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Wow! There have been a few occasions in the past where we have witnessed solar tsunamis but this one is definitely one of the most prominent to date. The analysis of the cme that's en-route and it's anticipated earth effects has differing opinions between different forecasters. On NOAA's detailed nightly forcast they initially went for kp4-7 but then corrected this to kp4-9. With a prediction that wide It's going to be hard for them to be wrong. A few other space weather forecasters are following NOAA's steps in keeping the prediction wide open. Belgium space obs go for a minimum of kp7 and a4 points
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Yet another strong flare from 1429 at 5.30pm tonight, this one measuring M 8.4. A super bright cme can be seen departing at the moment. It will be a few more hours before any prediction can be made as to potential geomagnetic storm severity but from what's available to me it looks like a near perfect direct impact, no question about it. What I would like to try and establish is whether the core of the cme is earth directed.1 point
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Looks like another active few weeks coming up if some of the models are to be believed. Temperatures more akin to Middle to Late April and moisture returning. Could be some decent Virtual Chases over the next 2 weeks!1 point
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How do a few extra cosmic-ray particles 'enhance' earthquakes, Yamkin?? Do you have any particular mechanism in mind?1 point
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UK Outlook for Thursday 15 Mar 2012 to Saturday 24 Mar 2012: Most of the UK will be dry at first with some sunny spells, before rain spreads from the west during Friday and over the weekend. Some heavy rain is possible over northwestern Britain, but by the time it reaches southeastern areas it will have eased, and southeastern areas will probably see very little rain. This general pattern will probably continue into the following week, with changeable weather bringing periods of rain to northwestern parts, whilst the southeast stays more settled and drier than normal for the time of year. Nort1 point
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Spring across the county Exceptionally mild http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=201203101 point
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ANOTHER CME TARGETS EARTH: Sunspot AR1429 has unleashed another strong flare, an M6-class eruption on March 9th at 0358 UT. The blast hurled a coronal mass ejection almost directly toward Earth. According to analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, the CME will arrive on March 11th at 0649 UT (+/- 7 hr). NOAA forecasters say the odds of a strong geomagnetic storm at that time is 50%. Aurora alerts: text, phone. The same eruption that hurled the CME toward Earth also produced a monsterous tsunami of plasma on the sun. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the shadowy but powerful wave1 point
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What a lovely climate you have NthNSW- bar the excessive humidity, but I guess this does help storms-- I'd love the amount of warm, sunny days you have with temps in the late 20's! Thanks to you and styx for the thread though- really interesting!1 point
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February cold spell discussion and chat
Paul posted a topic in Weather Discussion - Spring,
A thread for discussing the upcoming (or if you're in Northern Scotland, ongoing) cold spell.-
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- 139 replies
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Pre-snow / pre-cold spell - share your traditions!
Quozzle posted a topic in Weather Discussion - Spring,
Now that it seems we can all feel confident that proper cold is on the way, with decent snow opportunities likely to appear all over the place, I thought it would be fun to share some of our traditions that we may have ahead of cold and snow arriving. That is of course assuming that you all have traditions - I certainly have a few...-
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- 18 replies
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Flood Watch
chionomaniac posted a topic in Weather Discussion - Spring,
With another excessive amount of rainfall forecast and many areas already flooded and expecting worse, I think it is worth keeping up with the areas most likely to see flooding and monitor river levels in these areas.-
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- 80 replies
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Storm Christoph
Jo Farrow posted a topic in Storms & Severe Weather Discussion,
Heavy rain, flooding, gales and snow - it's going to be a wild week including the arrival of Storm Christoph.-
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- 104 replies
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Paul, -
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Murton Pike Snow
Osbourne One-Nil posted a gallery image in Winter,
Murton Pike Snow-
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- 0 replies
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