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Showing content with the highest reputation on 21/07/21 in all areas

  1. My daughter took these photos looking south from top of Blue bell hill ,she is a little more serious with her photography than me ..
    32 points
  2. Mammatus on the storm after it fizzled out near Stevenage last night
    26 points
  3. Some photos of the belter of a storm last night, was really like something out of the Plains. The timing with sunset made for some great colours.
    26 points
  4. Better late than ever - but took this while chasing near Braintree yesterday. Got a load of other pics but not had time to offload.
    23 points
  5. A few photos from yesterday's thunderstorms over Northamptonshire, UK.⛈⛈
    20 points
  6. Ha Ha, Fresh air at last .....☺
    14 points
  7. Over the strict test I did on the anomaly charts sone 10-12 years ago there was little or no difference. For either winter or summer. Tere are, quite often, two periods when the anomalies are less consistent, into August and more especially early autumn. Partly due to the presence of Hurricanes and partly, as in early to mid spring the annual change-over in the northern hemisphere from summer to winter and at the other end winter into summer. But as knocker has suggested each to our own. use as many of the outputs as you feel comfortable with. Remember no one method is 100% correct all the time or even much of the time. Even the professionals will admit that. As an ex one myself, don;t make excuses, try to explain hoenstly what seems to have caused the incorrect forecast and move on. Don't mock other folk or complain they do things differently or like different weather to yourself. end jh sermon.
    13 points
  8. pic of the big black cloud looming threateningly over Sevenoaks yesterday
    13 points
  9. Been out chasing all afternoon, what a fantastic day for storms, great to see so many have had their fix today! In Cambridgeshire I got caught in some torrential rain accompanied with pretty large hail which turned the roads to rivers, was a bit hairy for a time. Had loads of thunder and lightning and some lovely cloud structure as I drove back towards Northants with the cell near Thrapston going bonkers for a time. Did a quick time lapse of some rotation just to the south of Cambridge.
    13 points
  10. That Tring storm finished the evening off perfectly for me
    12 points
  11. Well, that storm was quite something, to say the least.
    12 points
  12. Just seen a funnel cloud... Near Accrington!!!! I've nearly wet myself with excitement!!! Really rubbish pic but the best I could get!!!
    11 points
  13. This morning's GEFS 00Z ensembles: isn't it amazing how an exaggerated-scale graph can distort people's perception? Average or a touch below, by August 5, hardly represents a signal for a 'washout August'. Whatever the forecast ENSO state will be?
    11 points
  14. Some shots/video of the supercell in Essex earlier today as it passed overhead... video.mp4
    11 points
  15. That's fine, but like the anomalies, or any chart at any level for that matter, they have to be interpreted correctly. And given the complexity of teleconnections determining which is the most pertinent regarding the upper air analysis over the Atlantic/Euro arena is not straightforward by any means. And after that the surface analysis for the UK has to be sorted. I have lost count over the years the number of timesI have seen the comment, 'the models are not picking up the signals' when in fact it is quite possible the signals are not there to be picked up. At the end of the day there is no slam dunk way of sorting the analysis many days in advance but it makes sense to make use of all the tools available because none of them are infallable
    10 points
  16. Back end of July looking a bit ropey . Tbf it's been a glorious June and July locally and for much of the North West. Certainly there is a possibility August may begin poorly but equally no reason to believe the month as a whole will be poor. Its been that hot this week I don't actually mind if we have a week or two of something fresher,of course that will likely mean some rain,moreso for the North most likely. Oh well, we don't live in Iberia I suppose.
    10 points
  17. This monster has blocked our evening sunshine. I'm in Huddersfield so this is over the Pennines in Lancashire.
    9 points
  18. today's the day. Hampshire is going to get a cumulus at least!
    9 points
  19. I do hope for more days like yesterday in the SE. The videos that have been floating around were just absolutely insane and not something you'd expect coming out of Essex and Kent. Downbursts of hail, tremendous rain. Absolutely mental. A shame these homegrown storm days with that level of intensity are far and between in the SE. I've linked one of the more notable videos I saw yesterday.
    9 points
  20. Not the best outlook this morning if you'd like a bit more sunshine and settled weather...it looks like by the end of the month we will have gone into a -NAO & - AO pattern, with a big Greenland and Arctic high blowing up. If we look at the polar view today, and also at day 10 on the GFS and GEM, you can see a marked change. Never has been a good pattern for decent UK summer weather. Jet will be forced south, and we will be on the colder side. Temperatures will therefore be below average in many areas, perhaps reaching average in drier interludes. August off to a flier again in the UK....
    9 points
  21. Caught the lightning striking my next door neighbours scaffolding around 50 feet away from where I was watching the storm, I knew it was close as the flash and crack were instantaneous, my previous close call was a tad further away around half a mile, I think this is as close as I want to get! I was safely *Gulp* indoors! ️️ Closest strike I've had in around 35 years of photographing lightning! Gravesend, Kent.
    9 points
  22. This was Braintree earlier not too much local T&L but the rain was the worse we have had in 13 years...it just did not let up for 15 mins or so...apologies if the photos are a bit rubbish!
    9 points
  23. The ECM 0z operational usually has a great day 10...but not today...an early taste of autumn on the way?..of course, day 10 never verifies..does it.. ? !! ...anyway, a gradual change to cooler and more unsettled is coming.
    8 points
  24. Picked up an intense storm between Stamford and Corby early evening time. Lots of thunder, occasional visible lightning, the odd big CG with explosive thunder that nearly gave me heart attack and crazy rain, winds and hail. Not as big hail as the storms in Essex but still a good marble sized.
    8 points
  25. Best storm in a long time in St Evenage… IMG_5827.MOV IMG_5824.MOV
    8 points
  26. Based on @staplehurst's success rate so far this year, I've concluded that he is not an exceptionally skilled weather forecaster, but in fact a psychic who can see into the future. I for one welcome our new psychic convective overlord.
    7 points
  27. Hmm interesting. Thunder currently at a rate of every 20 seconds or so from this building to our north west. Could be a pretty active next hour or so.
    7 points
  28. Have taken many photos here from the Surrey-Hants border last few days but not had a chance to upload some explosive convection and distant anvils yet..... Will keep things relevant to the present and attach a few shots taken literally just now from Farnham Surrey area looking South. Some good convection taking place and hefty towers going up but not 100% the conditions exist to take them above and beyond if you know what I mean! Though I wouldn’t be surprised if something goes pop pretty soon over the S Downs direction.....
    7 points
  29. The southeast has always been more prone to thunderstorms than the northwest, it is just the way the weather works, it is warmer there and they are closer to the Continent. Places in the east also do well. If anything, over recent years, I have seen a tendency for the southeast to receive less storms than they used to do whereas the Midlands and the North have seen a little more, although there are areas that get more than others, for example Lincolnshire gets more than Cheshire. I am unsure how old you are or if you can drive but waiting around for a storm to hit your house could be a very long wait. There was not a single storm over my house between July 4th 2015 and July 24th 2019, that's just over 4 years! If you do have to sit and wait then maybe consider a move to somewhere like Sleaford.
    7 points
  30. Taken from Grantham, the two decaying storms, over Manchester and North of Leeds. Impressive.
    6 points
  31. Evening everyone There is a monster of a storm cloud that I can see over towards the Liverpool - Warrington area! 🌩 This is my view of it.
    6 points
  32. Gotta say I always hope for a school holiday washout. Hate kids and yobbos, hopefully a wet, cool August will keep the blighters off the streets.
    6 points
  33. For sure, the Gfs 6z operational shows an increasingly poor outlook for summer fans, especially week 2 which looks positively autumnal with lots of green snot around, not wanting to get too technical! ...at least next week the temperatures nudge into the low 20’s c, especially further s / se although there is some rain and thundery showers around, especially across southern u k...and that’s all from me..for now! 🌧 ⛈
    6 points
  34. Yes some areas may see some large totals of rainfall while others get a mere sprinkling! That's nearly always the way it works. Personally I think those totals are a little over the top! And I can't see why many people would sit up and take to much notice...just like many fail to take notice of there extended outlooks when they are talking about conditions improving. I think the South may bare the brunt of this...but its a far cry from the situation that hit parts of Europe last week.
    6 points
  35. Not very exciting around month's end, is it? But, for those of us who follow the musings of Those Who Cannot Be Named, it's hardly all that surprising:
    6 points
  36. Another cracking day here with the temp peaking around 22C in a light Easterly breeze which suits me fine. The breeze did increase for a while in the early evening and brought in the dreaded haar. Hopefully wont take to long to clear in the morning. Better weather in the Hebrides today according to my daughter who is on the last day of her tour around the Hebrides. Was on Skye today enjoying a walk up to the faerie pools where they had a swim and then out to a quiet beach involving a bit of a walk. Even up there there are morons though as this pile if rubbish dumped on the way to the beach shows. Looks like damaged nets and creels dumped by fishermen and then added to by visitors who couldn't be ersed taking their rubbish away with them.
    6 points
  37. One of the best storms I've ever had in the UK, including a very close CG that resulted in instant shotgun thunder. 3 nights in Cheddington has beaten the previous 7 years in Aylesbury.
    6 points
  38. Short clip of us driving through the hail near Corby. We chased this cluster of storms for an hour and a half, huge amounts of rain, gusts, lightning and thunder. received_1000979277108669_1.mp4
    6 points
  39. Decent little storm finally. Seems I've captured an electrical stag!
    6 points
  40. This storm can’t make its mind up which way to go and after looking like it was going to hit lower down the Rossendale Valley it’s now looking like it’s heading up towards Bacup. edit, can hear rain drops on the conservatory roof……the drought is over
    5 points
  41. Sat in the garden looking WNW it seems to be filling in this little gap. Still rumbling away.
    5 points
  42. Yeah saw your post, then sat outside for a listen. Pretty much none stop.
    5 points
  43. All the talk on the model thread regarding a breakdown of the heatwave when here on Isle of Lewis,there’s been little if any sunshine for days.Intermittent drizzle has just tempered the fire risk on the moors which has been high for a few weeks also.Currently 12c,cloudy and if there’s no sunshine soon the heat exchange between indoors and outdoors will result in the need for central heating to be put on.
    5 points
  44. . Starting to compare this summer with 1976 when you can make hay in four days and then leave it out with no fear of rain.Been very dry here since late May when temperatures really went up. June was a fabulous month when all crops really caught up after a very cold dry April and wet cold May. July has been a great month for making hay a job that was completed today and last field made into round bales.
    5 points
  45. 5 points
  46. This is the western edge of the new Kent storms - they are back building and back building while I’m sat under the anvil.
    5 points
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