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Showing content with the highest reputation on 01/07/17 in all areas

  1. 8 points
  2. 4 points
    Morning campers and now we have got the last three days out of the way onwards and upwards to the delight's of this morning's ecm. Skipping this weekend as most should be familiar with this by now 12z Monday sees the UK in a showery NW airstream (briefly) with low pressure to the north east and the Azores HP ridging in from the south west. But a small depression that originates over on the NE seaboard today has tracked quickly east around the ridge and this and associated fronts impact the UK on Tuesday bringing rain mainly to the northern half of the country. Also some marked temp contrasts with 13-14C in the north and 21C in the deep south. This quickly clears east but by 12z Thursday we have a two pronged attack with the Atlantic trough edging in from the north west and the Iberian low tracking up from the south so frontal rain in the north west and unstable convective outbreaks in the south. Reflected in the temp rang of 14C in the NW and 25C in the south east. So after a very mixed bag Thursday this gives way to some more transient ridging before the next low arrives on the scene and by 12z Saturday is north of Scotland with associated fronts bringing rain to most but particularly in the north.
  3. 3 points
    Morning all - Certainly the potential for things to be much warmer through the coming week: While it certainly won't be blue skies and wall-to-wall sunshine, there will be some brighter interludes. As ever in these sort of set ups, the best of the conditions will be across the SE nearer to the high pressure.
  4. 2 points
    That puts many of our little whines about the weather into perspective,hope your improving and the weather plays ball!! Many on here sit behind their keyboards and criticise a view with out understanding or knowing the reason for that view. Bit more tolerance may be needed? I include myself in that statement as well. Like the positive attitude,need more like it!
  5. 2 points
    Wow....check this one out,this is amazing
  6. 2 points
    just captured it^ i am still recording this cam so there will be some good stills from it
  7. 2 points
  8. 2 points
    Some nice convective cloudscapes on show today. Some minor surface flooding in a couple areas around here. Saw a number of funnel like features which dissipated into nothing, but I have found a funnel cloud report from Kent, towards Dover this afteroon: And another funnel report: http://www.kentonline.co.uk/dover/news/dramatic-sight-of-funnel-cloud-128114/
  9. 1 point
    Most of my most memorable weather events I most certainly would not want to relive. One would be struggling to fill a weather balloon in a F 11 at the after end of a ship with 40-60 foot sea running when the cold front suddenly passed through initiating a massive change in wind direction. A change of underwear became an immediate necessity.
  10. 1 point
  11. 1 point
    GFS showing bit of a plume starting Wed but looks to stay mostly on the continent currently.
  12. 1 point
    I wouldn't have to go back far for that.. 2 whole days.
  13. 1 point
    I have a build up of fluid in my lungs when I lie down which can suddenly wake me up gasping for air, made worse when temps are either too warm or cold. Docs say I can only manage my condition by keeping the bedroom at a certain temp & using oxygen when lay down, it's not curable. I have to be careful though because regular losses of oxygen while asleep can cause brain & nerve damage so it's important to use the oxygen. I lived with it for a couple of years but didn't bother doing anything about it, until it got progressively worse a couple of months ago .......woke up breathless and when I got up I collapsed couldn't feel my legs, really thought I were a gonner. The missus ordered the ambulance and they found out what was wrong in hospital. Fluid in my lungs & low oxygen. Anyway Cheers, I have to make the best of things.
  14. 1 point
    The ecm is nothing if not consistent as it's quite similar to last night's run. The nasty low of the past few days finally departs east allowing the Azores to ridge from the south west so drier and quieter conditions for most over the weekend. The exception being northern Scotland as a shallow low skirts close by tomorrow bringing some rain and strong winds. This quickly tracks east into Scandinavia but leaves Scotland in a showery westerly airstream on Sunday. Meanwhile another little low has spawned along the NE seaboard and this tracks quickly east around the ridge to arrive over Ireland and norther England by midday on Tuesday so a wet day for much of England with south possibly escaping. Could actually be quite cool in the north of England with max down in 12-13C range. This perturbation quickly moves away east allowing the Azores to ridge once more but by late Thursday the low pressure to the north west again begins to assert itself and associated fronts are beginning to impact north west Scotland by 18z. These fronts track south east over Friday bringing some light showery rain along with them and clearing the south east in the early hours on Saturday. Temps a bit on the cool side towards the end of the week apart from Thursday where they may reach 24-25C in the deep south.
  15. 1 point
    No year so far in CET records has seen a colder second half of the year than first half (I understand what you were saying about relative to normal), although some first half values have been higher than second half values of other years fairly close to them in time. Maybe this year we can break that 358-year drought. Here's why second half is always warmer in each calendar year, the second listed months have to be colder than the first listed months on average, the actual average difference (over the entire period of record) is shown in brackets. DEC - JAN (0.8) NOV - FEB (2.2) OCT - MAR (4.4) SEP - APR (5.4) AUG - MAY (4.4) JUL - JUN (1.7) As you can see that's not a fair fight but 1846 managed to come within 1.5 deg of tying both halves of the year (9.5, 10.8). The first half of 2007 is the warmest on record at 9.70. This month needed to finish 17.1 to tie that mark. Using 16.0 as a provisional it comes out to 9.52, same as 1846 and tied for second warmest. The last time a second half was cooler than 9.6 was 1892 (9.5) so the chances are slim to none probably. These are the five closest attempts to match first half with second half ... YEAR ___ 1st half __ 2nd half ___ difference 1676 ____ 8.58 _____ 9.08 ____ 0.50 1896 ____ 8.89 _____ 9.79 ____ 0.90 1683 ____ 8.00 _____ 8.92 ____ 0.92 1822 ____ 9.48 ____ 10.62 ____ 1.14 1796 ____ 8.43 _____ 9.60 ____ 1.17 In more recent years, 1993 managed 1.28 (8.85, 10.13) and that ranks sixth slightly ahead of 1878 and 1840. Those were the only years to come within 1.4 deg of matching . If we then look at the first half of the following year and how that compares with the second half of any given year, a slightly smaller difference is found (0.48 in 1845 (second half) to 1846 (first half) ) from 10.0 to 9.52. Waiting two years, that same first half was only 0.1 colder than 1844's second half (9.62). As to the differential from year A first half to year B second half, first half of 1828 (8.83) and second half of 1829 (9.15) provide the smallest difference, 0.32 deg. The closest separation of a colder second half two years after any first half in time was 0.09 (9.33 to 9.42) from first half 1686 to second half 1688. The closest separation in time that provides a warmer first half appears to be second half 1683 to first half 1686, the increase there was 0.41 (8.92 second half 1683 to 9.33 first half 1686). This was the only increase in that set.
  16. 1 point
    Summer of 76 for me, week after week of sun and heat or the winter of 78/79, week after week of snow and cold. I've clear memories of both and in both cases have seen nothing like it since.
  17. 1 point
  18. 1 point
    Again the signals for July are pointing to increased Azores high influence which could then lead to very warm continental incursions, at least for the southern half of the uk with the north (scotland & n.ireland) staying generally more changeable / oceanic but from mid July there continues to be potential for a very summery spell to develop, initially across the s / se and then extending north to most / all of the uk as time goes on..still plenty of summer to come! Still some changeable blips even further south but generally it's an improving picture compared to this week.
  19. 1 point
  20. 1 point
    So..... I should really just copy and paste my post re Tuesday's weather ....Different day... Same s#$t springs to mind.. Im feeling almost as gloomy as the weather!! Im sorry but pishin rain and gloomy dull coupled with 12c TWICE!! in a week in High Summer disnae float my boat........
  21. 1 point
    I hate 30c no beating around the bush. HATE IT. However i do expect it to be a bit warmer hence the fact I brought clothes and shoes that are for summery days. 24/25 at most please.
  22. 1 point
    The two sides to this June
  23. 1 point
    Blimey Ice Man you really do like a good old moan , now I like 22c 23c 24c 25c but if you want a good old BBQ etc it's nice to have a spurt of heat you can then comfortably go to the beach , swim in the sea jump in a cold pool of course not all possible if your working but the chances are you'll get some time off in a week long heatwave like we've just had to enjoy the advantages of a heatwave , each to there own of course but can't we all just sacrifice a few days of hot weather to those that like it , any way I hope you enjoy the deluge this week , as I say each to there own .
  24. 1 point
    This time tomorrow, I think many will be saying come back summer, if you think today was poor, tomorrow looks abysmal for many especially northern england, some places will struggle to hit 13 degrees under persistant heavy rain and strong east wind - will feel more like October! than late June. It always surprises me to think we can get colder days in the height of summer than in December when the tropical SW wind rages strong! - maxes of 15 degrees easily achieved..
  25. 1 point
    Cairngorm Summit Forecast for Saturday 24th June Feel like Temperature of -6c and light Snow.Half tempted for a trip out on Saturday,Maybe the most snow I will see for the rest of 2017/2018 C.S
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