work to a happy dog, who'd spent the afternoon watching me out the window, asked him if he wanted a walk...
  3. 15 likes
    Just had a look at the GEFS 6z postage stamps and they show an increasing chance of snow as next week progresses, especially from midweek which was also the case with the 0z... could next week turn into the best period of the winter so far for cold / snow starved coldies?...everything crossed!!
  4. 15 likes
    I must say, it's nice for someone to quote a post of mine which has positivity in the response Yes we had some heavy snow here, and it stuck...for about an hour haha.
  5. 11 likes
    Turning icy here as the sky cleared when the wind veered North of West. More showery today than I would have have forecast with many of the heavier ones being sleety and even a bit snow early doors though it did not settle. Having a bit of altitude and inland made a difference today. Here is Errichel in Highland Perthshire at 300 mtrs asl.
  6. 11 likes
    For anyone in doubt about the seriousness of the situation in South Wales consider this chart showing another 4cm of rain due today up to 6:00 pm: c This is on top of the 14 hours of nearly continuous rain which has already drenched the hills in this area. The steep sided valleys of South Wales drain all this water into narrow streams and rivers which can very quickly become inundated and cause dangerous flooding. Hence - red warning very much justified.
  7. 10 likes
    Relentless zonality this season,no pertuberations or weaker vortex yet in forecast,just a terrible winter season full stop.Cant wait for spring. A lesson to learn not to look at zonal wind forecast and MJO on GFS 5+ days
  8. 10 likes
    12z ECM giving support the the gfs for a potentially cold blast next Tuesday and Wednesday, timings vary a bit but something rather chilly with snow showers appears to be shaping up.
  9. 10 likes
    The Met Office have just issued a yellow weather warning for snow above 200 m ASL across a large part of the upland Highlands area and a good chunk of the Southern Uplands. The Euro 4 is modelling impressive new snow accumulations over the mountains between now and tomorrow night.
  10. 10 likes
    And some more good news: Taking the 06Z together with the latest missives from the Beeb, a gradual change to a more anticyclonic pattern seems to be gaining some traction: We can only hope!
  11. 9 likes
    Temperature is 10C colder compared to yesterday. Currently 2C with moderate snow, the hills have a slight covering. Bank. Heavier snow out at Braemar. Latest update from the Met office, for this area, is for heavy snow 11am..
  12. 9 likes
    Evening all, Came home to similar conditions as @Kirkcaldy Weather was reporting. Missed the showers, too busy at work! Sunday night was certainly the wildest here in terms of high winds, some minor damage and gusts must have been 70mph here on the coast (Tay Bridge was closed for a while). Got out for a walk on the Fife Coastal Path on Saturday, was glad to have the wind at my back! Even spotted a few bedraggled, wind blown daffodils.
  13. 8 likes
    Compares with my rain gauge near Halkirk getting just 76mm so far this month. In the few years I've been working on and off up there, I don't recall any really wet spell. Coming back down to the Black Isle this afternoon, Easter Ross fields are as flooded as they were when I went north on Monday and we still have a moat at HC Towers - but we've had little compared to most folk here further south. Next week is still looking wintry.
  14. 8 likes
    Showers already turning wintry after the rain last night just a shame this is a short sharp blast before the mild returns Nice proper shower of the white stuff and it settling
  15. 7 likes
    Yes looks like trending colder as we go into March and still unsettled, ain't that just typical. And the ECM showing it's first half decent (if you can call it that) cold snap of the winter.
  16. 7 likes
    The 0z GFS continues to show a rampant Atlantic. I've never seen anything like it at this time of year. It's more like October than February. Astonishing, astonishing, conditions.
  17. 7 likes
    Well... Its a bit gusty here already in Tunbridge Wells. And so many of the fields are waterlogged already. My friend has bought her cows in... Mud nearly up to the top of her Wellington Boots...And before any of our resident comedians comment the cows are in her barn NOT her house!
  18. 6 likes
    What I’m looking for in the models at present is some letup in the current pattern for those that have, or will have had a terrible time with flooding. For the rest of us, some dry days and some sign of spring. Here’s the moan.... the incessant hunt for snow in the model thread is very boring. A few terrible bores in there. Isn’t there more to offer in meteorology then snow? I know they get likes and all. But it’s almost verging on unhealthy in my view.
  19. 6 likes
    Once again any amplification shown bites the dust . The pattern now becoming flatter with every run . Even crumbs aren’t being thrown out now to close winter with at least something resembling that season . Clearly the models are underestimating the PV at the medium range and so we see some temporary amplified solutions before reality hits . The GFS 06 hrs now onto another likely wild goose chase in its FI .
  20. 6 likes
  21. 6 likes
  22. 6 likes
    Snow in some of the heaviest showers that passed over Edinburgh today.
  23. 6 likes
  24. 6 likes
    The General Clustering this morning at the end of month though on the GEFS is all below -5c uppers.
  25. 6 likes
    Been raining hard since at least 9am and the wind is pretty gusty now, I'd say to a similar level as last weekend. The puddle in my lawn is the biggest it's been all winter. I will need to look at putting in more drainage in the summer. Lots of flooding on the roads reported locally.
  26. 6 likes
  27. 5 likes
    I was over at my Dad's at Kilmacolm this afternoon and it was just a wall of water, even for a wet part of the lowlands it was far worse than normal. The road in the pic above always floods, it used to be the dip under a low railway bridge. The railway is long gone but the road still dips and floods.
  28. 5 likes
    Given the current situation regarding the grim flooding in many areas and the completely saturated ground in others, I would have thought the main priority at the moment is to keep an eye, or two, on the model outputs in the near time frame with this in mind. And although there will be some rain in the next two or three days which will not help it's developments at the beginning of next week that need watching. By midday Sunday a wave is developing on the trailing front in the Atlantic which is set to deepen quickly near the left exit of the jet as it tracks north east over the next 24 hours. But you will note that there is no consensus on the detail of this, by a long chalk, but hopefully this will be sorted quickly But this could bring heavy rain and gales to many areas that don't need it
  29. 5 likes
    Just out of interest (and I’m really not being or trying to be funny or sarcastic in anyway here at all) have you a background in biomedical science? I’m just curious. I did immunology some 22-years ago (gosh where did the intervening years go) as part of a biomedical science/health science degree and I found immunology (and embryology at a later point in the degree course) absolutely fascinating - I had to be surgically removed from my immunology text books . At the point I was studying the subject HIV was still very much the virus to conquer.
  30. 5 likes
    Hopefully as bad as this winter has been for us coldies,it might keep the arctic cooler and for longer inti the melt season and hopefully conditions up there are kind through the melt season.
  31. 5 likes
  32. 5 likes
    9C and wall to wall sunshine as I left the Aberdeen office this afternoon. Spring begins in under a fortnight, and 28 days later the clocks go forward. Should be enough daylight to hit the hills after work for a couple of hours. Counting the days.....
  33. 5 likes
    Still gusting fearsomely in Caithness but at least it's dry and sunny. God that was a miserable weekend and I feel for the folk who got flooded out. Let's hope that was the worst of it.
  34. 5 likes
    Have to admit, would choose that High Pressure chart over the constant train and soggy weather the Atlantic Lows been unleashing apon us! Just need to find the Tardis and jump a few weeks into the future to Spring. (With the way this Winter’s behaving, that’s the only thing that is appealing right now lol). That GEM chart Tim Bland posted does look interesting for having more of an Arctic Maritime influence from the North for the UK. Winter probably will snatch it away as usual. But guess we’ll find out whether it’s being too amplified, or whether the ECMWF and GFS are being a little bit flat with the outcome, at the moment. In the closer timeframe, it looks like a further continuation of the mobile, Atlantic, Westerly theme with varying cooler and milder periods. And further spells of wind, showers and rain, some wintry over Northern hills at times. Best of the milder conditions towards the South-East, particularly later into this week as High Pressure rocks about to the South/South-East of the UK: South-Eastern areas generally tending to see the best of the brighter less unsettled conditions too. The strong blue and purples to the North and North-West of the UK (Polar Vortex) together with the strong heights to the South, bringing quite a strong Jetstream through the UK encouraging a strong, Westerly, active pattern. Today and tomorrow though will be will be quite chilly for all, as a cool, showery, Westerly flow dominates: The airmass, especially at the 850 hPa temperature level for Northern areas, looks cold enough for showers to have some wintry flavour to them. But most likely over the Northern High ground. Perhaps a few flakes reaching some lower levels across the North. The chilly theme looking to last into Wednesday: ...although some rain, possibly with some leading edge sleet and snow on high ground over Northern UK, looks to spill in from the West later into the morning and early afternoon.
  35. 5 likes
    Yesterday morning This morning I think my 2-3" was a bit premature.. Looks a bit more than that.. It's close now to reaching the flat ground that pours the water into the houses back gardens..
  36. 4 likes
    Heavy snow here with thunder & lightning
  37. 4 likes
    71mm of rain there over the last 36 hours according to SEPA. We've had about 36mm in the last 24hrs and around 50mm over the last 36 hours. All made worse by the recent wet weather!
  38. 4 likes
    You are not wrong sir! I'm sitting here with my roll and coffee and wondering if it really was the correct decision! I hate buses! On the plus side I have no reason to not stop for a pint after work
  39. 4 likes
    Think we heard that one here in Falkirk (unless the kids are having a stompy disco upstairs).
  40. 4 likes
  41. 4 likes
    Guess who can start playing sports again after recovering from a broken collarbone!
  42. 4 likes
  43. 4 likes
    Many local roads flooded here, the garden is an enormous puddle with our fence a gonner for good after valiant attempts during last week's storm. Locally we are under a flood warning until midnight. The Thames at Kingston must be very high indeed. But at least we have a sunset and pockets of blue sky. Please can we have some weeks to dry out now and while we're at it, might as well head on into spring.
  44. 4 likes
    Sleet here this morning. Very blustery showers, nasty stuff. Trying to find info on rail disruption but Scotrail website just spouts garbage. Someone said the line's flooded near Kingussie but I can find no official source of info. Any offers of useful info?
  45. 4 likes
    I think the issue we’ve had all winter is that Polar Vortex has been way too strong so therefore it’s near impossible to get prolonged cold spells. Really is a disappointment though, I think the last completely snowless winter for me at least was 2013-14 with all the storms bringing in mild air, similar to recently. Just want to hope that some day that polar vortex will break down and there will be such negative AO that we get a repeat of winter 2009/2010. That’s what I need
  46. 4 likes
    GFS has amped up the storm somewhat on recent runs, though I was looking at the Met Office impact matrix and that was less severe than Ciara. It’ll still be a significant event. These storms do have a habit of throwing a surprise or two in. For our area near the Thames, it’s the rain amounts that are of more concern.
  47. 4 likes
    Update to warning time line Storm Dennis timeline: A look at the warnings and impacts from the next UK February storm - Blog by Jo Farrow WWW.NETWEATHER.TV #StormDennis brings windy and very wet weather this weekend. Significant risk of flooding especially for western Britain. Gales at times too.
  48. 3 likes
    Absolutely no one outside of the recognised medical/scientific channels! I.e WHO, CDC, peer reviewed papers in reputable scientific publications*. Even the level headed MSM providers should be viewed with a great deal caution, the journalists doing the reporting often have little understanding of virology, immunology or biochemistry. *Even then you have to take into account that these could be incorrect, they will however at least be based on the best understanding of the available evidence at that time.
  49. 3 likes
    Seems windier now than it’s been all day.
  50. 3 likes
    It's no exaggeration to say that these conditions are terrible. 14 hours of pretty much non-stop rain now, most of it heavy, accompanied by strong gusty winds, and looking like another six hours to come. I haven't been out since this morning but even then the main roads were inundated with puddles on both sides generally meeting in the middle of the road. I am really not looking forward to seeing more footage of people being flooded again but it now seems inevitable that this will be making news in the morning. I will not be sorry to see the back of February 2020.
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