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Showing content with the highest reputation on 29/01/18 in all areas

  1. 22 points
    Hello! I like snow like you. I follow through Turkey.
  2. 14 points
    Nick Sussex, got much room at your house? Can you put up about 1000 nwp members? Looks like the cold from the ne is heading your way.
  3. 14 points
    Decent ooz ens this morn.... Tighter clustering begining to appear.. Ops -as before-..will wobble with height align with hem state,-and decipher of placement. All very encouriging!! london suite
  4. 13 points
    Sorry peeps but I can’t see much more than a swipe from the beast as it passes to our se thats what the ens are reflecting with their members between -10 and -15 we had this last year at some point I think with a transient -12c over the eastern side of the uk. still time for the ridge to gain enough amplitude to allow a decent easterly flow or the euro trough to get further northwest but not currently favoured
  5. 12 points
    Boaty McBoatface will be called in to clear a path through the Bay of Biscay at this rate!
  6. 11 points
    I am not sure I will trust your weather predictions given that you fail to predict Easter accurately!!!
  7. 10 points
    Irrelevant but the SE has struggled to even get slush count yourself lucky !
  8. 9 points
    168..gfs 6z heights pushing north/north east..and opening large swathe cold into uk shores...already a v-feasible evolution..and one that makes you take note...as the deal is far from done...no matter your views -or choice. Edit;168 is cut off point -for me-.. Far to much to watch evolve after this on, migrate-push of vortex lobe...which will obviously be cricial/pivotal.
  9. 8 points
    The cold front currently across North Wales and the north of England will continue to track south clearing the south coast by this afternoon. Some strong winds, with cloud and patchy rain in the Tm air preceding it but clearer Pm behind it with the odd shower. Most of the UK will have a dry and quite clear and frosty night but frontal systems to the west of Scotland and Cornwall will track east bringing rain and strong winds to western Scotland and rain into the south west England and south Wales overnight into Tuesday.. This will move east during the day but the rain will persist over western Scotland, perhaps snow on the mountains, as the front associated with the depression 985mb over the Faeroes moves south east and impacting N. Ireland by 1800. Thus by 00 the cold front is lying across the borders with a couple of frontal ripples across the south of England and still very windy in the north with frequent wintry showers. From here some amplification takes place and the Azores HP starts pushing north which impacts the upper trough to the north west and it starts tracking south east. Thus the surface low does likewise which veers the strong surface wind north west and ensues a continuation of the squally wintry showers, particularly in the north and along western coasts. The low continues to run down the North Sea during Thursday and in the process veering the wind even more but probably concentrating the showers now down the eastern side of the country but the brief respite of a very transient ridge is very short lived as the next low tracks east south of Iceland and the associated front(s) are already impacting western Scotland and N. Ireland by 00 Friday. We have now reached the stage of the pattern change upstream with the EPO ridge, high cell Siberia and the active vortex/cold trough scenario. And how this plays out downstream in the medium term continues to be of interest with the the interplay of the Azores, positive anomalies and some ridging in the Svalbard area, and the positively aligned trough to the SE/S of the UK. Where will it all end?
  10. 7 points
    Beast from the east spotted by Nathan Rao! Oh wait...nevermind...
  11. 7 points
    Impressive threatening looking line of rain moving through with a cold front here atm
  12. 7 points
    South east England looks very cold.
  13. 6 points
    Early next week is heavily dependent on the behaviour of a LP system Fri-Sun that has been modelled with appalling inconsistency over the past few days so a lot of options do remain on the table.
  14. 6 points
    Because we all know its going to verify and not change by Friday.
  15. 6 points
    I'm confused....we have a potential (but unlikely) easterly in the offing, some of the lowest uppers I've seen all winter and some intriguing model output yet no sign of Frosty!? Somethings not right!!
  16. 6 points
    As expected really, the 06z has cleared nothing up, other than it looks very likely to turn colder form next week, how cold and for how long remains to be seen.
  17. 6 points
    Was just having a look there, looks very marginal to say the least. The GFS has a band of heavy rain sweeping through but turning to snow for a few hours as it departs and then some wintery showers thereafter but anything up til 6am on Wednesday morning looks the wrong side marginal without decent elevation. The main band of precipitation has pretty much dropped most of its load by 6am so possibly some heavy snow back edge of the band with some elevation and then wintery showers thereafter, mostly of snow inland I would suggest as conditions become more favourable. This is how GFS has it: but I'd take that with a pinch of salt. After 6am things look a bit more favourable, with a strong WNW, -5 850's widely, possibly even down to -6 850's and under 520 DAM, and 950's drop below zero as does the dew points : But prior to this, looking at 3am Wednesday, 950's are very dicey as are the dew points: Having said that, I'd imagine places in the highlands could get a decent dumping such as the south side of the great glen down to around glencoe, that would be my best guess about where would do pretty well, along with some areas north of the trossachs such as killin and Clifton for example.
  18. 6 points
    Excellent News Very much looking forward to the Lighter Evenings and signs of Early Spring. C.S
  19. 6 points
    Extended eps seems broadly similar to previous BUT there seems to be further intensification of the low heights over Greenland and Iceland. We need this trend to reverse. Overall, the NWP signals seem very mixed and a tad underwhelming.
  20. 6 points
    Looking at the nh profile it's not difficult to see why there is the potential for cold shots. You might argue the "very likely" tweak the high slightly further north on the gfs chart and it is a cold shot. If you take that chart as it is, some would get wintry showers. Your post has a Monday morning feel to it
  21. 6 points
    I’m not shocked at the lack of comments this morning, but ens still looking good! the Op just showing another plausible outcome. GEFS haven’t changed really, the spread is still very much clear to see, but a few more going for proper cold. ECM trickling out now.
  22. 6 points
    Don't forget more than half the population of England would be affected with London and surrounding counties in the firing line for potential streamers. It's high time the South and East got their chance of some of the white stuff. share it out
  23. 6 points
    Very cold southern Britain southeast England heavy snow showers..
  24. 5 points
    I think there is more chance of a frigid winter easterly coming off in the next 20 years than I Remember Atlantic 252's prediction of February's rainfall figure of 252mm.
  25. 5 points
    Now that's a Northerly I suspect all this easterly nonsense will soon be put to bed and once the Mid lat high breaks up we will get a pretty decent cold spell from the north
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