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The Gfs 0z operational is advertising a generally benign outlook with plenty of high pressure and spring warmth at times..I like it!

Nice in depth blog by @Jo Farrow on the lack of flight data at the moment and the difficulties that poses for the forecasting models. Well worth a read. Weather forecasting concerns as number of aircraft observations plummet - Blog by Jo Farrow WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Changes in the weather world as observations reduce from aircraft and on land in the time of global pandemic. Less initial data to input into the computer models. AMDAR AIREP

Wednesday afternoon could be a cracker!

Very warm outlook on the ICON?

Very snowy morning up here in Rheanbreck just over 8cm lovely fluffy snow.

What a lovely plumescence for the 14th!

Couple more of the snow, Breck the snow hound and falling large flakes this morning.

Surely we deserve a little break now folks... Well Sunday appears to be that day of salvation! Warm and plenty of sunny spells... Dare I say it... The magical 70F being breached!! If you have a garden, then fire up those barbys... You deserve a treat... If your unfortunate enough to not have one, then at least a good chance to go for a walk or a bike ride, and at least for the day try and forget all the stress that is building up for many of us... Breath some of that fresh air, and invigorate yourselves... Whatever you decide to do, stay safe.

Looking at the GEFS 12z mean / perturbations I think there is good support for a predominantly pleasant period of weather as we head further into April with plenty of high pressure in the vicinity of the u k.

When is the last time we had so much high pressure within the vicinity of the UK.. Even out to day 10...perhaps becoming cooler beyond that, but that's a long way off... In the words of George Formby......

Well if the ECM and the JMA are to come to fruition then make the most of this Sunday and next week as these look quiet cool runs to me that's quiet some amplified ridge in the Atlantic,be interesting to see the eps in a bit. will i have to retract my....

Going to be a pleasant surprise on Sunday (if you don't like it cold) Taking into account how temperatures are usually reflected on models after the spring equinox, I'd have thought 20C might be a possibility. I would normally recommend suncream but in these circumstances it's more appropriate to recommending opening the windows or turning the central heating off... Generally mild to warm into next week, looking pretty certain now, first attempt at the low 20s on the GFS coming up.

Afternoon all, Great to see the thread ticking over nicely. It’s felt cool today in NE Fife with a couple of light showers this afternoon and temps around 7 or 8c. Here’s a few photos from my last non-local walk in Glen Clova a couple of weeks back. Beautiful day. Nevertheless I feel lucky to have the Fife Coastal Path on my doorstep!

The gfs ends on a high note the gefs mean getting above the 0c isotherm line too may it continue

GFS 12Z for Thursday looks spiffing!

We got out for a walk this morning just as the cloud was rolling in. A total contrast to the snowy scenes above! This view is looking west from near the top of the Hill of Fortrose. I must have looked out here hundreds of times and never thought to take a photo before. There may be more now... Anyone else finding their days filled with finding new ways to do things or just plain doing weird lemon you'd never have imagined before? Washing the shopping

A stonker it is for the 06z!!

-1c start to the day with blue skies and scattered snow flurries. A selection of photos showing the showers to the north and the hills emerging from the cloud covered in fresh snow right down to the sea even on the cliffs at Dunbeath. Ben Wyvis also emerging from a snow shower.

It's a settled end from the ECM mean that's for sure. We do need a little dry weather after the recent floods and let's face it, non stop rain wouldn't be doing much for our mental health in the current crisis. @Allseasons-si your gif brought back some memories... That's what folk normally do to me around here when I start rabitting... Throw a towel over me head mate..

Looks as if the dregs of of the tPV are going to play ball...? Though I wouldn't worry to much were a west-based -NAO develop, further on down the line. Anything that keeps the <-5C uppers at an arm's length, is fine by me!

The North Atlantic 500mb and surface analysis for midnight Remaining cold with wintry showers over northern Scotland but broken cloud with sunny intervals further south with some showers. mainly down western regions. Perhaps some slight rain/snow moving towards NE Scotland late on The rain/snow continues NE overnight, courtesy of the warm front Cloudy and dry elsewhere By midday Saturday there is a complex, neutrally aligned trough west of Ireland (previously described in greater detail) whilst the subtropical high builds over Europe. Once any rain has cleared northern Scotland dry with sunny intervals but with the wind picking up in the west Over Saturday night the trough intensifies and rain from the associated front will encroach western regions during the afternoon on Sunday. At the same time the wind will strengthen considerable in the west, albeit advecting warmer air from the south By Monday there is a nasty low 963mb over Iceland with the associated fronts traversing the UK so cloudy with rain at time but with some sunny intervals Things continue to develop to the SW/S on Tuesday but the UK remains dry and quite pleasant

One from yesterday on the beach with Ms HC not sure if you'll be able to read the text but the message is plain and intended for everyone then this was this evening just out at about 7 coming back up by some very shrubby gardens

It is but the mean looks better if it's fine and settled you are looking for whether this hp cell retrogresses further west is one to look out for,if so,it will bring cooler weather from a northerly quadrant i am a damn right coldy just like the most of us on here but my patience has ran out now and i am throwing the towel in

There’s some nice spring warmth and high pressure bringing some fine spells on this evenings ECM 12z operational. ps..sorry the charts are not all in the correct order.

Here we go, the first of some regular competitions while we're all under lockdown. A nice simple one this week - guess / forecast the UK's maximum temperature next week between Tuesday and Saturday. For bonus points, guess the day and the county where that temperature will be reached. Competition rules: Enter before Monday at 11:59 - entries after that won't count Guess the temperature to .1c (eg 21.2c) The temperature is the main part of the competition, the day and location will be tie breakers in case more than one person gets the temperature right. The maximum temperatures will be taken from the Met Office daily extremes info The winner will bag themselves a 3 month Netweather Extra subscription. We'll also be starting a leaderboard, so we can crown our overall winners later this year. Good luck

32.7°C, 10:02AM, Thursday, in Flash, Staffordshire

ECM only looks like cooling off later in the run, which is well into FI. But it’s April, so wouldn’t be out of the ordinary.

Oh I wonder if we could hit 22 or 23 in the upcoming week

It's all getting a tad depressing...headaches, vomiting, diarrhoea, itchy nose, dry cough, muscle fatigue? And now it's bloody asteroids too!

I can’t wait for warmer weather either, but I’m able to wear a T-shirt and shorts today in the sunny spells even though it may be 13c not really that cold for me, however my garden is a sun trap with barely any wind, lovely sitting in with a beer as I’m one of the luckier ones able to

From snow to 17 C in a few days, wouldn’t want Scottish weather any other way would we? Possibly an 18 C near @CatchMyDrift if it keeps going it will be taps after weather now looks like the front will be too slow moving for any thundery stuff but that means better chance of higher temps.

According to the gfs the developments continue through midweek with another low tracking north to Iceland with the associated fronts bringing some rain as they cross the country, but continuing very warm

OK,the op and control are going cold towards the end of the run not that these will verify but they are more likely to happen at this time of the year,i would retract my towel for a final fling in hope that we will see some better weather afterwards. of note,there is some spread in fl so who knows what is going to happen.

Having just recently moved away from Barra last year the fires would happen every year I lived there and most of the time always gets out of control about 2 years ago the island saw the worst fire in a long time someone started a fire and just left it uncontrolled the wind direction made the fire move across the island over hills and far away from any of the main roads which made it difficult for the fire crew to try and put it out. The fire the next morning reached the North end of the island and was closing in on some houses the fire crew from Uist another island came over on the ferry and the local airport fire engine also helped out to finally stop it. Apart from some fences being burnt no one was injured and no serious damage was done. There are people on the island that do it the proper way and keep it under control but often it's just one careless group of people that cause the fires to get out of control.

Well, that was unexpected - the biennial appearance of a northerly gale. Downright stormy in the morning with the trampoline bobbing up and down disconcertingly, just as well the winter tethers were still in place. Amazed the local farmer kept sowing seeds through all this as literal sandstorms were coming off the fields - the machine must place the seeds a good way into the soil. Reminded me of the sandstorms you passed through heading into Elgin on the A96 from the east, ah the memories as that area is now a Travelodge and fledgling business park. Anyway, copious amounts of sunshine accompanying the gale and cold with a max of 6c. Going to be a cold night, already down to 0c outside.

What is the ICON up too,swan lake!!!

so the record did go...-27.0c was recorded somewhere between 5 and 6 am yesterday morning because it shows -26.4c at 5am and -26.5c at 6 am then -22.5c at 7am

I wouldn't exactly call it horrible. Bright spells, a temp of 11C and dry. Pretty standard for the first week in April really. If we reach 20C on Sunday it would be 8C above average at this point in the month.

Lovely spring weather coming up for London over the weekend and next week. BBC going for 20 on Sunday..

The GEFS mean anomalies are certainly not consistent at the moment

The detail may vary a tad but a similar story from the ecm vis the middle of next week

https://satelliteliaisonblog.com/2020/04/02/atlantic-low-and-strong-winds-04-01-2020/

I'm quite the opposite, sad to miss the brief opportunity for cold, sad for warm weather when stuck indoors unable to enjoy it.

Heather burning around my parts (no joke intended *snigger*) at the beginning of the week. Remarkable how we've gone from the most waterlogged ground in memory to wildfires in less than three weeks.

That's the reason i didn't say warm after the fine and settled words i put above,it looks like a cool high in the position it is in,if it was further east,it would be a plume type scenario,but this is ten days away and we know how fickle models can be that far out looking back at the 500mb mean heights again in animation there does look to be some sort of retrogression to the hp cell from east to west EPS Model WWW.TROPICALTIDBITS.COM 500mb Height Anomaly i hope not though as i want some nice fine,settled warm weather now Edit:just to add,doesn't the MJO phases 8/1 entail heights in the Atlantic? gefs/ecm. P.S @Mattwolves that BBQ gif made me chuckle.

Isn’t North America amazing. I’m just rocking and rolling the uppers for the 12z UKMO. Look at Nebraska. Goes from -1 daytime to 25c in 5 days. Happens a lot this time year.

Hi MIA thanks for the kind words just seen this from Antarctica what a stunning display also

potentially the coldest April temp on record went here last night have to wait to see if early reports of sub -28c verify..previous record was -26.1c.

It's hardly the antidote to COVID-19, I know, but the GFS 06Z for Day 8 looks okay!!!

A final report from me now that the 2019 - 2020 Winter snow and Ice season has closed. The peak ice was achieved on Mar 3rd at 15,129K Km2. Since my last report the 15th of March the ice has had periods of rapid drop followed by periods of re-grouping Daily changes of -15K, -43K, +30K, -75K, -32K, -109K, -180K, -116K, -105K, -132K, -4K, -25K and more recently +110K, +22K and +17K seem to be the last gasp of the ice growth season. Losses have been extreme in the SOO and Baffin (off Newfoundland), whilst the interior has remined modestly intact, though areas close to the Russian land mass have been under some pressure. The Central basin is still intact and at a recent record in extent values. Ice loss through Fram has increased recently and the Mosaic project appear to be riding the outflow. They are having a rocky ride with leads opening and closing within a few hundred yards of the ship , and little chance being suggested for the next shift to take over, the relief being planned by aircraft landing. next month. All the best for the summer season and I hope to see you all safely, and more particularly healthily back next ice growth season. MIA