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Showing content with the highest reputation on 13/04/20 in all areas

  1. Same here. Currently 3c You should get out in the garden too. Very difficult not to dwell on the main issue.Speaking to a young auctioneer this morning who was keen for this to end .Had to say to him that I thought we were in for the long haul unless a vaccine could be found.BSE in cattle had an economic effect for 11 years from 1996. Good news is breeding heifers will go this week.sellers can"t go.(miss a half day out at mart) only buyers spaced out round the ring or bidding by phone with live video. One mart already geared up to bid online in real time with video.
    9 points
  2. Cold grey morning here. Ms HC keeps busy in the garden while I meditate on the fragility of civilization. Or something like that. Music please.
    9 points
  3. The ECM has certainly moved towards the GFS for the coming weekend with a slightly less strong ridge to our east, and consequently it has dropped the very high temperatures though still above average with a SE draw - still likely to be in excess of 20C in the southern half at times. The UKMO still looks very warm for next Saturday / Sunday though - much better size and positioning of the ridge - would still see low-mid 20s as a possibility :
    9 points
  4. Today's GFS 06Z suggests this week might be a tad 'less dire' than some of yesterday's runs did...Maybe it's got fed-up of being a cold outlier!?
    8 points
  5. Yes. I spent 2 hours cutting up kindling for next winter. And the sun has appeared now too. The sad thing is the wankers would probably get voted back in with an increased majority if the was an election now. I guess at least there's not as many flannel-arsed naebodies in Scotland. God save me from the invective that would attract in the CV thread - seems to be discussions between conspiracy-theorists, tory apologists and people with no sympathy for the victims. Mostly. Present company excepted.
    7 points
  6. And with the GFS in broad agreement, HP ending-up somewhere to our north, I eagerly await the outcome of May-time's accelerating continental warming...?
    7 points
  7. Extraordinary scenes down at the point this afternoon, where everyone goes to watch dolphins and is normally heaving in recent years at Easter. (Come in vain at Easter, dolphins don't appear just yet.) I cycled down there and found absolutely no-one. You could say surreal. Then the collie sea monster appeared again, so I had a wee chat with the owner. Then away again. The sky was blue (still is) and little wind. Very few cars around. Most of the time, the loudest sound now is bird song as breeding season is ramping up. These were today - this one this morning, before the sun came out
    6 points
  8. Here is some footage of the thunderstorms yesterday night.
    6 points
  9. Absolutely disgusting behaviour from Some of the So Called Chasers out there yesterday including Derek Smith who has form for being a complete reckless Yahoo over the past few years to the point of only having 1 point left on his license. These people are NOT Saving Lives in any way. And for information purposes on the videos of crossing the Median driving over live power poles, around fallen trees into oncoming traffic this was not to escape another large tornado it was to catch upto the Wedge that had just crossed the Highway in front of them, the 2nd storm at the time was well to their Nort
    6 points
  10. ECM clusters this morning broadly support the migration of heights to the north-west, but also suggest the op run is being rather fast in doing this. At T168 and T192, you can see the op cluster is the most progressive in removing heights from the UK - less progressive clusters, which look more like this morning's UKMO, hold a slight majority. By T240, even though heights are clearly NW at this point, it isn't clear how the interaction with a trough to the south will play out - scope for an easterly to pick up (probably not a northerly due to the absence of a strong Scandi trough),
    6 points
  11. Looking at the 500 mb charts for an idea on what our weather may be in the 6-10 day time frame. Monday 13 April Ec-gfs and both have closed upper ridge with ec further n than gfs idea, and still, on gfs anyway, the idea of a closed upper low circulation s of this ridge Noaa quite a change from the one above; the main trough is not that much different, in position or shape, but it is the large contour ridge couple with +ve heights in the uk area that really show up; still some sign on the 8-14. So the 3 are fairly similar especially with regard to the presence of ridging in
    6 points
  12. After a chilly start to the day, things improved after the sun appeared mid-afternoon. Warm enough for sit-out with a coffee. (10C) Our future Damson jam; Maybe a serious 'ethics' thread over in the other place would be interesting, or maybe not.
    5 points
  13. Looking at the GEFS 6z mean, the longer term trend continues to indicate high pressure being sucked towards Greenland with potential for a chilly less settled late April, perhaps with some arctic influence but by the cusp of May, any wintry weather would be very watered down / toothless and there’s no guarantee it would work out that way, there are a few warmer options but the main theme is of a blocked slow moving pattern with some pleasant benign surface conditions for most of the time.
    5 points
  14. At T+240, and things still not looking three bad. Okay, so nothing like the heat the ECM was predicting, only a few days' back, but not those raging, frigid NE'erlies either.
    5 points
  15. Grey but light, 3C here. Very calm.
    5 points
  16. The North Atlantic 500mb and surface analysis for midnight Any storms will have cleared by daybreak but cloud and some patchy rain associated with the front trailed across the country will linger a while this morning. Otherwise a mainly sunny and dry day as the ridge slips over the country but decidedly chilly with more cloud along eastern regions courtesy of the onshore breeze Still cloud around in eastern and southern regions otherwise a clear night with a widespread frost A sunny day on Tuesday and getting warmer, particularly in some NE regions B
    5 points
  17. Hope you are all well/healthy. Weather has been glorious most of this month! 10C here today and feeling very pleasant in the sunshine. (Rest of the week looks great here - plenty of sunshine and temps between 11C and 15C during daytime with chilly nights) Out for my late afternoon/evening walk/run - had the beach to myself and arrived home at sunset. All the best to you all and have a good week!
    4 points
  18. I doubt it. The internet is just a vent for people's pet peeves; ethics and politics are perhaps best kept to chats with people you really know. We have just the first 3 or 4 plum flowers (Victoria) opening late afternoon. Please no sleet now please.
    4 points
  19. A very decent ECM 12z operational with plenty of high pressure which becomes even stronger towards the end as it’s reinforced from the Azores, following all the low pressure of recent months, it’s nice to see high pressure predominantly in the ascendancy bringing largely pleasant weather!?☀️
    4 points
  20. I suspect you where talking about this morning's run? the 12z is a vast improvement,i just hope it's not a warm outlier just like the gfs op/control gefs ens and the gefs mean at 240 That's an impressive mean for day ten and we would be drooling at a mean like that in winter.
    4 points
  21. Chatanooga (Tennessee) Tornado which claimed 10 lives has been rated as EF3
    4 points
  22. Peak temp was 6C here today. A good day for being between nightshifts and sleeping.
    4 points
  23. The spring blossom at the moment is really pretty!
    4 points
  24. This was yesterdays temperature drop here as the colder air moved in currently sunny and 7.8 C / DP -1.2 C
    4 points
  25. Lovely morning, calm with broken sun so bordering on warm. Awful afternoon, windy, drizzly, downright chilly. Chilly enough for me to light the woodburner in the lounge for a couple of hours early evening.
    4 points
  26. I think what Knocker was referring to is that we shouldn't take that time frame as gospel as we know how quick models can and do change from now until that said date but you also have a point as to what the ens show(bearing in mind the 12z not out yet) and there doesn't look to be a warm up anytime soon and looks to become more unsettled after days 3/4 also the anomaly's show a cool picture out to day ten and beyond with height's centered to the N/NW of the UK cpc 6-10 and 8-14 day 500mb height anomaly's lastly,if we where to look where the source of the wind directi
    3 points
  27. I appreciate the input Paul ? the Soso one will be interesting I think that is where they are thinking possible winds 200mph + Just seen this from the cookeville tornado last month
    3 points
  28. Only 8c but pleasant in the sun, chilly away from the sun. Beautiful blue sky. Cracking afternoon after a dull and chilly morning.
    3 points
  29. Not great here, wee bit of brightness but no real sun and not warm at all.
    3 points
  30. Started slow but turned into another crackerjack of a afternoon (maybe just a tad chilly in the slight breeze) but lovely jubbly again
    3 points
  31. Got down to 2.4°C in early hours. Currently 7.7°C. Cloudy but less breezy than dusk yesterday.
    3 points
  32. Afternoon all ? ECM swung dramatically toward GFS overnight and this morning's GEM plays a very similar tune. While we might get a true E'ly, there are two other thoughts which are cropping up in the Ensembles across the board: 1) IF the northern blocking is too far north the south gets closer to the European trough and we'll import rain or showers from the Continent leaving the fine weather for the far north. The response to strengthening heights to the north is a broad but shallow trough from the Atlantic through Europe. IF the heights across Scandinavia are robust enough the
    3 points
  33. According to the gfs over the weekend the high cell to the north drifts east to Norway and thus enhancing the easterly component of the surface wind which will be quite brisk in the south by Sunday. But mainly dry apart from in the south west on Saturday where the low pressure is still exerting some influence
    3 points
  34. A distant rumble of thunder accompanied by some hail here
    3 points
  35. Great little storm grew and passed over us in Bourne (north of Peterborough). The proper way to end a spell of heat.
    3 points
  36. This evening's ext anomalies are indicating a tpv more or less over the pole with trough extensions eastern Europe N. Canada enclosing a strongly amplifying subtropical high in the Atlantic, the precise position of which is quite critical when it comes to the surface analysis The spv
    3 points
  37. Today's GFS 12Z: T+72: okay T+168: getting iffy: ? T+240--->: dire! Here's hoping that run goes down the toilet!
    3 points
  38. Yh this is going to be up there and on the borderline I think mate Are we going to get the first EF5 since 20th May 2013 - Think if we get through this summer it will be the longest time on record between EF5's
    2 points
  39. Looking at Metcheck’s storm forecast Thursday evening should be a good chance for the south, central areas I think most likely but this could end up a a clipper. Friday and into the weekend there’s a risk further west - but still within the southern realm of the nation. The cause is a projected plume coming up from the continent - first of the year ? Expecting it to change and favour some other area when we get down to the details but Thursday could be a good one for our area, and an evening storm is good as it gets for me ?
    2 points
  40. Hope everyone has had a good Easter, despite the circumstances. The weather here changed quite dramatically today, as the cold front that moved through SE England last night passed through here today. The day started sunny and warm (reached 17°C) but cloud quickly moved in from the N, with a strong and gusty wind. The temperature dropped 9°C in a few hours.
    2 points
  41. Gotta say at this time none of the damage pictures I have seen warrant an EF5. Possibly Low to Moderate EF4 Damage but again most of the houses are NOT anchored down and poor building regs all around. EF5 scours asphalt from the roads and debark trees and sweeps well built brick structures, not seeing any of that so far
    2 points
  42. Apologies but have decided to postpone the "Broadcasting" of the "Virtual" Races until Tonight. I had a problem with my Computer this Morning, which has held me up, and I'm now starting to feel very jaded I really do need my Afternoon nap now, and hopefully will feel more refreshed, Tonight. Hopefully will be "Broadcasting" the Races, from around 8 PM. See you all, later. Regards, Tom.
    2 points
  43. No way ? a whole house got relocated onto a road!
    2 points
  44. So sad we knew this had the potential for this.
    2 points
  45. That happens all the time though. Even in summer it’s often 5-10c warmer in the south east. Can’t have it all eh! I never get any cold or snow here in the winter, so swings and roundabouts!
    2 points
  46. I think the sea ice must have dropped to a low enough level in 2005 to trigger some sort of "tipping point" into a warmer climatic base state. Although not as exceptional as the 2007 minimum, the September 2005 minimum was a new record low at that time, and the sea ice extent for winter 2004/05 also fell to record lows after the turn of the year. It was particularly low in the Barents and Kara seas (corresponding to the Norwegian and Russian Arctic) which had persistent south-westerly winds. I remember that winter for how unusually far north the jet stream often tracked as it headed towards
    2 points
  47. Don’t know how many times I have to keep posting the same post....but here we go again for the 12z: No idea why the op run keeps going so far off course.
    2 points
  48. Grass seed sown into last field of spring barley today in ideal conditions. A bit breezy with lots of sunshine and currently 14c
    2 points
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