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Lying to below Aviemoregus is Loch Morlich where it's currently -0.7°c at the beach. Updating Cam: http://www.winterhighland.info/cams/cairngorm-mountain/morlich.php

.Had an hour of stormy weather with driving snow gale force gusts and a temperature which fell to 0c resulting in a power loss for about an hour.Cattle bedded and fed more silage. Snow started to settle too. No days like it last winter. Absolutely freezing. Icicles formimg as snow stopped so icing on the line must have been the cause of the power loss. Currently clear and 1c.Lots of snow on the hills to the north.

I've just had hail in East Lothian and now back to blustery sunshine but friends have had snow and earlier thunder Moray/Aberdeenshire border near Huntly

This was April 29th last year. My tulips not quite as mature yet, as Its been colder this spring so far, and once again daffs decided too cold to flower but expecting similar tulip pics in next day or two, I'm Obvs biased, as bought house in sweet spot in north of England, so only have 4/5 months of when no chance of snow, so looking fwd to my house choice paying off again so a reminder to coldies there's only 4/5 months to wait for the next hunt Hang in there through the rainy season

What a stunning end it is to ECM BANK!

Wow 564 dam thicknesses by the end of the Ecm 12z..late in the run the charts look gorgeous and very summer like..temps would be soaring into the high 70's to low 80's F.

I'd settled for this in early May

I have high hopes for May, it looks like it could be a largely summery month with plenty of warm / very warm anticyclonic weather. The GEFS 6z mean looks very encouraging and the latest update from Exeter is fantastic..fingers crossed.

Plenty of crazy blocking charts around,and no surprise to see the GWO forecast to plummet to very low values as the Northern hemisphere starts settling into its summer state. The UKMO seems a bit keen,although it is the scandi high time of year.

It's looking fantastic - yes please!

Howdy. Wee covering here. Some seriously heavy showers around tonight. Was snowing at sea level Skye earlier according to my missus, which really didn't happen much in winter itself. -0.5c

This evening's GFS has the UK on Thursday and Friday in the northerly circulation of the high cell which is out to the west until it begins to slide south east late Thursday. Thus still the likelihood of wintry showers in exposed area as temps remain below average. But after that the the evolution is a thing of beauty. As mentioned the high pressure continues to slip away and a quite intense upper trough arrives from the north west and phases in with our old friend the low pressure area to the south west so that by 12z Saturday we have this quite complex set up to the west. As can be seen the fronts are associated with the depression 989mb but this low tracks quickly NNW and another is spawned by the main trough which runs into N. Ireland by 06z Sunday with the fronts down across Cornwall. This depression deepens and also moves quickly north west as the fronts continue east bringing a fairly wet and windy Sunday to most.

Pic from my folks house in Carrbridge. Heavy hail showers here on and off.

Knocker, whilst I appreciate the time and effort you put in during the Summer months, can I respectfully request that You make your posts less thesaurussy, and more meteorlogical. All of this traversing zephyrs and over mention of deconstructing ridges or troughs and energy formations are so far from your previous and precious valued contributions. Ergo, with all due respect, can you revert to your previous all encompassing much simpler forecasts that the majority of the readership will appreciate that actually mention weather rather than ridges and troughs , thank you in advance. I've been on this forum for 10 years and learnt so much, but to be honest I feel a bit thick reading your new style of posts. (deconstruction of a trough, cmon, what does that mean)

The gfs this morning hss the Azores briefly ridging at the end of the week which initiates a couple significant developments. A high pressure cell to the north east and the deconstruction of the trough to the east and a cut off upper low/ Meanwhile the Atlantic trough edges closer from the west with the surface fronts a little later than previously estimated. From this point we have the battle between the high pressure intensifying adjacent to the UK and points east and the energy surging east from upstream and it's quite messy. But eventually order is restored satisfactorily So in a nutshell after a couple of inclement days HP becomes more influential towards the end of the week bringing drier and more settled conditions with temps rising towards average. Then a brief ingress from the Atlantic on Sunday before the next pattern change.

It's 0.3'C and snowing.

First flakes of snow here. Currently 3c Radar looks full of snow

I was just about to say...the last update of the GLOSEA model hinted at an Atlantic meets continent type summer...so yes I would say at this point it looks possible we may see a warm, thundery summer. Then again, it's entirely plausible (as we see and have seen many times) that the seasonal models are just taking a nearer time signal and extrapolating that into a full seasonal average. In fact, with that scenario we run the risk of going very very wet eventually.

Have you been outside ? What is this cool thingy? It feels freezing outside

Some great looking output from the models, ensembles and meto updates! Get this darned cool spell over with and bring me that heat next week! General trends look good though, detail will of course vary depending on positions of high etc

Yeah, it was so crumbly that I had to eat it over the kitchen sink. Mixed feelings about the next few days with regards to my allotment - yay for rain...boo for cold temps as I've a lot of seedlings in a rickety cold frame and my plot is on top of a very chilly hill.

It sure is Pete and most importantly its also what the met office are currently predicting.

One GFS run sends the 850's soaring to +17 with a few others between +10 and +15

The Exeter update read well if you want warmth but it's mentioning it did also allude to more unsettled conditions in southern and south-western parts which you'd expect from an E'ly flow with HP to the north and LP to the south. The 06Z OP isn't a million miles away from the 00Z OP with the HP starting over continental Europe before north then North west ending up behind absorbed in a new strong Greenland HP and more than a hint of a return to colder N'ly conditions into the middle of the month.

Overcast now with periods of snowfall which is quite dry and blowing about in a strong N wind. Currently 1.8c Ground must a bit warm as not settling yet Been at paperwork this morning. Going out to bed cattle soon with fresh straw.Cows usuall get out for hour or two while I do this but they are all lying just now not looking to go out. Don"t blame them,high windchill.

My "fear" that a Greenland ridge could take hold still seems possible but - crucially for the UK - with low pressure in the North Atlantic rather than high pressure. The result is our cold snap not lasting particularly long However, when a Greenland ridge sits in place for a while, it's kind of a magnet for any heights to join it - and the GFS D16 has a slightly crazy example of what that might look like - a northerly and easterly at the same time! (would be even crazier at D17): Very cold for mid-May. Still, with all the fails by models to get a ridge into Greenland in mind, I'd put odds on this lower than Corbyn winning the election.

Think London receives less rain than quite a few places in Europe. It does annoy me sometimes that London is always portrayed both here and abroad as having a constantly wet climate. Completely untrue. Dull, often dreary and boring....yes, but not soaking wet all the time as this dry period shows well.

looking at weather charts.. why do people look at them. and pinpoint extreme weather scenarios like 2007?.. the charts are forever changing .I think its showing a drier than average situation as we head into May.No one knows what it will be like in May over all or for the summer that is.. So to make "guesses" based on extremism is silly..

I do have my concerns over some ingredients being quite similar to 2007. Hopefully the Indonesian rainfall pattern will behave more kindly for us this time. In the mid-range, any suggestions from GFS/GEFS of the big blocking high retrogressing back to our NW needs to be viewed with much skepticism given it's wild MJO projections versus the other models' expectations of minimal activity. The impacts may already be evident when comparing GFS and ECM at day 10; ECM (right) has more in the way of LP to the S of Greenland which may serve to keep the blocking more to our E/NE.Even GFS with it's MJO influence takes until some 3-4 days llater to start taking the block west so it seems the odds are in favour of a large and at least quite persistent Scandi feature such as we often see at some point in the spring season.Driest in the north with some showers possible at times in the south, temps dependent on the exact circulation pattern with anything from rather cool (low-mid teens) to 'proper' warm (low-mid twenties) possible, either way generally warmest in the west.

Indeed. Cold air now in Shetland. We have already received 6 cm of lying snow today at sea level.

Some sleet and wet snow up here in Shetland. A dusting of lying snow on the higher ground at the moment. Temp currently 1.9C, dew 0.7C, Wind NNE @ 21 kts

Fine breezy day but a bit overcast,weeded garden and dry conditions fried weeds but will not sow anything till next weekend. Cattle still in till next weekend Another May turnout.Currently 6.5c The chang to cooler conditions just starting to come across the Firth this evening Dog has secured the best seat for the cold spell next to the rayburn cats and humans can find somewhere else.

It's been another pleasant and useable day here but still feeling quite chilly despite the sunshine with a max of 12c. The forecasted cold spell this week seems to be nothing much more than a couple of chilly nights for many of us here in the south east. Still no signs of any useful rainfall though. On that subject I found some interesting statistics which seem to confirm my thoughts that London, the South East and East Anglia are in fact not as wet as some folk think when compared to the rest of Europe. http://web2.airmail.net/danb1/european.htm

Welcome! Previous thread was getting rather long and so the door to a new Scotland Regional Weather Chat thread has been unlocked! Be very careful as you enter this place; there may be a lot of hail, sleet, blizzards and ice in the next few days, which may cause all sorts of nasty accidents upon your arrival! And don't be too greedy and keep all the snaw to yourselfs. You must think of those lovely Southerners and let them get in on the action! Previous thread:

We still look on course for a real change in conditions in the week 2 range. ECM ens A rapid change develops at the end of the this week as heights in the Atlantic which have persisted for a good week or so looks set to be quickly replaced by a deep and slow moving trough which allows pressure to build over Europe with warm conditions developing widely across mainland Europe and the UK. Temperatures will be slow to recover at first, towards normal by this weekend but trending above or well above towards the day 10 period and that is a strong signal from the models and ensembles. The GFS has a similar idea with a flow between the south and east developing next week.

A little late and just viewed the ECM. Incredible charts. Way ahead at +216 so let's see if there's any sign of the same tomorrow. A real surge of very warm air from the south, reminded me of the great months from the past.

This trend to warmer temps next week that the models are showing I'm pleased to say looks correct

Hello All...So from biting cold to summer warmth with-in the space of ten days...in between a blip of unsettled weather. Both ecm and gfs hint at this at summer warmth at day ten. But its a long way off but nothing unusual for model output for this time of year But the dry outlook goes on and on.....

As requested by some who have asked to know. Here it still stands at +2.6c..which is 3.4c below normal.

I will happily sacrifice another damp squib bank holiday if may turns out anything like is being hinted at.

Signs are very promising, could be the best may for years. :- )

Just post some more cold charts....should keep the baying mob happy

Wind has dropped right off now and now we have big, fat slow falling flakes of snow. Temp dropped to 3C in Dyce.

Absolutely! This April has been fantastic, sunshine above average, temps quite a bit above average, and rainfall below average. The humidity has been consistently low too, so a superb month to dry your washing.

I would simply point out a prolonged hot spell is far more dangerous for the elderly than prolonged cold. Look up records of the French heat wave from 2003 - I know the one thing the authorities here worry about is a 1976-style event with temperatures in London approaching 40c for 10-14 days at a time. The "cull" as you put it of the elderly would be far greater than the coldest of winters.

2.9C at 7am this morning in Kemnay and the rain showers had a definite sleety element to them. Temp heading up at the moment before it's due to fall again this afternoon with more wintry showers. Currently fairly sunny with scattered fluffy clouds. Later this evening through into Tuesday morning looked interesting on the BBC forecast earlier. Could I wake up to a covering of snow tomorrow? Frankly, despite loving the cold and snow I'd rather it just warmed up now that it's approaching May.

On cue, hail stones and snow just started

City of London avg annual rainfall 1981 - 2010 = 557.4 mm. Source Met Office http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/climate/gcpvn15h9 Lisbon avg annual rainfall for same period = 726mm. Source: https://www.currentresults.com/Weather/Portugal/average-yearly-precipitation.php

Sorry for not posting for a while but been watching the expected cool April play out. the modelling has done a pretty decent job. We finally see strong signals that the change of month will signal a change in temps as a combination of Atlantic trough and building sceuro upper ridge brings a s or se flow across the uk. I would be taking note of the repeated establishment of Azores lower heights - could be an interesting summer upcoming if this becomes a repeating theme. Many times over the past month or so, a predicted fi upper trough for nw Europe ends up heading to our sw with heights remaining fairly high across nw Europe.

Well another winter ski season is almost at an end for most resorts. I to would like to add my thanks to J10 for the excellent blogs- they really are an upgrade on the old Ceefax days! When seeing it reporting snow in Innsbruck was your only indication of any snow in the Alps!!! Thanks also to Blessed for his insights and reports, C for the 'Austrian angle', John Holmes for his annual Wengen adventures, Paul, Seaside60, Reefseeker for their regular contributions and all the others who've posted pictures and updates from various locations. Enjoy the summer and see you all back here in the autumn when the webcams are watched and the search for the first flakes begins again. Roll on season 2017/2018!