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There’s some nice spring warmth and high pressure bringing some fine spells on this evenings ECM 12z operational. ps..sorry the charts are not all in the correct order.

Surely we deserve a little break now folks... Well Sunday appears to be that day of salvation! Warm and plenty of sunny spells... Dare I say it... The magical 70F being breached!! If you have a garden, then fire up those barbys... You deserve a treat... If your unfortunate enough to not have one, then at least a good chance to go for a walk or a bike ride, and at least for the day try and forget all the stress that is building up for many of us... Breath some of that fresh air, and invigorate yourselves... Whatever you decide to do, stay safe.

Yes our average turnout date for the cattle over the years.Have said before that there have been numerous occasions when I have put the cattle out on a warm sunny day only to have them sheltering behind a dyke a few days later in driving snow. This would not be unusual for the time of year. Currently passing showers of soft hail and 5.5c

It is but the mean looks better if it's fine and settled you are looking for whether this hp cell retrogresses further west is one to look out for,if so,it will bring cooler weather from a northerly quadrant i am a damn right coldy just like the most of us on here but my patience has ran out now and i am throwing the towel in

Arpege going for 18C widely and 19C for London on Sunday, which will be great for folk who've got an outside space to enjoy the warmth of the Spring sunshine. Needless to say, pretty frustrating for those in apartments who aren't able to get out.

It's hardly the antidote to COVID-19, I know, but the GFS 06Z for Day 8 looks okay!!!

It's a settled end from the ECM mean that's for sure. We do need a little dry weather after the recent floods and let's face it, non stop rain wouldn't be doing much for our mental health in the current crisis. @Allseasons-si your gif brought back some memories... That's what folk normally do to me around here when I start rabitting... Throw a towel over me head mate..

Been a few nice dry days with about half spring barley sown and sheep back to Skye. Got a lot colder today with quite a number of small wintry showers across the Firth to the north some of which made it as far as us. This made for a wintry looking sunset just now across the Firth. Currently 3c so frost looking likely

Despite being a die hard coldie, by then the GFS can 'do one'. By mid April I'm looking for temps in the mid teens if possible.

And lastly, at T+384....So, place your bets: It's...a 'last-chance northerly'! Nailded!

Burning the old heather to allow fresh berries and shoots for the grouse. Often gets out if control. Used to go heather burning during Easter holidays when at school in Highland Perthshire in my teens. Just takes a bit of wind to get up and easily gets out of control. Once the peat underneath gets going it is very difficult to stop as it keeps coming back and burns at a very high temp. Remember one year near me a fire took six weeks to put out completely. When you got home from the heather burning you were black from head to toe underneath no matter what you were wearing.

Pretty blustery here this morning with a few bins blown over. Sunny intervals and just a few passing light showers. 8C Blustery up at Loch Tay too as you can see with the boats blown on to the beach from their moorings further out on the loch.

Temporary whiteouts in Caithness. 2C. Not settling. Fierce wind chill.

The chances of this verifying don’t compute but I like it anyway!

March was pretty decent for you also. Not a bad month at all for many of us. Procession of spring begins with a moderate March – Official blog of the Met Office news team BLOG.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Meteorologically March has been a relatively average month, certainly when compared to the record-breaking wet February the UK has just seen. The first month of... Hopefully a warm, sunny and convective late Spring/Summer ahead!

The North Atlantic 500mb and surface analysis for midnight The ext of the tpv continues to move east into Scandinavia through today resulting in some very strong winds over northern Scotland and in particular the Shetland Isles. And as the associated fronts track south east it will become much coder in the north with frequent heavy showers of rain, hail and snow in Scotland. In short very wintry. Further south more cloud than of late, maybe the odd shower, but a tad warmer Tonight the winds will abate but the wintry showers will continue in the far north and and a widespread frost here by morning. Less cold in the south under the cloud blanket Still some wintry showers in the north on Friday as an occlusion tracks south but elsewhere dry but mainly cloudy. By Saturday the well documented phasing of the troughs has taken place in the Atlantic resulting in a complex area of low pressure west of Ireland. Whilst at the same time the subtropical high ridges over the UK and into Europe. Ergo staying dry and a tad warmer in most places The area of low pressure becomes more concentrated on Sunday as it tracks north and the movement drags some very warm air up from the south whilst the associated front brings some rain into western areas By Monday the low has intensified to be 953mb NE of Iceland whilst the UK remains more or less under the high pressure.The frontal rain will still effect many western areas over Sunday night before generally clearing through Monday

Jackpot!

That's the reason i didn't say warm after the fine and settled words i put above,it looks like a cool high in the position it is in,if it was further east,it would be a plume type scenario,but this is ten days away and we know how fickle models can be that far out looking back at the 500mb mean heights again in animation there does look to be some sort of retrogression to the hp cell from east to west EPS Model WWW.TROPICALTIDBITS.COM 500mb Height Anomaly i hope not though as i want some nice fine,settled warm weather now Edit:just to add,doesn't the MJO phases 8/1 entail heights in the Atlantic? gefs/ecm. P.S @Mattwolves that BBQ gif made me chuckle.

What is the ICON up too,swan lake!!!

Nailded indeed not... The weather makes. A. Fool. Of us all

Something to look forward to SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids WWW.SPACEWEATHER.COM A COMET TALE: Comet ATLAS (C/2019 Y4) has sprung a tail--and it's impressive. "According to my observations, it is 1.2 degrees long," reports Gerald Rhemann who recorded this animation on March 27th from his backyard observatory in Eichgraben, Lower Austria: That's 3.3 million km, or more than twice as wide as the sun. The outer reaches of ATLAS's tail are still faint, but the gossamer filaments can be seen sweeping across the stars in Rhemann's animation. "I took these pictures using a 12-inch telescope," he says. Comet ATLAS is now shining like an 8th magnitude star--too dim to see with the unaided eye but and easy target for backyard telescopes like Rhemann's. The comet is expected to become much brighter. By the time it sweeps by the sun closer than Mercury in late May, it could rival Venus in the evening sky. That would be a comet tale, indeed.

A few showers of wet snow have been rattling past my house this morning. It really is wild at times. On the other had, between the showers it's largely sunny.

6.2c to the 1st 0.3c below the 61 to 90 average 2.1c below the 81 to 10 average __________________________ Current high this month 6.2c to the 1st Current low this month 6.2c to the 1st

Only because the clouds can't hang around because of the very strong wind this morning. That's one feature of this 'winter' that has been consistent, even if not all occurrences have been named storms. February anomoly charts show that us NEers did relatively well in relation to most others.

Once the front is out of the way on Monday the ecm is also cooking with gas next week

Over the next couple of days, according to the gfs, the trough/ridge pattern is well established which results in:- 1) another system tracking north east bringing some rain to western areas. 2) Continued advection of warmer air from the south

I think Karl, the mean also backs it up. High pressure looking well in control out to day 10...i only hope folks remember the social distancing rules. Its times like these when I wished everyone on here had access to back gardens.. At least then they could get out and Potter. But weather wise it's looking pretty decent.. Stay safe..

Well, that was unexpected - the biennial appearance of a northerly gale. Downright stormy in the morning with the trampoline bobbing up and down disconcertingly, just as well the winter tethers were still in place. Amazed the local farmer kept sowing seeds through all this as literal sandstorms were coming off the fields - the machine must place the seeds a good way into the soil. Reminded me of the sandstorms you passed through heading into Elgin on the A96 from the east, ah the memories as that area is now a Travelodge and fledgling business park. Anyway, copious amounts of sunshine accompanying the gale and cold with a max of 6c. Going to be a cold night, already down to 0c outside.

ECM 240 a little interesting.

Not sure about your location but the average maximum for mid April around here is only about 10C or 11C. While some warmer days are normal, snow has fallen (some significant falls) in most Aprils in my lifetime.

As if advice will stop the eejits I'm starting to think we need a police state to get people to behave.

Interesting

I can't see high pressure properly establishing itself over the UK anytime soon. Those low pressures always pushing from the west on the models... however the outlook seems rather changeable with some sunny spells and mild temperatures in between the longer wet and windy periods. Sunday could be the warmest day of the year so far. 16C predicted for Edinburgh.

GONNY STOP THAT?!! You're just encouraging winter to stay! STOPPIT!

Bit higher on latest run maybe a 16 C

15 C possible on Sunday with that warmer air I mentioned and there’s the fronts, probably the first 2 that would have any thundery potential

First month of Spring was not too bad - plenty of sunshine and dry weather. UK as a whole was 0.1 C above the long-term average. (0.3 below for Northern Ireland, 0.0 for Scotland, 0.1 above for Wales and 0.2 above for England) All the above information taken from the Met Office blog below: Procession of spring begins with a moderate March – Official blog of the Met Office news team BLOG.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Meteorologically March has been a relatively average month, certainly when compared to the record-breaking wet February the UK has just seen. The first month of...

Blue sky!

Models in the reliable and beyond in fair agreement today. High pressure nosing in over the weekend, enabling much warmer uppers to invade the country, first bit of proper warmth of the season for SE corner. Atlantic quickly knocking on its heals with the jet aligned SW-NE and the atlantic trough anchoring down. Bouts of wind and rain for western and NW parts only glancing south and east as heights hold. Longer term - all depends on how far east the pattern becomes, there looks to be quite a bit of energy in the atlantic still, despite signs of heights becoming more robust to our south and east - one scenario that could happen is the trough becomes unstuck, but will it be far enough to the west to prevent bouts/pulses of rain moving through the UK? Could be that classic NW-SE divide, where the north and west is plagued by rain and dank grey skies, and the east and south holds on to warmer drier weather - a common pattern in summer, but not so much in April. April is our most fickle month, when sudden flips and switches can occur, just as we are about to see on Saturday, from an northerly to a southerly in 24 hours.

March confirmed as 6.7c https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt 4 winners for March @JeffC @Dancerwithwings @Norrance @J10

The position of the Atlantic trough, relative to the ridge, would appear to be of some importance for two reasons. 1, the advection of warm air into the UK 2. How far will Atlantic frontal systems push east?

Re the fire risk in places. Barra just a couple of days ago.

Both the GFS and Euro suggest that the UK will see a pressure build between days 5-10. It looks a little messy in terms of a stray dead front at day 7 and potentially one around day 9 however broadly they both agree on the wider picture. Uppers also look mild so where the cloud is not around (central/southern England seems best) high teens are probable.

Given the rain, the flooding, the mild days....and the lack of hard frost (let alone anything close to genuine lowland snow) it was one of the worst I can remember. Quickly needs to be forgotten though I fear we are in for more and more extreme weather in the coming years which will be weighted warm and wet rather than cold and dry. When we next get some genuine cold winter fare we will need to treasure it....

London is only showing around 18 of 19C, I believe if will be more easterly like Norwich or maybe Peterborough, that general area

It's been a few weeks since I last posted the weather here in Dunoon has been pretty good recently plenty of days with no rain or wind and sunny as well thanks to that high pressure. On Monday we had a max temp of 11.6c our highest since the 23rd of October a sign at last spring is here. It's all change today though colder in the strong North Westerly wind with gusts around 40mph but for now its still staying dry with some sunny spells. It's looking to stay unsettled for the next few days but at least according to the 00z ECM high pressure may try to make a brief return at the start of next week.

I looked for those charts too but somehow missed them. It certainly explains why, unlike most places, the ground around here is pretty dry

Because it didn't need one? Scorcher quite rightly pointed out, far too many people on here employing their own guesswork as to whether temps should be marked up or down. Unless you're working for Hadley, you don't get all of the information.

Decentish day here with odd bright spells. Got some seeds sent from pals online and been happy playing. Tried to prod the husband into planting tatties but no luck, need go to Nag Mode Defcon 2 tomorrow.

Photos from a nice leisurely walk in the woods today Panasonic LX-15