Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen

Leaderboard

Popular Content

Showing content with the highest reputation on 14/09/17 in all areas

  1. With the recent low well away in the east for the next two or three days the the UK will be in a north westerly airstream, veering northerly, thus a showery regime for all but particularly the north and west, some of which may be thundery with hail. With the Azores high pressure ridging to the west and gradually moving east the wind will abate and the showers become much less by the weekend. By Sunday the ridge is trending more to the north east under the combined pressure of the trough in the west and the low pressure area to the east resulting in most of the UK becoming drier and more settled with just the south east still retaining some showery activity. Under pressure from the trough in the west the ridge gradually subsides as weak fronts cross the country before the next little low tracks north east across Scotland bringing some wet weather with it Tuesday evening and elsewhere on Wednesday as the associated fronts track south east Then ensues a brief battle between the trough/Azores aka the cooler and warmer air to the west which the former wins hands down and the next quite deep low arrives by the end of the week which could bring some nasty weather , including severe gales, to the north. But that is a long way off and should merely be noted at the moment I feel. So all in all not quite as benign as one would have expected next week with the upper ridge to the east and north not aligned to mitigated eastwards tracking of the troughs. Need to see the GEFS and ecm before attributing too much confidence in this evolution
    5 points
  2. Thunder!!! Thank you trough for tracking this way for once.
    4 points
  3. Just got back from Filey and i saw a funnel cloud north of Malton on the A64,i was trying to get off on a junction so i could get a photo of it,but by the time i got into a position out of the damn trees it had gone,also there was a dark scud type cloud from the ground to the shower base just left of the funnel but that had lifted too so i was gutted not to get any pics of this i did see a few flashes of lightning off the Filey brigg last night though at around 1am.
    3 points
  4. I saw a white rainbow today, a sure sign of a snowy winter ahead.
    3 points
  5. A stark contrast to the temperature of last year indeed, let's hope we will have a different outcome this year with winter as well,have a feeling we will have a front loaded cold weather,its my last one in Wicklow mountains before returning to Slovakia for good to a nice mountainous village(800m.asl) where winter can be fairytale
    3 points
  6. It certainly does look like we could see an appreciably below average month (at least 1C below the 1981-2010 average) if we see a pattern like this in the final third of the month. Personally i love it. After many mild and dull September's we finally have one which feels like proper Autumn. Cool and windy, reminding you of winter to come.
    3 points
  7. A first half of September (1st to 15th) at or below 14.0 seems cool by recent standards but long-term the average is 14.2 and it's only recently that sub-14 became unusual. 2013 and 2015 finished 13.8 and 13.0, but one then has to go back to 2001 (13.9) and before that, to 1992-94 when the first half averaged 12.7, 13.5 and 13.1. For anything colder than 1992 (12.7) we then need to go back to 1986 (11.2) which was colder than every first half except for 10.7 (1807), 11.1 (1931) and the 11.2 (1908) which tied 1986. Others that were sub-12 include 1816, 1925 and 1952 (11.4), 1860 (11.5), 1850 (11.6), 1836 (11.8), 1873 and 1894 (11.9) while 1965 and some earlier years finished on 12.0.
    3 points
  8. Mylo is growing up. He's 8 months now and he's so beautiful. A challenging lad, life is still play to him, so he has trouble discerning when to stop. He is gradually learning the gentle art of relaxation. He loves the dog TV that these little ones provide (dormice). Although they are on the skylight of the caravan in the photo, they actually live in the now disused gas fire, providing a perfect viewing gallery (see the badly unedited video!)MVI_2933.AVI And we have babies!MVI_293MVI_2933.AVI3.AVI
    2 points
  9. Lol superstorm trump ?
    2 points
  10. Got to be a better option then Hurricane MayBot !
    2 points
  11. A sharp but short lived spike of CAPE showing for early hours of tomorrow in Liverpool bay and coastal areas, probably another trough like this morning. Steering Winds are NW veering NNW 20-30 mph. Let's see what happens.
    2 points
  12. The daily value was about 13.9, so a 0.1 drop seems about right. Central England Temperature.
    2 points
  13. Interestingly the ecm does stick more to the anomaly script next week with the energy/upper flow being diverted north east and thus the systems tracking like wise allowing the Azores to hang in there and remain quite influential Apart from the odd wobble when a system sneaks in from the south west it just about manages until the end of the run when a large deep trough is parked south of Iceland with the associated troughs orientated N/S down western Ireland. So next week becoming predominately dry apart from Friday but the detail for the week is a long way from being settled.
    2 points
  14. I'm glad you got to join in. probably got another hour before things start to die out. My seventh thunder day for this year, around average for here.
    2 points
  15. Lots of cells coming ashore here, 2 with thunder. Something just developing near you, watch out. Not much fuel to sustain it over land though.
    2 points
  16. Cake buildup? Nice! (i'm presuming auto-correct is being a pain)
    2 points
  17. The anomalies this evening are in the same ball park and not looking too bad. The key features of the upper pattern relevant to the UK are the strong east European ridge that stretches into the eastern Arctic, The Greenland trough and the other trough to the south east in Central Europe. Thus a quite strong westerly upper flow over the central Atlantic which then splits in the east with part tracking north and resulting in a much slacker flow over the UK. running down to the European trough. Thus pressure on the Azores HP from the energy emitted upstream is much reduced and it can ridge more in the vicinity of the UK. This portends much more settled weather with the north catching the brunt of any systems that nip along. Temps around average but a fair diurnal variation. Into the ext period there is not that good agreement but the signs are quite positive with perhaps the Atlantic trough retrogressing a tad and the dominate features still remain the east European ridge and positive anomalies north of the UK with the continuation of a slack flow over the UK. They vary on how much influence the Azores will have in the vicinity of the UK, the EPS which I can't post being the most bullish I wouldn't like to hazard a guess at this range vis surface details but suffice it to say in general it looks quite a benign scenario with light winds and temps picking up a tad.
    2 points
  18. I do hope you're not implying Hurricane Jeremy would be all wind and p!ss? Lol
    2 points
  19. Turning out to be the start to a proper Autumn fingers crossed,so much better than the last few years...an actual season! Leaves just starting to turn, sound of the fallen ones in the wind,the so much better light with that mellow feel.for me the best time of year by far. Very happy indeed and still warm enough for working in shorts! Can't complain at all!
    2 points
  20. Great to see Iain Cameron's excitement about the first snow of the season on Ben Nevis today!
    2 points
  21. There wouldn't have been any trouble like that at the wolves. Mainly because there are loads of seats. No bugger goes
    1 point
  22. Trouble if they call it off, and trouble if it goes ahead. How have they managed to screw up the ticketing so badly in this day and age?
    1 point
  23. Arsenal have said it will go ahead as it's 'the safest option'
    1 point
  24. ECM also sends the energy over the top allowing the high to build and quieten things down...could be quite nice if it comes off.
    1 point
  25. Currently Kp6. Don't know how long lived this event is and may be over by the time it gets dark. Probably worth keeping half an eye out if you have clear skies. Pretty rubbish here just now.
    1 point
  26. http://www.politico.com/agenda/story/2017/09/13/food-nutrients-carbon-dioxide-000511?utm_content=bufferc40d9&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
    1 point
  27. Storm Kim-Jong (that could actually be a reality if he starts letting his nuclear rockets off)!
    1 point
  28. 1 point
  29. There is an increasing chance (~55-60%) of La Niña during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2017-18. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml
    1 point
  30. Really enjoying today,feeling lovely and fresh,great in shorts!
    1 point
  31. Edit to the above - well I never, Les Arcs at Arc 2000 has wet snow falling and covering everything, in fact it's falling quite heavily; 1800 and 1600 both have it as rain. Arc 2000: https://www.lesarcs.com/livecam-arc2000.html#ong333 Lauberhorn: https://panocam.skiline.cc/lauberhorn
    1 point
  32. Rare white giraffes spotted in Kenya conservation area A pair of giraffes with leucism, a condition that inhibits pigmentation in skin cells, have been filmed by conservationists for the first time https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/sep/14/rare-white-giraffes-spotted-kenya-conservation-area
    1 point
  33. UKMO shows high pressure never really getting over the UK parts of the south may see some longer drier spells for a time but on the whole, no significant spell of settled weather is shown
    1 point
  34. It's worth Looking on the GFS for spikes in CAPE/LI which can indicate a trough like we have this morning which was showing as a spike for awhile so I was prepared for something. There is another Spike early hours tomorrow which could be another trough.
    1 point
  35. And here we go, sferics developing. GFS wants 900 j/kg CAPE for Liverpool bay in 2 hours, has 500 for now.
    1 point
  36. Aye spotted them though did get a rumble of thunder earlier for third time in a week .
    1 point
  37. Anvils in the Irish Sea, it's that time of day again. Just a light breeze last night, a bit let down to be honest. Talk about anti-climax.
    1 point
  38. told you before about cheese, he's great, gets very upset about posts on here
    1 point
  39. Hi Rob. I use the nearest Met Office station to check my data, but I'm lucky to have one a few miles down the road. Your nearest MO station is Shoreham which is about 15 miles away from you(?) and nearer the coast - so might not be so good for comparisons. Anyway, here's the Shoreham page at the time of writing - shows a max gust of 49 mph at 03.00: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/gcpcv5gkw Also, I see you have a station on Weather Underground and they do a "Wundermap" page with surrounding observations. Don't know how accurate/reliable it is though: https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap
    1 point
  40. Storm Aileen was so bad York blew into the North Sea !!
    1 point
  41. This year's beginning to remind me of 1992 If we get a few nice days at the end of this month, I think my October guess is going to involve thinking it will be a tad chilly!
    1 point
  42. A lot of trees now turning and dropping leaves round here. Looks lovely though me thinking its early is probably more a reflection that they've seen no real heat since July and we finally have a seasonal September. I do hope we get a cold and sunny October though. Last year produced wonderous colours.
    1 point
  43. The conker trees are about 2-3 weeks ahead of all the other varieties. We'll lose a lot of leaves tonight
    1 point
  44. That is an interesting topic, and some studies were done about it, but i cant remember the authors or titles. Anyhow, I decided to take a look myself at the basic raw data. Making a correlation of DJF 500mb and the atlantic ACE index prior to the winter, looking at years 1980-2016. The obvious -ve NAO tendency falls out. The correlation factor is not too high for great confidence, but its enough to show a potential signal. So I decided to make a graphic with ACE, AO and NAO, for future reference. It is to be used to look at any specific years. There are some years that have high ACE/-ve NAO and vice versa. So I decided to make a scatter plot. Here we can see that lower ACE years are pretty random with AO and NAO. But, as we go higher, especially above 150, the tendency for more negative -AO/NAO increases. The exceptions are 98 and 99, being strong La Nina years. This is just raw data and a lot could be analysed further down the line. And a bonus graphic, a correlation of autumn polar vortex with ACE. This basically shows a small indication that the polar vortex might tend to be weaker with higher the ACE goes.
    1 point
  45. One of my dads' vintage motorcycling friends often forwards him emails; usually they're off-colour jokes, but, occasionally, he sends him something of genuine beauty or interest. The following photos were in an email he recived today, and I thought they might be of interest to Netweather members: Towering Cb Cumulus congestus? Cloud-ground strike by night Triple-layer mothership What on earth is this? Inflow? Mammatus Multiple circulations Red sky at night Volcanic cloud
    1 point
This leaderboard is set to London/GMT+01:00
×
×
  • Create New...