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Showing content with the highest reputation on 25/12/20 in all areas

  1. Uber rare synoptics for the UK - Normally wind & rain approaching from the west however * Start of Jan * Very low heights * Slack continental flow * Cold uppers * Poss snow cover = Ice days... A great example of where you dont need -12c uppers !!! ( control 204 )
    52 points
  2. Go back to your family and come back here later. Otherwise one day they may not be there to go back to. Experience tells me that. The output will still look good tomorrow!
    44 points
  3. Merry Christmas everyone it's snowing here quite heavy Officially a white Christmas here in North Yorkshire Let the next 10 days bring lots more 00z soon.
    40 points
  4. I don’t think Frosty’s response was overly hard - probably best to support your conclusions with some evidence. The “flatter” shape of things you refer to is best seen here at 240 but for several reasons this isn’t the trigger to a flat pattern. Notice the trough underpinning that “flatter” shaped high. Notice too the wedge of heights between the 2 deepest parts of the vortex Greenland/Canada. Perhaps most importantly of all note the -AO signature with the pole controlled by a ridge, and the reality of a very strong pacific jet streak coming through at this point as forecast in a numbe
    39 points
  5. Happy Christmas everyone - the next 6 weeks are going to be a party..... (in weather terms at least!)
    39 points
  6. Early look at the extended EPS mean suggests the low heights anomaly that was featuring to our south west has moved significantly east to sit to the south of us. This suggests the number of aggressive west based negative NAO solutions have reduced compared to yesterday evening. Overall the extended EPS are superb - possibly the best of the winter.
    34 points
  7. Happy crimbo ☃️☃️☃️🎄🎄🎄 Mondays snow from the ECM....
    34 points
  8. ECM mean day 10 very good with the surface Easterly & very very cold.
    31 points
  9. Merry Christmas one and all from a snowy Latvia. Here in the east we had a further 3 or 4 inches overnight. Made it here 3 days before the UK and Baltic states placed travel bans, will worry about the return trip on 3rd when it comes to it! I must say that the GEM has been the most consistent and accurate in terms of precipitation charts. GFS and others were hit and miss showing more rain than snow but all that has fallen is snow. GEM was first to change 5 days ago to increased chance of snow here yesterday and today and has added light snow to fall for the next couple of days with b
    28 points
  10. Thanks both for the comments. I'm mostly a snow event geek however I also take time to view model output and trends and compared to some others on here I have a lot to learn too. It can take a while for newbies to grasp this concept. It is key though to properly interpret the data and avoid sudden reactions. The overall trend is strongly swayed towards a highly amplified pattern with an Arctic blast signwave (repitition). There will be deviations because ultimately all layers of meteorology takes on situational uncertainty. E.g. in radar watching, showers can change direction, crop up where un
    25 points
  11. Currently snowing in Manchester!!! Totally unexpected, last night was showing none of it. First white Christmas in idk how long. 😄 20201225_140641.mp4
    25 points
  12. Hi gang ,a big happy Christmas to you all ,ill post later after I've Stuffed the Bird , Fantastic outputs today ,a week of surprises im sure Stella's on me .
    25 points
  13. ECM mean and spread at T240, looks fine to me: May I wish everyone who posts here or reads this thread a merry Christmas and best wishes for a happier (and snowier) 2021 ❄️
    25 points
  14. Happy Christmas to everyone No chat just charts to add to the mix ECMWF/GFS DAY 8-10 MEAN 500MB HEIGHT COMPARISON WWW.METEO.PSU.EDU ECMWF/GFS DAY 8-10 MEAN 500MB HEIGHT COMPARISON WWW.METEO.PSU.EDU In brief=looks like more of the same for 6-14 days from now!
    25 points
  15. FIRST POST OF CHRISTMAS DAY 2020 YESSSSSSSS On a real note, hope you all have a fab Christmas. 🙂
    25 points
  16. yes - the major pacific jet burst that will ensure guaranteed amplification through early January. Well forecast and flagged already. To all worrying about GEFS reduction of northerly heights I’d be very certain that any gentle modification that might come to the meridional pattern will be short lived. Look for a significant reload as we move through week 1 of January. By that stage the bigger issue will be whether deeper cold can gather in the right place to properly reinforce the marginal cold that is setting up shop prior to New Year. All good. Happy Christmas!
    24 points
  17. While we are quiet.. and father xmas is buisey.. just have to post this mornings horizon moon 🌒.. absolutely epic.. and trust me the camera does it a massive in justice 🌒. Quite something to view on this crisp Christmas morning 🙏. Merry Christmas 🙏👌. See where we go today through the beer 🍺 [email protected] wishes 1..and -all 🙏
    24 points
  18. It’s rubbish for so many people fella. Just had a video call with our daughter who’s a nurse.....on and off Covid wards in Scotland (no snow today) and we haven’t seen her face to face for nearly a year. Hang in there, things are going to get better. The Oxford vaccine is competing with the snow to see which arrives first.......she had her Pfizer first jab this week. As a lurker and novice, just a quick and genuine note of thanks to everyone posting on here - fantastically educational and informative. So much to learn but this is the best place. Happy Christmas 🎄
    23 points
  19. Can I just say,I think I've spent more time with you guys then I have my own family today.. much to there despair...at one point me other half threatened to take me phone off me...sorry love...im studying the models....tell you what,I got a clout around the head for that one.. 😅 Basically I'm happy with today's output,and that mean from ECM is splendid out to day 10...and guess what?? The extended out to day 14 stays cold....whens the last time at this point of the year someone could say that!! Anyway I have promised them a little more of me time before Xmas day ends....roll on New year
    23 points
  20. We got a lovely Xmas gift from Mother Nature when we opened the curtains this morning.... I hope Santa was kind to everyone. I hope you all have a great day, don't get too stuffed, or too tipsy.
    22 points
  21. Merry Christmas to one & all, stay safe and have a brilliant day. From Day 10.
    22 points
  22. Merry Xmas all, have a good one! Later next week trending colder and well less marginal and snowier you could say, excitement is ramping up, so much for a chilly spell? 🤭 The coldest spell of winter weather since 2018 is looking quite likely. Not quite frigid but cold enough for most days to feature wintriness.
    21 points
  23. Evening all😏 not been on all day(boy that was hard lol)as i spent time with the family as i promised them and it does do you good to get away for a time,remember that saying,...absence make the heart grow fonder,...glad to be back though☺️ it took a while to read through here this evening and i see that the downgrade brigade is out in force as soon as they smell a whiff in the horizon but personally i don't see that at all looking at the latest charts and anomalies i see no relaxation from a meridian flow on these... cpc 6-10/8-14 day 500mb outlook Climat
    20 points
  24. Go check out the Met update.. big upgrade for me...if they keep pushing that mild back any further,it will be into April..Thats a good Xmas present for me...the Turkey can get stuffed now..Really positive output today,and the trends look good...A major SSW is looking increasingly likely as we enter January...now if this comes off and falls correctly,it will be coming a month earlier than the FEB 2018 one. That really does put us in a great place. Enjoy the rest of your days..
    20 points
  25. Ok..I may be a god damn drunk but I know a cold GEFS 6z mean when I see one!..and god damn, it looks cold in early Janvier!..did I mention..I love the french ❤️ .,that’s why I say JANVIER!😜 charts upside down, oops.so veery sowwy
    20 points
  26. STUNNING outputs this morning... I'm so happy possibly every post I make today would be ramptastic ... So I will sit back and enjoy the input of others today... EC is just beautiful ...
    20 points
  27. Only six weeks lol,merry Christmas mate and thanks for all your analysis and to everyone else may the force,weather be with us,interesting times ahead for sure☺️
    20 points
  28. GFS now tracking that low further north & more defined - clips the SE now as snow...
    19 points
  29. In respect of the greeny heights at day 10, a look at the clusters is revealing. There is a 25% option which has lower heights squeezing the upper ridge south at day 11. The 70% option is wow .......the op is in the 20% cluster at day 10.
    19 points
  30. I’ve looked at the NH view on several models going out to 240h and no way is the PV starting to set up shop, so are you able to provide a chart showing this?
    19 points
  31. 😜Merry Christmas Gang..more stellar 0z output, I think the words snow fest could be used in the next few weeks!...I’m not even going to mention lack of balloon data..oops I just did...but honestly, I have a very good feeling about our chances of wintry hazards, unlike recent pathetic winters!!...have a great day, enjoy your 🦃 and 🍾
    19 points
  32. Reading in the background as with family but signed in to reply to your post. Sorry to hear that Mike, don't feel alone mate. I'm sure many will agree your contribution in here is very much appreciated just as much as many others. Merry Christmas & keep up the good work mate.
    18 points
  33. Mate, what the hell have you just drawn there? 😳😳
    18 points
  34. Merry Christmas everyone. ECM gift is 20cm on the ground for some this time next week!
    18 points
  35. Merry Christmas everyone. I don't post in here much but it seems customary to at Christmas. It's been great reading over the last few weeks and let's hope it continues over the coming weeks.
    18 points
  36. Merry Christmas one and all. Here’s to a snowy season for all.
    18 points
  37. A couple of good updates from the 18z The 30 panel PPN for T60 shows a lot more snow than the 12z > Concentrated 'somewhere in the south' Also the T144 Mean is significantly better than the 12z in terms of Greenland heights... S
    17 points
  38. My thoughts are with you at this difficult time.🤣🤣
    17 points
  39. It’s not even the weather! It’s what the weather could be, or maybe not. One day to forgive your hobby to spend time with your family when many cannot should be cherished. Enjoy it, and then come back to the output tomorrow. Believe you me, it will probably be even better than today. So much potential on show.
    17 points
  40. Can defo relate to that first paragraph!!my wife thinks theres something wrong with me cos im on here constantly especially just before and during a cold snowy spell!!🤣🤣!!we in the same boat mate dont worry bout it i gotcha back👊!!!im like a big kid when it comes to snow!!i could be 80 and still play in the snow like im 5 years of age!!!
    17 points
  41. Evening all, hope you’ve had a great day. I’ve heard the police can force relatives to leave at 1 minute passed midnight. Does anyone know if this is a free service and do you have to book?🤣🤣🤣 Had a quick catch up and everything looks good. Details as ever are yet to be established but it’s cold for the foreseeable. 😄😄 Clusters, surface Easterly and met office extended look the highlights to me and a recorded white Christmas in a number of places.😄
    17 points
  42. Models looking amazing again... i got beer for Christmas so thats me off to get hammered... happy Christmas to all you crazy weather fools...snaw for all...❄❄❄❄❄☃️☃️☃️☃️🍻🍻🍻
    17 points
  43. Merry Christmas everyone, I hope you all got a snow machine in your stockings Not that you will need one for the foreseeable
    17 points
  44. A very happy Xmas to all fellow forum members.
    17 points
  45. First time post but a long time lurker. Wishing you all a very Happy Christmas, and let’s hope we all get the weather we hope for this winter. Stay safe, be kind. ♥️
    17 points
  46. Ok, listen, a 2010 redux I would love you long time 💋 ❤️ ..but..the extended ECM 0z ensemble mean..I will still love you long time 💋 ❤️...high pressure well too the west ..BINGO..!!😜..charts may be messed up..so what, I’ve been drinking..,it’s crimbo day & I love alcohol..go figure!
    16 points
  47. Come on Karl spread the Love...Where are all our Xmas likes....we've worked hard for em 🤣 Quick look at the early 6z ens shows plenty of cold options still on the table.. This is far from a normal set up...Even those earlier Exeter updates from the other week of milder and more unsettled early January,have been put right back now..i get the impression most of next month will be plagued by wintry objects... Have a great one all,and go easy on the sherry...we need some sound minds for the 12z runs...not Oliver Reed expressions..😉
    16 points
  48. I normally frequent the storms threads in spring and summer but am a lurker in here. I wanted to pop in and wish everyone on Netweather a very merry Christmas and a happy, snowy New Year. This really is a great forum and a place where weather enthusiasts like myself can pull together and enjoy a shared hobby. The future is looking cold and snowy. It's been a long time since I saw charts the likes we are currently seeing, especially for mid winter. Living close to the Peak District I am hopeful of seeing snow next week, even if I have to make a short drive to see it. Enjoy Christmas
    16 points
  49. Merry Frosty Christmas, Everyone. Hope everyone sees some Snow in the coming days, and hopefully weeks ahead. We all deserve it considering we come back here winter after winter to be greeted with crud looking charts for weeks and weeks lol Looks even colder after next week!
    16 points
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