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Showing content with the highest reputation on 15/04/21 in all areas

  1. It's quite common in maritime climates such as the UK, where the air is often not dry enough higher up in the atmosphere to prevent cloud development from solar heating, hence why the cloud bubbles up through the morning from a clear start. The joys of being surrounded by the ocean! The surface high pressure caps the clouds from becoming tall cumulonimbus clouds, so you tend to see the sky full of fluffy cumulus clouds that don't usually produce rain. Just annoying infill that can spoil a good day. A good dry continental feed in the summer can eliminate much of this though. We've also had a
    13 points
  2. Wow some of you Summer chasing guys need to find a little of what us cold lovers find in Winter...PATIENCE!! Its only mid April for crying out loud! Glorious conditions here last few days...clear skies and feeling warm in the sun..cool and crisp at night and great to sleep in! I'm sure your heat will manifest itself in the coming weeks at some stage...it always does! In the mid term still some lovely looking charts that us coldies would be drooling over come December! Have patience Summer camp,you will get your rewards at some point,but don't forget it's still to early,and a positive start doe
    12 points
  3. Even some snaw Ed..now we’re talking! 😉 ❄️ ⛄️ come back coldies!!!... 😯 🥶 titttttter ye not 😹
    11 points
  4. Well, wouldn't this be just typical!😁
    11 points
  5. Looking at the ECM 0z operational we may actually feel warmth at some point next week, well, warm uppers (850’s) at least as we develop a SE’ly continental air flow?...looking at the 0z runs generally..it’s a predominantly settled / anticyclonic ☀️ outlook but with some occasional very short-lived unsettled 🌧 🌈 interludes..as the Gfs 0z op shows. ☀️ ⛅️ 😊
    11 points
  6. Fair play to you guys above - only in Scotland with temperatures currently of 12/13C. 😄 (14/15C expected through the afternoon for some) Just went for a run in a light (running) jacket and I was still quite chilly - did see a few folk sunbathing on the beach. 😆 It has been cold for months of course so all the best to them - well deserved! Enjoying my last few days of working from home! Back in a stuffy office from Monday. Nice to see the weather will be rubbish - perfect timing. 😀 I like my mid/late Spring temperatures in the mid to high teens (even higher woul
    10 points
  7. 9 points
  8. Just a reminder, if one were needed?..that winter could bite back in late April, on the cusp of May according to the GEFS 12z perturbation 4...and it it certainly did in late April 1981 when parts of the u k had over a foot deep of level snow with deep drifts...just saying!..we ain’t out of the woods yet! 😉 🥶 ❄️ ⛄️
    9 points
  9. This morning's GEFS temperature ensembles are still a bit naff:🤔
    8 points
  10. Hi gang ,thought I'd pop in for a chat ,charts still looking cool ,especially early mornings .It was great to sit in the garden today in lovely sunshine ,not one contrail in sight, looking at todays charts theres not much rain to be had ,but still a possibility nxt week for isolated hvy showers .Iv cut down on my Sausage Baps ,trying to lose weight ,but hey gang todays baps are extra special ,wild boar sausage, with branston on one daddies on the other ,cheers STELLA'S all round .
    7 points
  11. Nice to see you have your positive head on again mate..perhaps better suited to the moans thread though! It's far to early to even be thinking about how poor things might become! This is becoming deja vu....You heat lovers are throwing in the towel before the season as even began...a bit like some of the coldies do in December!! Things are moving in the right direction if you ask me...and a successful Vaccine program trumps everything!! Plenty to look forward to if you ask me.
    7 points
  12. I hope my fellow coldies won’t mind me posting these charts from the GEFS 12z which show a warm up towards the end of April...just to show how unbiased I am...don’t laugh! 😹 😂 😉 🌞 🥵 ...ps..welcome back Matt 😊
    7 points
  13. Today it's officially 'taps aff' weather whilst working in the garden (well down to a T-shirt anyway).
    7 points
  14. Is the tail-end of the 06Z signalling the long-hoped-for demise of the cold air, or what? Or nothing? I do prefer green snot to blue snot!😁
    7 points
  15. Yes nice to see a bit of warmth back on the table from the ecm0z Jon. Not so much the gfs, however with the increasing strength of the sun and the continent hopefully warming up especially to the south it is only a matter of time for warmer temps to start showing(barring any further unwanted incursions from the north!) A bit of rain is also welcome for the dry areas in the south and east. Patience needed i think.....
    7 points
  16. ECM 12z - life as an Atlantic low pressure system in the hard times of meridional flow..... Day 3 : low, eastern seaboard, 1000mb, - hey yeah, I’ve made it to the coast! Day 5 - this is easy man, past Newfoundland, 992mb, I’ll catch the jet for sure! Day 7 - this is the life, mid-Atlantic and deepening, 976mb! Day 8 - you know what, I fancy hangin’ out for a bit just off Greenland, 984mb Day 9 - nowhere to go so just filling in time, 1000mb Day 10 - Oh dear....hey, I’ll fall in with this new low, I’ve made it
    7 points
  17. You keep going on about severe storms but there is no evidence for it in the model output. To get good thunderstorms at this time of the year you need really cold air aloft and a cyclonic flow or a plume event. The current charts show neither.
    6 points
  18. Hard to have much patience when it’s consistently 5c colder than it should be every day, and even more so when it was cold enough for snow. Thankfully it looks like a recovery of sorts into next week and we won’t have to freeze our asses off in the cold. People aren’t demanding a heatwave, just something a bit more springlike. Mid teens is alright, single figures or 10c in April is just poor.
    6 points
  19. Well the ECM brings in quite cold air from the east , for April anyway 😱😱
    6 points
  20. I went looking 👀 to see if the cold end to the Gfs 12z operational had any support from the ensembles purely out of curiosity...and I found this one!..to be fair it’s in the minority, there are some relatively much warmer members in that timeframe just before May...but the coldie in me...you know, well I’m sure the coldies know what I mean! 😉 🥶 ❄️....but I must add that I’m also looking for plumes!.... 🥵 ⛈ ☀️ yes I’m conflicted!!...🙃
    6 points
  21. Hard frost overnight with a low of-3.9c, the recent run of frosts have not done any favours in the garden with lots of blackened new growth. Clear blue skies and currently 10.1c. The big change today is the unwelcome arrival from mid-morning of a stiff and gusty SE wind. This making things feel a lot cooler than yesterday, even though temperature is similar. Come to conclusion we have posh birds round here, changed over to peanuts this week for the feeders as couldn't get any sunflower seeds. Birds arrive, see what's on offer and then immediately fly off! Only takers have been th
    6 points
  22. Stunning picture from these parts yesterday. Back to cloud and further snow today. The never ending winter continues. Current temp in village -4c early afternoon max ! C
    6 points
  23. T-shirts all round then. Cracking day here also with only a couple of big, white cumulous puff-balls to set off the otherwise bright blue sky. Hoorah! Temperature currently maximum for the day so far at 13.1deg.C up from a minimum of 0.1deg.C at 03:23, relative humidity is 57%, wind is 0 to 2mph south-southwesterly, pressure is 1036.0hPa falling slowly, there's been no rain in the last 24 hours and cloud cover is 1/8.
    6 points
  24. A quick look at the Larkhill sounding for 0900 yesterday for one reason. The surface pressure is 1017mb but the lower levels are potentialy unstable and any trigger, say some surface heating, could see cloud tops up to 12,000 fet or there abouts with the odd shower
    6 points
  25. This is why I try and stay away from posting about the later stages of OP runs - back to Winter on tonight’s ECM! 😆 23/04 24/04 25/04: Will that be correct though? Probably not! Met Office outlook does not agree - mentions likely turning warmer! The plot thickens. Bishopton was the warmest place in the UK today...that shows you just how poor the weather/temperatures are elsewhere at the moment! 😄 15.1C Another air frost for @shuggee tonight.
    5 points
  26. 06Z temperature ensembles are a right barrel of laughs!😁
    5 points
  27. Sixty first air frost -1.4C. Sunny and 13.7C now mid afternoon. Lovely and not a breath of wind.
    5 points
  28. All we can safely say at the moment is that it looks like staying very dry for much of the rest of April. Doesn't appear that any heatwaves are likely with the high orientated in the wrong position, but just a slight change so we can cut off the cooler flow and see some mid to high teens days would be nice. I'm a bit sick of seeing 9-12c days now. Thankfully next week is looking a bit warmer!
    5 points
  29. ECM mean and spread T240: Almost as nailed as it can be...the only way it could have been nailed better is a 1030 contour on the mean. But we’ve got settled weather from now to at least the next 10 days, very little uncertainty for UK on the spread. I doubt the clusters will show any different. Dry, and a gradual warm up, that is the order of the days to come. 🍺
    5 points
  30. Lovely day, max of 11c but the light winds and strong sun made it feel very pleasant indeed. Bit more in the way of cloud over in Deeside, plenty people out taking advantage of the weather.
    5 points
  31. oh so close ish...warmer air within....jumping distance to the south.... seems to be a warm air shield around the uk at present..🥶
    4 points
  32. Yes - Heathrow/Kew Gardens definitely benefits from the urban heat island effect compared to the UK overall. Going back to the Manchester rainfall discussion...15th wettest city in the UK. Always thought it would be higher! Cardiff at number one. Information below was taken from Met Office rainfall figures between 1981 - 2015. I can also see why some folk are complaining about sunshine duration over the last six months or so. October: November: December: January: February:
    4 points
  33. These GFS charts (next Wednesday) may shed some light on your question: pressure is high right enough, but it's dragging the air in from the worst possible direction:🥶 And then we're left under a coolish ridge -- none too warm and great if you like infill?😁
    4 points
  34. None of the seasonals are promoting a scenario where we have a prolonged spell of HP to our E- (late spring to early summer are showing as returning a HP anomaly that stretches from the UK into the Atlantic). This would suggest settled and benign conditions will be the order of the day as we move forward over the next few weeks and into May.
    4 points
  35. Spent most of the day outside doing jobs in the garden and almost got down to a T-Shirt whilst painting my greenhouse. Didn't quite get there though, maybe if I'd been doing something more strenuous.
    4 points
  36. Evening gang,not been on here for a while cos there hasn't been much to discuss and we are sort of in a col or non descript time of the year when nothing much happens,...hay ho!!! unfortunately we are going to be on the wrong side of the hp cell as it positions unfavorably to our N/NW looking at the latest anomaly charts so a chilly N>NE/E flow looks the form horse... the EPS and cpc for day ten shows this hang in there you hot lovers,...it won't be long,...at least it is looking quite dry for the forseable,that reminds me,...i must water the garden tomorrow😳
    3 points
  37. He is a glass (half) empty chap isn’t he?
    3 points
  38. No, not coming back until November at the earliest, I posted my Monday snow photos in the regionals... I'm done 😉
    3 points
  39. Up to 14 c in late afternoon with blue skies and its still 10c so a frost does not look likely tonight.Spring barley coming up in nice rows in the evening sun. Great to feel a soft wind on your face as you open the door. I see Kinloss is still 12.8c so a southerly breeze descending off the Cairngorms may be the reason.
    3 points
  40. Similar weather here and also same as last few days. Temps just creeping up a notch day and night so missed an air frost with a min of 0.9C and max of 12.4C. Fine for t shirt and shorts when working in the garden and walking in the sun but needed a light jacket when out on the bike. Been a bit if work done in the fields since I last did that particular walk in the snow.
    3 points
  41. Hmm, I wonder if that explains this strange cloud formation that passed over us (heading north to south) at teatime. Looks awfully like a dissipating plane contrail.... Lovely clear evening so another frost is guaranteed. More the point though, summer has arrived as the first sighting of a solitary house martin this evening, a full two weeks earlier than last year. Mind you, feel sorry for it as there's hardly any insect activity so not much food available - doubt it wants the cursed bag of peanuts that we've got 😉
    3 points
  42. Evening all, Wonderful blue skies. No taps aff here though, max was just 9c in an onshore wind. Overnight low this morning was +1.8c in Pittenweem although down to -2c at Leuchars.
    3 points
  43. -2.7'c this morning and a high of 12.2'c this afternoon showing the diurnal temperature range in full effect, thankfully the skies haven't completely clouded-over today which meant getting a good view of AF1 TITAN25 (73-1677) over Stoke-on-Trent as it was heading back stateside.
    3 points
  44. What a beautiful day wall to wall sunshine and feeling pleasant in the sun winter is a distant memory now hopefully a decent summer on the cards. C.S
    3 points
  45. Not much sign of a thaw as we move into spring
    3 points
  46. Lovely last night, the crescent moon was visible the previous night as well in the fading twilight
    3 points
  47. Introduction My intention is to produce a series of articles (depending on interest) which introduces ideas about volcanic and earthquake activity. I want to go slightly off the beaten track to explore oddities, volcano hazards, analysis methods, Wonders and Mankind’s impacts. Keep in mind I am not expert (corrections gratefully received), but hopefully these will at least give a flavour of some different places in the world and provide a few minutes escape from people’s troubles. Introducing Volcano Mount Baker Reason for Interest Thought to be the second most active
    3 points
  48. We're running at 4.7C (-3.4C) to the 14th. Its going to be the coldest first half of April here since 1986. That had a mean of 4.3C for the first half.
    3 points
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