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Showing content with the highest reputation on 15/10/17 in all areas
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23 points
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22 points
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London & the South East will see a mini-heatwave.... Nothing to see here. (assured, if this was about to impact the capital, it would be the BBC's main story)16 points
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This will probably be the only time an Express weather article doesn't exaggerate the situation.13 points
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13 points
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12 points
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The terminology is fine, it's the misuse of it that's the problem. People are going overboard in here in criticising the media. Let's wait and see how things go tomorrow before slating everyone.9 points
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The UK media: Hype up an isolated light rain shower in London. Ignore a hurricane (soon to be ex-hurricane) approaching elsewhere. Their reporting and the way they influence and mislead the public view on weather is infuriating.9 points
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9 points
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9 points
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9 points
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"A lady phoned in earlier and asked if there was a hurricane on the way, well if you're watching don't worry, there isn't" 30 years later The met office are leaving it decidedly late to do something. The whole of Ireland is now under a red warning, Satellite imagery shows the storm is a little further East than expected. It's around this time people start switching off and almost thinking about going to bed. The Met Office have been so poor with the updates of this storm. The NHC has given far better information.9 points
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Estofex forecast for those who have not seen it http://www.estofex.org/ Couple of quotes. A surge of dry low-stratospheric air wraps cyclonically around the cyclone's center, probably ending the stage of a potential offshore sting jet event. Downdrafts may bring severe wind gusts to the BL. What I am pondering is the forward speed of the storm which I roughly calculate to be 50mph (6 hours to traverse Ireland) which makes me question highest wind speeds of 80mph. Looking at forecast storm surge levels which range from about 1m to 2m then there seems to be some key risk areas like south Wales, but particularly the Scottish borders down to Liverpool (in addition to Ireland). What does concern me is that the jet stream pattern showing up on satellite images is deviating slightly from forecast (jet to the east of the storm is weaker than expected and the trough to the west a little sharper). Maybe a few twists and turns still to play out.9 points
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A message from me i sincerely hope that people take heed of the warnings whether it be yellow,amber or red ,if the met o do not extend there warnings,take action anyway,this looks serious stuff stay safe.8 points
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8 points
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Are you putting plywood Up at your Windows knocker ? , obviously not for the storm but a safety measure against all the members on here that you seem to upset8 points
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To be fair, the Express have been predicting weather Armageddon of one sort or another every week for years... they were bound to hit lucky eventually... but by then no one believed them.7 points
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Amazing stuff, strange it's getting so little coverage in the media? I guess if it's not affecting London....7 points
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7 points
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I hate to mention this, but upgrading to an amber after dark on a Sunday night with the weather expected to hit tomorrow is gonna be really useless for many people. It's gonna be too late to do very much.7 points
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7 points
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At least Ophelia, unlike the 'hurricane' Michael Fish allegedly 'failed to forecast' actually started its life as one...? The 1987 storm was never a hurricane; it was just a very intense depression that deepened quickly and had associated hurricane-force wind gusts...At least, that's what I've spent the last thirty years arguing!7 points
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Models this morning sticking to the theme of yesterday, a strong jetstream anchoring on a southery tracking squeezed in by height rises to the north and also the SE, the Uk acting as a funnel for it - a very unsettled week ahead, very wet for some, later next week looks possibly stormy again, and next weekend looks classic late October unsettled fayre.. Longer term, signs of more pronounced ridge/height developments to the north, enabling perhaps something drier and colder to appear.7 points
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a shame that Debbie wasn't used 56 years ago as an indicator ................. could have levied all those green taxes on the sixties generation who could afford it! I digress .....7 points
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6 points
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6 points
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Well, am I peed off! Met Office video re Ex-Ophelia barely mentioned Scotland at all and seemed to be focusing only on Ireland and England. Ridiculous6 points
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Not even a two minutes of coverage on the 10 O'clock news... and not even a mention of Wales. Wow. Just Wow. Some serious questions will have to be answered at the end of this...6 points
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Probably the first time in history that an NHC forecaster mentions hurricane and Scandinavia in a tropical discussion! http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/152042.shtml?6 points
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6 points
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I wrote this a few years ago but it explains how the warnings are no longer set by numerical limits of wind speed or rainfall amounts, it is about the impacts, where, how many, time of day, what the location is used to https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/6466-yellow-amber-red---how-are-met-office-warnings-made6 points
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It's not about wind strength , it's about impacts. It may well get altered but it kicks all sorts of emergency adn logistical processes so look at the overall message, not the colour6 points
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6 points
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5 points
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I think Hertfordshire would also merit a mention as would Bucks and Oxon...the rest is the provinces where the prolls and savages live...5 points
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Heck no! 1 minute of coverage on 10pm BBC News you bet your bottom dollar if the SE was impacted they'd be all over it - probably from the alarmist Sun? However, in this scenario the typical hyperbole may not be far from the truth for some.5 points
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The ten o’clock BBC news gave Ophelia approximately 30 seconds coverage. The next item, a tennis tournament got longer coverage.5 points
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Amazes me that if a hurricane was only hours away from somewhere in the states our news would be showing people boarding up properties and roads full of cars trying to evacuate. one is knocking our the door of our islands and it's considered far less important than the antics of some perv film producer and the expected rise in food prices when we leave the EU. I just hope that we don't regret the low profile the authorities and media seem to be giving this event although in 36 hours we'll know.5 points
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Dear Oh Dear, to blame everthing on So Called "Climate Change" is completely absurd. These storms have popped up over generations some of them never recorded some have been. Now what has changed is the rapid growth in human population , and with so many more people living ,breathing ,driving there cars ,trucks around , modern technology IE Tele, Internet and Mobile phones, has given us a "Nanny State" whilst previous generations have endured and survived such storms5 points
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Latest blog from @Jo Farrow - looking at the expected timeline of events as Ophelia arrives tomorrow. https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8500-timeline--where-and-when-for-strongest-winds-tomorrow-mon-16th5 points
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I find it very odd that you, and others, think that the professional forecasters are not as aware of the situation as the 'experts' on here.5 points
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Looks like cooling down to me Gav. Quite a drop in temperatures as we head in to the week after the passing of Ophelia although after the unseasonable warmth it is inevitable i guess. The Atlantic trough digging se pulling much cooler air with it across the UK.Scandinavia going much colder too. ECM Tomorrow Friday Gefs 2m temperature graph showing the dip by several degrees from the dizzy October high expected tomorrow(Warks.) With the expected nationwide rain and wind modelled for the the end of the week a much more Autumnal feel for all so quite a big change especially for areas down south5 points
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5 points
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I'm sure we all have a healthy sense of peril? not just the 'mules'? We hear tales of elephants avoiding tsunamis and pets evacuating earthquake areas prior to the event.... Listen to your 'he be jee bee's' !!!5 points
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5 points
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satellite images. it looks to be tracking slightly east of the predicted path. better tell sidney to hang on to his nuts!5 points
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5 points
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So, the BBC made their own graphic. It's remarkably like the NHCs track forecast graphic, except much less useful. But it does tell us where Ireland, N. Ireland, and Scotland are, incase anybody needed to know.5 points
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5 points
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All the charts will have to be viewed, there still could be slight changes in the track next 24hours, so areas affected could vary. As Hurricane #Ophelia undergoes transition from 'proper' hurricane to post-tropical cyclone with hurricane force winds, shown on NHC graphic as black circle H to white circle H (then white circle S, storm): The resulting cyclone/low will bring a stifling warm sector, note 25/26C for SE Britain on Monday. the thickness charts show a warm pool of air(over 1km up- warm seclusion) remnants of the warm core which won't exist at the surface by the time Ophelia reaches Ireland. Surface low forecast for/near SW Ireland. The strongest gusts occur in the SE quadrant of a low (in N.hemisphere). 73mph+ temp gusts, the mean sustained winds look to reach storm force for S.coast of Ireland. Met Eireann from Sat Wind Warning for Galway, Mayo, Clare, Cork and Kerry Hurricane Ophelia is expected to transition to a post tropical storm as it approaches our shores on Monday bringing severe winds and stormy conditions . Mean wind speeds in excess of 80 km/h and gusts in excess of 130km/h are expected, potentially causing structural damage and disruption, with dangerous marine conditions due to high seas and potential flooding.5 points